⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Dundalk (AW) · 18:30 · 14 runners · Handicap
18 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 33% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 10lb. 7lb below career-high OR 77.
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 9/1 (10.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+133% better than SP · +12.7 probability points
GAMBLE FORMINGFlatHANDICAP
Bellewstown · 18:02 · 15 runners · Handicap
Still 20/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Quinn Bet
21 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
Result pending. Graded against SP and Betfair SP once the result lands.
Flat
Gowran Park · 14:22 · 15 runners · Other
25 firms had already cut to 20/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 20/1 (21.00)
SP: 29.00
BSP: 85.00
Beat SP: No
-28% better than SP · -1.3 probability points
Flat
Gowran Park · 17:05 · 12 runners · Other
Still 33/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Virgin Bet · LiveScore Bet
27 firms had already cut to 25/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 33/1 (34.00)
SP: 51.00
BSP: 130.00
Beat SP: No
-33% better than SP · -1.0 probability points
