HorseWhaleHorseWhale

Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 19 September 2026 · HorseWhale

7963 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

🟡 MEDIUMFlatMAIDEN
Deeno Bambino
Newcastle (AW) · 17:20 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
14/1 → 12/1
Still 14/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time t.
• Trainer in form. 100% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 16/1 (16.50)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:03, 19 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Thaluna
Newmarket · 13:50 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 6/1
Still 15/2 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets
16 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 24% last 14 days.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+21% better than SP · +2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:00, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatGroup 3
Redorange
Newbury · 13:02 · 11 runners · Group 3
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betano · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power
14 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:57, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Bajan Bandit
Newcastle (AW) · 20:30 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 6/1
Still 8/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · William Hill · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Newcastle (AW). 1/9 at this course.
Risks
• Up 10lb. 23lb below career-high OR 82.
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:54, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Northcliff
Newmarket · 15:00 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 3 firms when alerted
10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+45% better than SP · +5.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:54, 19 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWHurdleHANDICAP
Del Boys Diva
Navan · 13:42 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Unibet
17 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 14 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +4.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:54, 19 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatMAIDEN
Miss Eileen
Newcastle (AW) · 17:20 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
18/1 → 12/1
Still 18/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
23 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+46% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:54, 19 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Andesite
Chester · 16:52 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+69% better than SP · +6.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:51, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Sherekiya
Gowran Park · 16:25 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · Smarkets
15 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 9 Sept · lost
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
Permanent record · Fired 09:51, 19 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Navy Light
Chester · 14:35 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
23 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:48, 19 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Haroussa
Gowran Park · 17:37 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
22 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 12
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: No
-55% better than SP · -6.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:45, 19 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Sunday Sovereign
Gowran Park · 17:37 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 17/2
22 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-14% better than SP · -1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:45, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Suir Monad
Gowran Park · 16:25 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Smarkets
19 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 8 Sept · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (5.80)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
-11% better than SP · -1.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:42, 19 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Cause I Like You
Gowran Park · 17:37 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 9/1
Still 10/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Unibet
23 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +2.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:39, 19 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Drymee
Newbury · 16:30 · 3 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 10/3
Still 9/2 at 9 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
16 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Newbury. 1/1 at this course.
• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 8lb. Career-high OR 87.
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · won
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 6/1 (6.80)
Permanent record · Fired 09:39, 19 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Astrazar
Newbury · 16:30 · 3 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 10/1
Still 14/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
16 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
• First-time b.
Risks
• Up 9lb. 2lb below career-high OR 86.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 14/1 (16.00)
Permanent record · Fired 09:39, 19 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Crossbar
Newbury · 16:30 · 3 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
Still 12/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets
24 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 12/1 (14.00)
Permanent record · Fired 09:39, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Humphrey
Newmarket · 16:55 · 10 runners · Other
THE MOVE
15/8 → 6/4
Still 15/8 at 3 firms when alerted
10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright
19 firms had already cut to 6/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 26% last 14 days.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 15/8 (2.88)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +5.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:39, 19 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Princess Chloe
Gowran Park · 17:37 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
Still 8/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Unibet
23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time v.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 7 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: No
-53% better than SP · -5.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:39, 19 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Rocking Ends
Newmarket · 15:00 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
18/1 → 14/1
Still 18/1 at 3 firms when alerted
10 Bet · 7Bet · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
Risks
• Up 8lb. 6lb below career-high OR 93.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:36, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Gerry's Darling
Chester · 14:35 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 2 firms when alerted
10 Bet · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 3 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +4.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:36, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatListed
High Stock
Ayr · 13:55 · 6 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
19 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
-15% better than SP · -2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:33, 19 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Duchess Anne
Gowran Park · 17:37 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 7/1
Still 8/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom
15 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Sept · placed
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
Permanent record · Fired 09:33, 19 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Chipsrdown
Gowran Park · 17:37 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 5/2
Still 3/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Unibet · Star Sports · BetWright · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet
18 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +8.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:33, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Mount Meru
Gowran Park · 15:15 · 12 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
4/1 → 10/3
Still 4/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Ladbrokes
13 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:33, 19 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Selective Power
Gowran Park · 17:37 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
Still 8/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Unibet · Star Sports · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet
17 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 1 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:33, 19 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Garfield Shadow
Newbury · 15:55 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
17/2 → 7/1
22 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
• Trainer in form. 25% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+85% better than SP · +10.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:30, 19 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Bulletin
Newbury · 13:37 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
Still 12/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Star Sports · 7Bet · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m5½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+53% better than SP · +4.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:30, 19 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatMAIDEN
Pirate Of Penzance
Gowran Park · 15:15 · 12 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
Still 8/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Ladbrokes
21 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
Permanent record · Fired 09:30, 19 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Alaminos
Newmarket · 15:45 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 7/1
Still 8/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betano
25 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 8lb. 3lb below career-high OR 85.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+80% better than SP · +8.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:27, 19 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Pride Eye
Newcastle (AW) · 16:10 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 11/2
Still 6/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
17 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 10 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +2.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:24, 19 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlat
Catonahottinroof
Newmarket · 13:15 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
22/1 → 16/1
Still 22/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time h.
• Trainer in form. 26% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 25/1 (25.00)
SP: 23.00
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +0.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:24, 19 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlat
Rion Rubette
Gowran Park · 14:06 · 8 runners · Other
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · Smarkets · BetTom
20 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Gowran Park. 2/3 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 7/2 (4.70)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +3.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:24, 19 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP
Hopeful Hero
Navan · 13:42 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill
18 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 4 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +6.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:24, 19 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGHurdleMAIDEN
Emerald Enigma
Navan · 16:02 · 15 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
6/4 → 6/5
Still 6/4 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetMGM · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
15 firms had already cut to 6/5 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 6/4 (2.50)
SP: 1.80
Beat SP: Yes
+39% better than SP · +15.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:21, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Big Cypress
Gowran Park · 16:25 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Hollywood Bets
5 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 1.80
Beat SP: Yes
+81% better than SP · +24.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:21, 19 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWHurdleMAIDEN
Mossy Way
Navan · 16:02 · 15 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetMGM · Unibet · William Hill · 10 Bet · BetTom · Paddy Power
11 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
Permanent record · Fired 09:21, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Super Crown
Newmarket · 16:55 · 10 runners · Other
THE MOVE
6/1 → 11/2
Still 6/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First run after wind surgery.
• Trainer in form. 24% last 14 days.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +5.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:18, 19 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatMAIDEN
Lusted
Gowran Park · 14:41 · 7 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
14/1 → 12/1
Still 14/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetTom · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
18 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 51.00
Beat SP: No
-71% better than SP · -4.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:15, 19 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Sierra Sands
Newmarket · 15:45 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 7/1
Still 10/1 at 1 firm when alerted
10 Bet
24 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Newmarket. 2/5 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:15, 19 Sept 2026
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How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

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