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Desert Falcon · Ayr 14:30
Published 19 September 2026 · Updated 19 September 2026 · HorseWhale
At 08:51 on 19 September 2026, 23 bookmakers cut Desert Falcon from 13/2 to 11/2 in the 14:30 at Ayr. At the time of the alert, 7/1 was still available at Unibet, Matchbook and Smarkets. The race returned an SP of 8.00, making the alert price +10% better than SP, or +1.1 probability points. It finished 17 of 23, beaten 9.75 lengths.
Graded receipt
🟡 MEDIUM Flat HANDICAP
Ayr · 14:30 · 23 runners · Handicap
Still 13/2 at 3 firms when alerted
23 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 7lb. 2lb below career-high OR 97.
RESULT
LOST · finished 17
Alert price: 8/1 (8.80)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +1.1 probability points
Fired 08:51, 19 Sept 2026
What this record shows
This is a permanent HorseWhale record of a qualifying market-movement alert. It records the observed event and what happened next; it is not a recommendation or a prediction of the race result.
Alert recorded
08:51 on 19 September 2026
Qualifying bookmaker movement
23 bookmakers had cut when alerted
Earlier price still recorded
7/1 at Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets
Context at the time
Risks
• Up 7lb. 2lb below career-high OR 97.
Outcome and grade
LOST · SP: 8.00 · Beat SP: Yes
A recorded price cut does not identify individual bettors, bet size, bookmaker liabilities or the reason for the move. A horse can have a recorded move and still lose.
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