At 09:30 on 19 September 2026, 22 bookmakers cut Garfield Shadow from 17/2 to 7/1 in the 15:55 at Newbury. The race returned an SP of 4.33, making the alert price +85% better than SP, or +10.6 probability points. It won by 0.3.
🟢 STRONG Flat HANDICAP
Newbury · 15:55 · 16 runners · Handicap
22 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
• Trainer in form. 25% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+85% better than SP · +10.6 probability points
Fired 09:30, 19 Sept 2026
What this record shows
This is a permanent HorseWhale record of a qualifying market-movement alert. It records the observed event and what happened next; it is not a recommendation or a prediction of the race result.
Alert recorded
09:30 on 19 September 2026
Qualifying bookmaker movement
22 bookmakers had cut when alerted
Context at the time
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
• Trainer in form. 25% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Outcome and grade
WON · SP: 4.33 · Beat SP: Yes
A recorded price cut does not identify individual bettors, bet size, bookmaker liabilities or the reason for the move. A horse can have a recorded move and still lose.
