HorseWhaleHorseWhale

Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 21 September 2026 · HorseWhale

7963 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Volto di Medusa
Wolverhampton (AW) · 16:00 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 7/1
22 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Native Honey
Hamilton · 16:30 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 7 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 23.00
Beat SP: No
-26% better than SP · -1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Kingdom of Stars
Wolverhampton (AW) · 16:35 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 2/1
23 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 26 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 2/1 (3.00)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+4% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Bold Commander
Fairyhouse · 18:27 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Betano · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Paddy Power · Matchbook
15 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time b.
Previously on record
Alerted 17 Sept · lost
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Java Wood
Listowel · 14:55 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Midnite · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets
13 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 19 Sept · lost
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 11/1 (12.50)
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Lesley's Boy
Hamilton · 17:02 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
16 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 16 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: No
-43% better than SP · -10.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Angel's Call
Ffos Las · 17:22 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Smarkets
11 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Ffos Las. 1/5 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+28% better than SP · +4.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Zambezi Magic
Ffos Las · 17:52 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 15/8
18 firms had already cut to 15/8 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
• Ffos Las. 2/8 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 11 Sept · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/8 (2.88)
SP: 2.38
Beat SP: Yes
+21% better than SP · +7.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatMAIDEN
Zelani
Listowel · 14:23 · 14 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets
6 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +1.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Far Too Fizzy
Wolverhampton (AW) · 20:12 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
9 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Previously on record
Alerted 3 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 6/1 (6.80)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+57% better than SP · +8.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Based
Wolverhampton (AW) · 18:42 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Wolverhampton (AW). 1/5 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 4/1 (5.10)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+36% better than SP · +7.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Captain James Cook
Fairyhouse · 18:27 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook
7 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-12% better than SP · -1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Clonmacash
Fairyhouse · 18:57 · 17 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Star Sports · Unibet · Dragon Bet · Matchbook · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
6 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Harb
Hamilton · 15:55 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
19 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Previously on record
Alerted 30 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/2 (5.70)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatMAIDEN
Queen of Tears
Hamilton · 14:15 · 5 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
20/1 → 10/1
24 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: No
-35% better than SP · -3.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Montezuma
Hamilton · 15:22 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 11/2
24 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +1.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Royal Bones
Listowel · 14:55 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets
14 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 12
Alert price: 13/2 (7.40)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+64% better than SP · +8.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Private Officer
Ffos Las · 16:52 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 11/2
Still 8/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
11 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +0.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Who Is Alice
Ffos Las · 16:52 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 11/2
Still 8/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
11 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 16/1 (16.50)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +1.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Fans Favourite
Hamilton · 14:47 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Up 6lb. Career-high OR 72.
Previously on record
Alerted 11 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 6/1 (6.80)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-15% better than SP · -2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Equion
Ffos Las · 16:52 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/2 → 11/4
Still 7/2 at 12 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Unibet · Star Sports · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
11 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 6lb. 17lb below career-high OR 70.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/1 (5.20)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+49% better than SP · +9.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Arvana Belle
Ffos Las · 16:52 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 3/1
Still 9/2 at 12 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
11 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Sept · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +12.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Dandy's Angel
Hamilton · 17:00 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
Still 8/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet
18 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-18% better than SP · -2.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:31, 20 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWChaseHANDICAP
Bythesametoken
Listowel · 16:48 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · LiveScore Bet · Smarkets · Virgin Bet
22 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Listowel. 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished UR
Alert price: 10/1 (11.50)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+28% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:13, 20 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleMAIDEN
Akrramm
Plumpton · 15:08 · 6 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
25 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time h.
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m4½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished PU
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +2.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:03, 20 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Concert Pitch
Hamilton · 14:30 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
25 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +5.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:27, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdle
Sonny Corleone
Listowel · 14:18 · 11 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet
8 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 13lb. Career-high OR unavailable.
• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -1.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:15, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleMAIDEN
Premier Fantasy
Plumpton · 15:08 · 6 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
10/11 → 4/5
Still 10/11 at 18 firms when alerted
Unibet · Bet365 · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · Virgin Bet · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
4 firms had already cut to 4/5 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 25% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m4½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 1/1 (2.02)
SP: 2.00
Beat SP: Yes
+1% better than SP · +0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:24, 20 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWHurdleMAIDEN
Rhythm of Life
Plumpton · 15:08 · 6 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
12/1 → 10/1
Still 12/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Virgin Bet
23 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time t.
• Trainer in form. 100% last 14 days.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:12, 20 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdle
Le Nez Creux
Listowel · 14:48 · 4 runners · Other
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Smarkets · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Virgin Bet
4 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+47% better than SP · +8.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:00, 20 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Iris Dancer
Hamilton · 15:30 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
Still 12/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Star Sports · 10 Bet · BetTom
22 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Hamilton. 4/17 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: No
-24% better than SP · -1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:45, 20 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Persian Spirit
Hamilton · 15:30 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 11/4
Still 4/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
13 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 10lb. 4lb below career-high OR 82.
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+65% better than SP · +9.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:42, 20 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Annie Edson Taylor
Hamilton · 15:30 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 5/1
Still 13/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
17 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Hamilton. 2/4 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/1 (8.20)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+82% better than SP · +10.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:42, 20 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Mae Amor
Hamilton · 15:30 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 17/2
Still 10/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Hamilton. 1/4 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 10/1 (11.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+109% better than SP · +9.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:30, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPNH Flat
Missy Moises
Plumpton · 17:08 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 14 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Star Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
6 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 25% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 13/2 (7.60)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +5.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:27, 20 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Monoceros
Hamilton · 16:00 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 5 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
22 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 8lb. 3lb below career-high OR 87.
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 13/2 (7.60)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+52% better than SP · +6.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:45, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Galeforcechopper
Plumpton · 14:08 · 3 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 10/3
Still 4/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook
9 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Up 14lb. Career-high OR 99.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: No
-9% better than SP · -1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:45, 20 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Fear And Fast
Hamilton · 15:00 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · Smarkets · Matchbook · Midnite
14 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:27, 20 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Pj's Corner
Hamilton · 14:30 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Unibet
12 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Sept · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:09, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Farhh Echo
Plumpton · 16:38 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/8 → 13/8
Still 15/8 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
7 firms had already cut to 13/8 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 23lb. 10lb below career-high OR 101.
• Unproven at 2m4½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 18 Sept · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 15/8 (2.88)
SP: 1.67
Beat SP: Yes
+72% better than SP · +25.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:06, 20 Sept 2026
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How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

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