HorseWhaleHorseWhale

Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 20 September 2026 · HorseWhale

7740 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

🔵 TOPHurdleMAIDEN
One Dimensional
Plumpton · 15:08 · 6 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 5 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
15 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 1 to Class 4.
• Trainer in form. 25% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m4½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +3.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:09, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Uncle Liam
Hamilton · 17:00 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 15/8
Still 9/4 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
19 firms had already cut to 15/8 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Hamilton. 2/8 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 9/4 (3.35)
SP: 2.10
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +17.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:06, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
The Resdev Roman
Hamilton · 14:30 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · William Hill · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Midnite · Smarkets
6 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Up 7lb. Career-high OR 75.
Previously on record
Alerted 1 Sept · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-47% better than SP · -11.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:57, 20 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Farabove The Limit
Hamilton · 17:00 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Star Sports
23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
Permanent record · Fired 08:57, 20 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Flying Moonlight
Hamilton · 17:00 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 4/1
Still 5/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
12 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
-5% better than SP · -0.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:54, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChase
Apple's Of Bresil
Listowel · 16:18 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets
5 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/2 (3.55)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: No
-5% better than SP · -1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:45, 20 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWChaseHANDICAP
Costacurta
Listowel · 16:48 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:45, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Aggagio
Plumpton · 16:38 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
13 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 30lb. 15lb below career-high OR 110.
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · lost
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Green Hint
Listowel · 17:18 · 13 runners · Other
THE MOVE
10/11 → 4/5
Still 10/11 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Dragon Bet
13 firms had already cut to 4/5 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 1/1 (1.96)
SP: 1.62
Beat SP: Yes
+21% better than SP · +10.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 20 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP
A Tickatickatiming
Plumpton · 16:38 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook
21 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Ned Broy
Hamilton · 17:00 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Betfred · Unibet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
16 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 6.
Risks
• Heavy vs Good. First run on this going.
• Up 11lb. Career-high OR 64.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Motawaared
Hamilton · 16:30 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 1 firm when alerted
Smarkets
19 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 18 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/4 (3.80)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +10.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 20 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Kilmac Air
Hamilton · 15:00 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
25 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 19 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +4.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 20 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP
Radiator Springs
Listowel · 15:18 · 18 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 4/1
Still 5/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Quinn Bet · Smarkets · Virgin Bet · 10 Bet
9 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +6.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:27, 20 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP
Stage Show
Plumpton · 15:38 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
24 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 19lb. 3lb below career-high OR 79.
• Unproven at 3m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +0.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChase
Sky Lord
Listowel · 16:18 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets
8 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 9/2 (5.30)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +4.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 20 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGHurdleMAIDEN
Raulin
Plumpton · 14:38 · 3 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/2 → 5/2
Still 11/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Betfred · BetTom · BetWright
21 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 18lb. Career-high OR unavailable.
• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+75% better than SP · +10.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 20 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP
Shirzan
Listowel · 15:18 · 18 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Smarkets
19 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 15/2 (8.60)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+56% better than SP · +6.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Mancero
Plumpton · 15:38 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 2/1
Still 5/2 at 9 firms when alerted
Unibet · Boyle Sports · Smarkets · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · BetTom · BetWright · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
15 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time v.
Risks
• Up 16lb. 3lb below career-high OR 100.
• Unproven at 3m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 19 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 3/1 (4.10)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +2.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Mojito des Mottes
Plumpton · 16:08 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
2/1 → 6/4
Still 2/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · Star Sports · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
19 firms had already cut to 6/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 25% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
-35% better than SP · -10.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Nap Hand
Plumpton · 16:08 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 9/4
Still 10/3 at 3 firms when alerted
BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
18 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
Risks
• Up 11lb. Career-high OR 118.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +11.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 20 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGHurdleHANDICAP
Jefe Triunfo
Plumpton · 15:38 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 10/3
Still 4/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Unibet · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Paddy Power · Virgin Bet
14 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 3m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 6 Sept · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+71% better than SP · +11.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 20 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP
Pooroldmackley
Plumpton · 15:38 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 11/2
Still 7/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 8lb. 6lb below career-high OR 89.
• Unproven at 3m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 15/2 (8.60)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+43% better than SP · +5.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 20 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGHurdleHANDICAP
Gower Prince
Plumpton · 16:08 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Star Sports · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · BetTom
18 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 29% last 14 days.
Risks
• Good vs Good To Firm. Career record: 1/9 on Good.
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+120% better than SP · +10.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 20 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMChaseHANDICAP
Where's My Jet
Listowel · 16:48 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 6/1
Still 15/2 at 9 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · Unibet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · Smarkets
14 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 4 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+89% better than SP · +10.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Jannas Journey
Hamilton · 15:30 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
Still 7/2 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Midnite
16 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 8lb. 6lb below career-high OR 85.
Previously on record
Alerted 19 Sept · lost
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Jalila Moriviere
Listowel · 16:48 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
22 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 13lb. Career-high OR 139.
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
-10% better than SP · -2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Siorai
Plumpton · 14:08 · 3 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/5 → 1/1
10 firms had already cut to 1/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 15lb. 4lb below career-high OR 101.
RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 1/1 (2.00)
SP: 2.10
Beat SP: No
-5% better than SP · -2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 20 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Wootton's Gal
Hamilton · 17:00 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 17/2
Still 10/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Betfred · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Risks
• Up 8lb. 4lb below career-high OR 65.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+69% better than SP · +6.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
French Diablo
Plumpton · 15:38 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · BetWright
20 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 25% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 3m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 10 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+24% better than SP · +5.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Anxious Moments
Plumpton · 16:38 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m4½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: No
-34% better than SP · -5.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Fantasy Force
Hamilton · 14:30 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
Still 8/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Midnite
22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 5.
• First-time b.
Risks
• Up 8lb. 2lb below career-high OR 77.
Previously on record
Alerted 19 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-18% better than SP · -2.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleMAIDEN
Arcturus Flame
Plumpton · 14:38 · 3 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Coral · Ladbrokes · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
18 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 25lb. Career-high OR unavailable.
• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 1.29
Beat SP: Yes
+152% better than SP · +46.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 20 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlat
Sir Vinny
Listowel · 17:18 · 13 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/4 → 1/1
Still 5/4 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · BetMGM · Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · BetTom · BetWright
10 firms had already cut to 1/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 6/4 (2.44)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: No
-19% better than SP · -7.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 20 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleMAIDEN
Labondance
Listowel · 15:48 · 16 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Paddy Power · Betfair Sportsbook · Hollywood Bets
14 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 24 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 4
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-47% better than SP · -5.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChase
Ocastle Des Mottes
Listowel · 16:18 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/8 → 5/4
Still 11/8 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · William Hill · Betano · Hollywood Bets · BetWright
9 firms had already cut to 5/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 7 Sept · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/8 (2.38)
SP: 2.25
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 20 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGHurdleMAIDEN
Run Ted Run
Listowel · 15:48 · 16 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/10 → 10/11
Still 11/10 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
9 firms had already cut to 10/11 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/10 (2.10)
SP: 1.67
Beat SP: Yes
+26% better than SP · +12.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Taylormade Lad
Hamilton · 17:00 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 6/1
22 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 27 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +5.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Unicorn Milkshake
Hamilton · 14:00 · 7 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
9/1 → 6/1
23 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +5.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Tee Aitch Aye
Hamilton · 16:30 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Hamilton. 2/5 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 20 Sept 2026
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How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

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