Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.
HurdleMAIDEN
Bellewstown · 16:25 · 14 runners · Maiden
Still 5/2 at 9 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Boyle Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Midnite · Paddy Power
16 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m4½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/2 (3.55)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: No
-5% better than SP · -1.5 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Catterick · 15:45 · 8 runners · Handicap
Still 12/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright
19 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 14/1 (15.50)
SP: 21.00
Beat SP: No
-26% better than SP · -1.7 probability points
Hurdle
Bellewstown · 15:51 · 13 runners · Other
Still 4/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · BetMGM · William Hill · BetWright · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betano · BetTom · BresBet · Dragon Bet
10 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m4½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -1.5 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Kempton (AW) · 20:21 · 11 runners · Handicap
Still 5/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom
15 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Risks
• Up 6lb. 2lb below career-high OR 85.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 6/1 (6.80)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: No
-3% better than SP · -0.4 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Kempton (AW) · 19:51 · 8 runners · Handicap
22 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 6lb. Career-high OR 80.
• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+67% better than SP · +13.3 probability points
Flat
Wolverhampton (AW) · 16:00 · 11 runners · Other
Still 4/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
13 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: No
-9% better than SP · -1.8 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Kempton (AW) · 20:21 · 11 runners · Handicap
Still 3/1 at 6 firms when alerted
William Hill · Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Midnite
16 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +4.4 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Wolverhampton (AW) · 15:00 · 8 runners · Handicap
Still 9/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Betfred · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
17 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +8.3 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Wolverhampton (AW) · 15:00 · 8 runners · Handicap
Still 13/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
18 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/1 (7.80)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+80% better than SP · +10.3 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Wolverhampton (AW) · 15:00 · 8 runners · Handicap
Still 11/4 at 8 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Midnite · Quinn Bet
15 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Wolverhampton (AW). 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
-10% better than SP · -2.2 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Newbury · 19:00 · 6 runners · Handicap
Still 15/2 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom
21 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Kempton (AW) · 19:21 · 9 runners · Handicap
Still 5/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Smarkets
18 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
-48% better than SP · -7.8 probability points
FlatMAIDEN
Catterick · 14:45 · 8 runners · Maiden
Still 9/2 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · Paddy Power · Betfair Sportsbook · Midnite · Quinn Bet
16 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+47% better than SP · +7.1 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Newbury · 19:30 · 7 runners · Handicap
Still 15/8 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · William Hill · Betano · BetTom
8 firms had already cut to 13/8 when alerted
Risks
• Up 6lb. Career-high OR 80.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 15/8 (2.88)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: No
-28% better than SP · -9.7 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Newbury · 18:30 · 12 runners · Handicap
Still 9/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betano · BetWright
17 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.60)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+104% better than SP · +18.5 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Catterick · 15:15 · 5 runners · Handicap
Still 4/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · Matchbook
17 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Catterick. 1/3 at this course.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+43% better than SP · +8.6 probability points
Flat
Catterick · 16:52 · 13 runners · Other
Still 11/2 at 2 firms when alerted
William Hill · BetTom
21 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Risks
• Up 6lb. 13lb below career-high OR 60.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-19% better than SP · -2.9 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Catterick · 16:15 · 8 runners · Handicap
Still 4/1 at 2 firms when alerted
LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
20 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
Risks
• Up 9lb. 6lb below career-high OR 90.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
FlatHANDICAP
Catterick · 15:15 · 5 runners · Handicap
Still 11/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · BetTom · BresBet · Dragon Bet
13 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
• Catterick. 1/4 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-19% better than SP · -2.9 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Catterick · 15:15 · 5 runners · Handicap
Still 9/2 at 10 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · William Hill · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · Matchbook
15 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Catterick. 1/5 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +4.0 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Wolverhampton (AW) · 15:00 · 8 runners · Handicap
24 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Wolverhampton (AW). 1/4 at this course.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
Flat
Wolverhampton (AW) · 14:30 · 11 runners · Other
Still 11/10 at 3 firms when alerted
William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook
6 firms had already cut to 10/11 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 6/5 (2.18)
SP: 2.25
Beat SP: No
-3% better than SP · -1.4 probability points
FlatMAIDEN
Newbury · 17:55 · 10 runners · Maiden
22 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
-28% better than SP · -6.4 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Newbury · 19:30 · 7 runners · Handicap
Still 9/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Star Sports · William Hill · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetWright
15 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 9/2 (5.60)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+104% better than SP · +18.5 probability points
FlatMAIDEN
Newbury · 16:45 · 10 runners · Maiden
22 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
Risks
• Unproven at 6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +3.6 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Wolverhampton (AW) · 16:35 · 12 runners · Handicap
Still 10/3 at 4 firms when alerted
Matchbook · BetTom · BetWright · Smarkets
16 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Wolverhampton (AW). 1/11 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 10/3 (4.40)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
-27% better than SP · -6.1 probability points
Flat
Wolverhampton (AW) · 16:00 · 11 runners · Other
Still 5/1 at 4 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · BetTom · Smarkets
17 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+71% better than SP · +11.0 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Wolverhampton (AW) · 16:35 · 12 runners · Handicap
Still 13/2 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom
21 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +6.7 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Wolverhampton (AW) · 14:00 · 6 runners · Handicap
Still 2/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Smarkets · Matchbook
17 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Risks
• Up 8lb. 11lb below career-high OR 65.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 9/4 (3.20)
SP: 2.25
Beat SP: Yes
+42% better than SP · +13.2 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Wolverhampton (AW) · 15:30 · 7 runners · Handicap
16 firms had already cut to 6/5 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 6/5 (2.20)
SP: 2.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +4.5 probability points
Flat
Catterick · 16:52 · 13 runners · Other
24 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Risks
• Up 9lb. 1lb below career-high OR 49.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +4.0 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Catterick · 16:15 · 8 runners · Handicap
Still 15/2 at 3 firms when alerted
LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · Matchbook
20 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+73% better than SP · +7.7 probability points
GAMBLE FORMINGHurdleHANDICAP
Bellewstown · 19:08 · 15 runners · Handicap
Still 5/2 at 3 firms when alerted
William Hill · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power
19 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Result pending. Graded against SP and Betfair SP once the result lands.
FlatHANDICAP
Wolverhampton (AW) · 16:35 · 12 runners · Handicap
6 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Wolverhampton (AW). 1/3 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/2 (5.70)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +2.5 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Kempton (AW) · 20:21 · 11 runners · Handicap
24 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
Risks
• Up 7lb. Career-high OR 79.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Flat
Wolverhampton (AW) · 16:00 · 11 runners · Other
Still 9/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom
20 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Wolverhampton (AW). 1/2 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (5.90)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
-9% better than SP · -1.6 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Newbury · 19:00 · 6 runners · Handicap
Still 11/4 at 2 firms when alerted
BetMGM · BetTom
20 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +13.3 probability points
HurdleHANDICAP
Stratford · 18:45 · 8 runners · Handicap
Still 7/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
8 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 4/1 (4.90)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
-2% better than SP · -0.4 probability points
ChaseHANDICAP
Stratford · 18:15 · 4 runners · Handicap
Still 1/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · LiveScore Bet · Matchbook · Virgin Bet · Smarkets
4 firms had already cut to 2/5 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished PU
Alert price: 1/2 (1.50)
SP: 1.44
Beat SP: Yes
+4% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
NH Flat
Stratford · 19:45 · 8 runners · Other
Still 66/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
25 firms had already cut to 33/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 80/1 (90.00)
SP: 41.00
Beat SP: Yes
+120% better than SP · +1.3 probability points
