Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 26 August 2026 · HorseWhale

8770 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

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FlatHANDICAP
Kempton (AW) · 20:21 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Matchbook · Quinn Bet · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Kempton (AW). 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 10/1 (11.50)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +1.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:18, 26 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Newbury · 17:55 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betano · BetTom
22 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+117% better than SP · +9.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:18, 26 Aug 2026
Flat
Wolverhampton (AW) · 14:30 · 11 runners · Other
THE MOVE
3/1 → 5/2
Still 3/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
12 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/3 (4.30)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: Yes
+72% better than SP · +16.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:18, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Wolverhampton (AW) · 14:00 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 10/1
Still 11/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · BetMGM · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet
19 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 12/1 (14.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: No
-18% better than SP · -1.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:15, 26 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Bellewstown · 18:38 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Quinn Bet
21 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +3.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:15, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Kempton (AW) · 20:51 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · BetWright
23 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+54% better than SP · +5.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:15, 26 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Bellewstown · 17:35 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · BetWright
22 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m4½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+36% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 26 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Newbury · 17:20 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/2 → 5/1
Still 11/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 6/1 (7.20)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+80% better than SP · +11.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:09, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Kempton (AW) · 19:21 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 10/3
Still 4/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Star Sports · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright
15 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:09, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Wolverhampton (AW) · 14:00 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 17/2
25 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+90% better than SP · +9.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:09, 26 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Catterick · 14:15 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
33/1 → 20/1
Still 33/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
24 firms had already cut to 20/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 40/1 (46.00)
SP: 23.00
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:54, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Newbury · 18:30 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright
14 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+2% better than SP · +0.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:51, 26 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Newbury · 17:20 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · BetWright
20 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +1.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:51, 26 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Catterick · 14:15 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
22/1 → 16/1
Still 22/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom
22 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
Risks
• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 40/1 (44.00)
SP: 34.00
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +0.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:51, 26 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Catterick · 14:15 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
18/1 → 14/1
Still 18/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom
24 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 50/1 (48.00)
SP: 41.00
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +0.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:42, 26 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Catterick · 14:45 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Paddy Power
24 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +5.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:42, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Wolverhampton (AW) · 14:00 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 13 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · BresBet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
5 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 6.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.40)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
-17% better than SP · -3.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 26 Aug 2026
Flat
Kempton (AW) · 18:51 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetMGM · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Midnite
6 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.60)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+49% better than SP · +8.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 26 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Catterick · 14:15 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
14/1 → 10/1
Still 14/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom
24 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 18/1 (18.50)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+85% better than SP · +4.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 26 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Catterick · 14:15 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
1/1 → 4/6
Still 1/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright
21 firms had already cut to 4/6 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/8 (2.40)
SP: 2.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +8.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 26 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Catterick · 14:15 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/4 → 2/1
Still 11/4 at 11 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · William Hill · Betfred · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · LiveScore Bet · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
7 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/3 (4.20)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: Yes
+68% better than SP · +16.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 26 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Newbury · 16:45 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Unibet · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Quinn Bet · 10 Bet
10 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: No
-14% better than SP · -2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:30, 26 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Newbury · 17:55 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · William Hill · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Smarkets
16 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: No
-27% better than SP · -6.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:27, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Kempton (AW) · 20:21 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
28/1 → 18/1
Still 28/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
24 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 33/1 (34.00)
SP: 23.00
Beat SP: Yes
+48% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:27, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Catterick · 15:15 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · 7Bet · BetTom · Dragon Bet · Matchbook
19 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Risks
• Up 10lb. 2lb below career-high OR 59.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:21, 26 Aug 2026
GAMBLE FORMINGHurdleHANDICAP
Bellewstown · 19:08 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 9lb. 5lb below career-high OR 104.
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Result pending. Graded against SP and Betfair SP once the result lands.
Permanent record · Fired 08:21, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Newbury · 19:30 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
28/1 → 20/1
24 firms had already cut to 20/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 20/1 (20.25)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +0.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Kempton (AW) · 20:51 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 6/1
Still 15/2 at 1 firm when alerted
BetMGM
24 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 7lb. 3lb below career-high OR 72.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +1.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Catterick · 16:15 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
23 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+64% better than SP · +7.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 26 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Bellewstown · 17:35 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
18 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Risks
• Up 32lb. Career-high OR 123.
• Unproven at 2m4½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Catterick · 15:45 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/9 → 4/11
5 firms had already cut to 4/11 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/11 (1.36)
SP: 1.36
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 26 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Catterick · 14:45 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
5/6 → 8/11
Still 5/6 at 19 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · BetMGM · Betfred · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · BetWright · Paddy Power · 7Bet · BetTom · BresBet · Dragon Bet · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet · 10 Bet
4 firms had already cut to 8/11 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 21/20 (2.06)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: No
-45% better than SP · -21.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 26 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Catterick · 14:15 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · BetTom · Midnite · 10 Bet · Matchbook
17 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Kempton (AW) · 20:51 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom
15 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/4 (3.80)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
-24% better than SP · -6.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 26 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Bellewstown · 17:00 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
21 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished CO
Alert price: 10/1 (11.50)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+64% better than SP · +5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 26 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Bellewstown · 18:38 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
20/1 → 14/1
Still 20/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · BetWright
21 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 20/1 (21.00)
SP: 26.00
Beat SP: No
-19% better than SP · -0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 26 Aug 2026
Hurdle
Bellewstown · 18:05 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/4 → 11/10
Still 5/4 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook
15 firms had already cut to 11/10 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 5/4 (2.25)
SP: 1.62
Beat SP: Yes
+39% better than SP · +17.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Wolverhampton (AW) · 16:35 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom
23 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+67% better than SP · +6.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Wolverhampton (AW) · 15:00 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
10 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+57% better than SP · +10.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 26 Aug 2026
HurdleMAIDEN
Bellewstown · 16:25 · 14 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 9 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Boyle Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Midnite · Paddy Power
16 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m4½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/2 (3.55)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: No
-5% better than SP · -1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 26 Aug 2026

How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

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