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Empirical

HorseWhale has recorded 2 money events for Empirical since 26 August 2026: most recently on 18 September 2026, when 20 bookmakers cut it from 5/2 to 9/4 at Newbury. It won.

2 money events since 26 August 2026 · 1-1-0 after money (graded alerts only)

Published 26 August 2026 · Updated 18 September 2026 · HorseWhale

🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Empirical
Newbury · 17:50 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 26 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/2 (3.60)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +3.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:18, 18 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Empirical
Newbury · 19:30 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/8 → 13/8
Still 15/8 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · William Hill · Betano · BetTom
8 firms had already cut to 13/8 when alerted
Risks
• Up 6lb. Career-high OR 80.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 15/8 (2.88)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: No
-28% better than SP · -9.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 26 Aug 2026

Runs

DateCourseRacePosMarginSP
18 Sept 2026NewburyFlat1Won by 0.75L3.25
26 Aug 2026NewburyFlat2Beaten 0.5L4.00
27 Jul 2026AyrFlat1—3.50
2 Jul 2026NottinghamFlat1—2.25
9 May 2026NottinghamFlat3—5.50
28 Jan 2026Kempton (AW)Flat8—13.00
27 Dec 2025Wolverhampton (AW)Flat3—26.00
12 Dec 2025Southwell (AW)Flat7—3.00
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