Empirical · Newbury 19:30

Published 26 August 2026 · Updated 26 August 2026 · HorseWhale

At 07:42 on 26 August 2026, 8 bookmakers cut Empirical from 15/8 to 13/8 in the 19:30 at Newbury. At the time of the alert, 15/8 was still available at Bet Victor, Unibet, William Hill, Betano and BetTom. The race returned an SP of 4.00, making the alert price -28% better than SP, or -9.7 probability points. It finished 2 of 7, beaten 0.5 lengths.

Graded receipt

FlatHANDICAP

Empirical

Newbury · 19:30 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

15/8 → 13/8

Still 15/8 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · William Hill · Betano · BetTom

8 firms had already cut to 13/8 when alerted

Risks

• Up 6lb. Career-high OR 80.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 15/8 (2.88)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: No
-28% better than SP · -9.7 probability points

Fired 07:42, 26 Aug 2026

What this record shows

This is a permanent HorseWhale record of a qualifying market-movement alert. It records the observed event and what happened next; it is not a recommendation or a prediction of the race result.

Alert recorded

07:42 on 26 August 2026

Horse and race

Empirical · Newbury · 19:30

Observed move

15/8 → 13/8

Qualifying bookmaker movement

8 bookmakers had cut when alerted

Earlier price still recorded

15/8 at Bet Victor · Unibet · William Hill · Betano · BetTom

Context at the time

Risks

• Up 6lb. Career-high OR 80.

Outcome and grade

PLACED · SP: 4.00 · Beat SP: No

A recorded price cut does not identify individual bettors, bet size, bookmaker liabilities or the reason for the move. A horse can have a recorded move and still lose.

Empirical · Newbury 19:30

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