Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 27 August 2026 · HorseWhale

8757 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

HurdleHANDICAP
Newton Abbot · 17:42 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Betfred · 7Bet · BetWright
18 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Southwell (AW) · 18:30 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 7/1
Still 8/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+125% better than SP · +13.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 27 Aug 2026
Flat
Carlisle · 14:30 · 11 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
20 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +4.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Southwell (AW) · 18:00 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 3/1
25 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Southwell (AW). 1/3 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Carlisle · 16:30 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 10/3
Still 4/1 at 7 firms when alerted
William Hill · BetTom · LiveScore Bet · Matchbook · Midnite · Virgin Bet · Smarkets
16 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Navan · 15:44 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 8/1
24 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 27 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Ffos Las · 15:07 · 6 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/8 → 1/1
23 firms had already cut to 1/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 1/1 (2.00)
SP: 1.73
Beat SP: Yes
+16% better than SP · +7.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Carlisle · 16:30 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 15/8
Still 9/4 at 4 firms when alerted
7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Midnite
18 firms had already cut to 15/8 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +2.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 27 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Navan · 15:14 · 6 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
8/13 → 8/15
Still 8/13 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets
4 firms had already cut to 8/15 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 8/13 (1.62)
SP: 1.40
Beat SP: Yes
+16% better than SP · +9.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Carlisle · 16:00 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
22/1 → 12/1
25 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Navan · 17:24 · 22 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
28/1 → 18/1
24 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Navan. 1/2 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 21.00
Beat SP: No
-10% better than SP · -0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Ffos Las · 17:07 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 15/2
Still 12/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Quinn Bet
23 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 27 Aug 2026
HurdleMAIDEN
Newton Abbot · 16:42 · 4 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
4/6 → 4/7
Still 4/6 at 19 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · William Hill · BetTom · 7Bet · Betano · Betfair Sportsbook · BetWright · Dragon Bet · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet · Hollywood Bets
4 firms had already cut to 4/7 when alerted
Risks
• Up 9lb. 2lb below career-high OR 106.
• Unproven at 2m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 8/11 (1.73)
SP: 1.44
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +11.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Lingfield (AW) · 16:55 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/5 → 4/6
Still 4/5 at 6 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · William Hill · Midnite · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · Matchbook
14 firms had already cut to 4/6 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/6 (1.83)
SP: 1.57
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +9.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Carlisle · 16:30 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 9 firms when alerted
William Hill · Bet365 · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Virgin Bet
14 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Carlisle · 16:30 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 3 firms when alerted
William Hill · BetTom · Midnite
17 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+83% better than SP · +7.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Carlisle · 16:30 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 6 firms when alerted
William Hill · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Midnite · Quinn Bet
13 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Carlisle. 1/3 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 2.62
Beat SP: Yes
+110% better than SP · +20.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Southwell (AW) · 21:00 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
17/2 → 13/2
24 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Risks
• Up 9lb. 15lb below career-high OR 76.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: No
-12% better than SP · -1.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Ffos Las · 14:37 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 4 firms when alerted
William Hill · Betfair Sportsbook · Midnite · Paddy Power
15 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +2.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Southwell (AW) · 20:00 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook
21 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 27 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Newton Abbot · 19:12 · 4 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes
7 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Newton Abbot. 2/3 at this course.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+57% better than SP · +10.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 27 Aug 2026
Flat
Ffos Las · 15:37 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Coral · Ladbrokes · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Smarkets
11 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Risks
• Up 8lb. 19lb below career-high OR 66.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+71% better than SP · +11.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Ffos Las · 16:07 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 2 firms when alerted
William Hill · Smarkets
11 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Risks
• Up 9lb. 8lb below career-high OR 73.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+74% better than SP · +14.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Navan · 16:15 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
20/1 → 11/1
24 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Kempton (AW) · 19:51 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/1 (10.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +3.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 19:44, 26 Aug 2026
GAMBLE FORMINGHurdleHANDICAP
Bellewstown · 19:08 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
22/1 → 16/1
Still 22/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
24 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
Result pending. Graded against SP and Betfair SP once the result lands.
Permanent record · Fired 19:07, 26 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Bellewstown · 18:38 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 7/1 (8.20)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+26% better than SP · +3.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 18:34, 26 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Bellewstown · 18:38 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 7/1
Still 9/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright · Midnite
21 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 7lb. 7lb below career-high OR 105.
RESULT
LOST · finished SU
Alert price: 10/1 (11.50)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
-4% better than SP · -0.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 18:34, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Kempton (AW) · 20:51 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
22/1 → 18/1
25 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: Yes
+12% better than SP · +0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 18:28, 26 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Bellewstown · 18:38 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 9/1
Still 10/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
24 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 36lb. Career-high OR 96.
RESULT
LOST · finished 12
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+167% better than SP · +13.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 18:10, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Newbury · 18:30 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 13 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetMGM · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
13 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Newbury. 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+16% better than SP · +2.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 18:10, 26 Aug 2026
Flat
Kempton (AW) · 18:20 · 8 runners · Other
THE MOVE
1/2 → 2/5
Still 1/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Unibet · Bet365 · BetMGM · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Quinn Bet
5 firms had already cut to 2/5 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 8/15 (1.53)
SP: 1.57
Beat SP: No
-3% better than SP · -1.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 18:07, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Kempton (AW) · 20:21 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
25/1 → 16/1
Still 25/1 at 6 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet
22 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 33/1 (32.00)
SP: 34.00
Beat SP: No
-6% better than SP · -0.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 18:07, 26 Aug 2026
Hurdle
Bellewstown · 18:05 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
23 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Bellewstown. 1/1 at this course.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-20% better than SP · -1.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 18:01, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Kempton (AW) · 19:21 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 13/2 (7.40)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:49, 26 Aug 2026
Hurdle
Bellewstown · 18:05 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · William Hill · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets
13 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:46, 26 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Bellewstown · 17:35 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Unibet
19 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+71% better than SP · +6.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:34, 26 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Newbury · 17:55 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betano · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
8 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/4 (3.65)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +5.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:01, 26 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Bellewstown · 17:00 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · 7Bet
13 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Risks
• Up 12lb. 12lb below career-high OR 103.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +1.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:58, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Kempton (AW) · 19:21 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 10/3
Still 4/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betano
10 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted
Why it rates
• Kempton (AW). 1/3 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+82% better than SP · +16.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:43, 26 Aug 2026

How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

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