Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 27 August 2026 · HorseWhale

8715 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP

Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.

Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

FlatHANDICAP

Anightaway

Navan · 17:24 · 22 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/2 → 5/1

Still 13/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetTom · BetWright · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet

19 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 18
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +2.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 17:22, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Ms Messi

Navan · 17:24 · 22 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/1 → 8/1

Still 10/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Smarkets · Matchbook

24 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 12
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +3.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 17:19, 27 Aug 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Pivotal Days

Newton Abbot · 17:42 · 5 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

40/1 → 22/1

Still 40/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Star Sports · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright

20 firms had already cut to 22/1 when alerted

Risks

• Up 16lb. 4lb below career-high OR 92.

• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished PU
Alert price: 40/1 (41.00)
SP: 51.00
Beat SP: No
-20% better than SP · -0.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 17:04, 27 Aug 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Most Wanted

Newton Abbot · 17:42 · 5 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/1 → 15/2

Still 10/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Hollywood Bets · BetTom

20 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +1.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 17:04, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Love Orchid

Navan · 16:49 · 18 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

15/2 → 13/2

Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets

23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 15/2 (8.60)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+1% better than SP · +0.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 16:46, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Chapel Island

Navan · 16:49 · 18 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

12/1 → 11/1

Still 12/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright

22 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 14/1 (15.50)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+41% better than SP · +2.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 16:34, 27 Aug 2026

Flat

Kev

Lingfield (AW) · 16:22 · 13 runners · Other

THE MOVE

14/1 → 11/1

Still 14/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook

23 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 14/1 (16.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: No
-6% better than SP · -0.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 16:16, 27 Aug 2026

Flat

Taskheer

Lingfield (AW) · 16:22 · 13 runners · Other

THE MOVE

11/2 → 5/1

Still 11/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Unibet · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets · Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetTom · Quinn Bet

22 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

Risks

• Up 7lb. 6lb below career-high OR 53.

• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+88% better than SP · +11.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 16:13, 27 Aug 2026

ChaseHANDICAP

Lynsey Larue

Newton Abbot · 17:12 · 4 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

Still 16/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · BetTom · BetWright · Smarkets

19 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 3m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+58% better than SP · +3.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 16:07, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Bill Silvers

Navan · 15:44 · 13 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

25/1 → 16/1

23 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 13
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 23.00
Beat SP: No
-26% better than SP · -1.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:31, 27 Aug 2026

ChaseHANDICAP

Gore Point

Newton Abbot · 18:12 · 4 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

6/4 → 6/5

Still 6/4 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · BetTom · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · Smarkets

4 firms had already cut to 6/5 when alerted

Why it rates

• Newton Abbot. 3/7 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 6/4 (2.50)
SP: 1.83
Beat SP: Yes
+37% better than SP · +14.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:28, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Brave Leader

Ffos Las · 17:07 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 4/1

Still 5/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · William Hill · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Virgin Bet

5 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.

RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +1.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:07, 27 Aug 2026

HurdleMAIDEN

Nightflyer

Newton Abbot · 16:42 · 4 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

11/4 → 5/2

Still 11/4 at 8 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet

12 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 2m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:04, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Furturra

Southwell (AW) · 20:00 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/1 → 9/1

Still 11/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · 10 Bet · LiveScore Bet · Smarkets · Virgin Bet

21 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +1.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:37, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Lightning Galaxy

Carlisle · 17:00 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

15/2 → 13/2

25 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +3.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:19, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Captain Cairney

Southwell (AW) · 21:00 · 5 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/3 → 3/1

Still 10/3 at 4 firms when alerted
Betfred · Star Sports · Unibet · BetTom

7 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +1.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:01, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Chicago Moon

Navan · 16:49 · 18 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Betfred · Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet

22 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +2.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:55, 27 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Neswick

Ffos Las · 16:37 · 5 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

10/1 → 8/1

Still 10/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Unibet

21 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:27, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Trumph

Navan · 16:15 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/1 → 9/1

Still 11/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Matchbook · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet

21 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

Risks

• Up 6lb. Career-high OR 70.

• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 14/1 (14.50)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+32% better than SP · +2.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:03, 27 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Rollin'onariver

Navan · 14:44 · 8 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

50/1 → 28/1

24 firms had already cut to 28/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 28/1 (29.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: Yes
+53% better than SP · +1.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:03, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Mythical Rock

Navan · 16:15 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

8/1 → 13/2

Still 8/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Unibet · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Smarkets · Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Quinn Bet

15 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+67% better than SP · +6.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:00, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Cosmic Funk

Navan · 16:15 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/1 → 9/1

Still 11/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet

16 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 12/1 (13.50)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+4% better than SP · +0.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:00, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Bibendum

Carlisle · 16:00 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/1 → 9/1

Still 11/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook

25 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.

Risks

• Up 6lb. 3lb below career-high OR 62.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:51, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Adelaide Bay

Southwell (AW) · 18:30 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/4 → 2/1

Still 9/4 at 3 firms when alerted
William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook

12 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/2 (3.40)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+24% better than SP · +7.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:45, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Blissful Bonita

Navan · 16:49 · 18 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets

8 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 4
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +7.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:33, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Alto Sax

Navan · 15:44 · 13 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/2 → 11/2

Still 13/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets

18 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 13/2 (7.60)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +5.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:24, 27 Aug 2026

Flat

Blazing Inferno

Carlisle · 14:30 · 11 runners · Other

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betano · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet

16 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 6/1 (6.80)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+5% better than SP · +0.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:21, 27 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Jezzie Bea

Navan · 15:14 · 6 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

7/1 → 6/1

Still 7/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetWright · Midnite

18 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 9/1 (10.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+110% better than SP · +10.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:12, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Aurora Valkyrie

Carlisle · 15:00 · 5 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

18/1 → 12/1

Still 18/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets

22 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 21.00
Beat SP: No
-10% better than SP · -0.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:09, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Worlington

Southwell (AW) · 21:00 · 5 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/3 → 3/1

Still 10/3 at 3 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets

22 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+4% better than SP · +0.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:09, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Starshot

Southwell (AW) · 18:30 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

33/1 → 22/1

Still 33/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets

25 firms had already cut to 22/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 33/1 (34.00)
SP: 29.00
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +0.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:06, 27 Aug 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Ellerton

Newton Abbot · 19:42 · 2 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/8 → 11/8

6 firms had already cut to 11/8 when alerted

Why it rates

• Newton Abbot. 1/3 at this course.

Risks

• Unproven at 2m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/8 (2.38)
SP: 2.25
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +2.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:03, 27 Aug 2026

Flat

Enoch

Lingfield (AW) · 15:22 · 7 runners · Other

THE MOVE

5/6 → 4/6

Still 5/6 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright

15 firms had already cut to 4/6 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/5 (1.80)
SP: 1.40
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +15.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:03, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Sneaky Blinder

Ffos Las · 16:07 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

20/1 → 18/1

Still 20/1 at 3 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power

23 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 20/1 (21.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +1.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:00, 27 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Thuritha

Lingfield (AW) · 14:52 · 4 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

15/2 → 6/1

Still 15/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom

19 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/2 (8.60)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+72% better than SP · +8.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:54, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Prince Kameo

Lingfield (AW) · 14:22 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

6/1 → 5/1

Still 6/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Unibet

24 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 6.

Risks

• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +5.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:39, 27 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Blue Hercules

Ffos Las · 16:37 · 5 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

15/8 → 6/4

Still 15/8 at 2 firms when alerted
Unibet · Smarkets

4 firms had already cut to 6/4 when alerted

Risks

• Up 8lb. Career-high OR 86.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 15/8 (2.88)
SP: 2.20
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +10.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:33, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Heretic

Southwell (AW) · 18:00 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/3 → 11/4

Still 10/3 at 3 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets

13 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted

Why it rates

• Southwell (AW). 3/16 at this course.

Risks

• Up 6lb. 8lb below career-high OR 59.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +10.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:33, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Rory's Gold

Carlisle · 17:00 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

25/1 → 16/1

25 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 21.00
Beat SP: No
-19% better than SP · -1.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:30, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Supreme Lord

Navan · 13:44 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/4 → 15/8

16 firms had already cut to 15/8 when alerted

Risks

• Up 6lb. Career-high OR 79.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/8 (2.88)
SP: 2.38
Beat SP: Yes
+21% better than SP · +7.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:15, 27 Aug 2026

How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

Search HorseWhale horse records · Read the grading methodology · How to check if a horse was backed

Browse all receipts