Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 31 August 2026 · HorseWhale

8578 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP

Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.

Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

HurdleHANDICAP

Secret Secret

Cartmel · 15:10 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 13/2

Still 7/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power

25 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 15/2 (8.40)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+110% better than SP · +13.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:45, 31 Aug 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Imperial Data

Cartmel · 15:45 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/1 → 9/1

Still 11/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook

26 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Cartmel. 1/5 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -0.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:45, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Filly Eilish

Southwell (AW) · 15:51 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets

17 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Southwell (AW). 1/4 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/2 (5.40)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+35% better than SP · +6.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:42, 31 Aug 2026

Flat

Quirke On Parole

Ripon · 17:20 · 10 runners · Other

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 11 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Unibet · William Hill · 10 Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Matchbook

7 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +6.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:42, 31 Aug 2026

Flat

Ruler's Control

Roscommon · 16:50 · 9 runners · Other

THE MOVE

7/4 → 6/4

Still 7/4 at 6 firms when alerted
Betfred · Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets

6 firms had already cut to 6/4 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 7½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 7/4 (2.75)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: No
-15% better than SP · -5.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:42, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Hectic

Southwell (AW) · 17:00 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

Still 16/1 at 4 firms when alerted
7Bet · Betano · BetTom · Hollywood Bets

21 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+42% better than SP · +2.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:42, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

French Affair

Epsom · 17:15 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/8 → 5/4

Still 11/8 at 13 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet · BresBet

10 firms had already cut to 5/4 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 11/8 (2.38)
SP: 2.20
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +3.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:42, 31 Aug 2026

ChaseHANDICAP

Getaway Jewel

Cartmel · 17:30 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 7/2

Still 9/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Bet365

21 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +4.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Staywitherjohnny

Chepstow · 17:45 · 5 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/3 → 3/1

Still 10/3 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets

24 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
-13% better than SP · -3.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Liberate

Chepstow · 17:45 · 5 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/2 → 3/1

Still 7/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Hollywood Bets

20 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

Risks

• Up 7lb. 17lb below career-high OR 82.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 7/2 (4.70)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: No
-15% better than SP · -3.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 31 Aug 2026

Flat

Dial Me In

Roscommon · 18:25 · 5 runners · Other

THE MOVE

3/1 → 11/4

Still 3/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets

19 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: No
-11% better than SP · -2.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Power Strike

Southwell (AW) · 15:51 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/1 → 15/2

26 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: No
-11% better than SP · -1.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 31 Aug 2026

Flat

Hazdann

Roscommon · 18:25 · 5 runners · Other

THE MOVE

13/8 → 11/8

Still 13/8 at 4 firms when alerted
William Hill · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook

9 firms had already cut to 11/8 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 13/8 (2.63)
SP: 2.00
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +12.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Portman Blue

Southwell (AW) · 15:17 · 14 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

14/1 → 11/1

Still 14/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets

23 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+58% better than SP · +3.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Mark's Choice

Ripon · 16:10 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet

20 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.

• Ripon. 2/8 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +3.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 31 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Kokumi

Southwell (AW) · 13:32 · 10 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

13/2 → 11/2

24 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +2.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:30, 31 Aug 2026

Flat

Lars Soldier

Roscommon · 16:50 · 9 runners · Other

THE MOVE

18/1 → 12/1

Still 18/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets

24 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +1.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:27, 31 Aug 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Rauzan

Cartmel · 15:10 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/1 → 9/1

Still 11/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Smarkets

24 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +2.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:27, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Naval Cop

Chepstow · 13:45 · 5 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

15/2 → 13/2

Still 15/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Hollywood Bets · Dragon Bet · 10 Bet

20 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 6.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
-25% better than SP · -2.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:21, 31 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Beechwood Glory

Chepstow · 14:20 · 6 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

5/1 → 4/1

Still 5/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets

24 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
-33% better than SP · -5.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:21, 31 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Sayidah Dubawi

Southwell (AW) · 13:32 · 10 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 13 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · 10 Bet

8 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-45% better than SP · -7.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:21, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Our Fella

Chepstow · 13:45 · 5 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/2 → 9/2

Still 11/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Unibet · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Matchbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet · Smarkets

15 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 6/1 (7.20)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-10% better than SP · -1.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 31 Aug 2026

Flat

Evelyn's Phoenix

Ripon · 17:20 · 10 runners · Other

THE MOVE

10/3 → 3/1

Still 10/3 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook

9 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 10/3 (4.40)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +3.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 31 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Travellers Girl

Ripon · 13:55 · 8 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

10/1 → 17/2

Still 10/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Dragon Bet

23 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +4.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Goal Exceeded

Roscommon · 17:55 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/2 → 9/2

Still 11/2 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom

23 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 7½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +6.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Perfect Scoundrel

Epsom · 16:05 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · Smarkets · Betano · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet

14 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Epsom. 1/1 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (5.90)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +5.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Devon Angel

Chepstow · 13:45 · 5 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 11/2

Still 7/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet

23 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+85% better than SP · +10.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Angel's Call

Chepstow · 16:00 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

15/2 → 6/1

Still 15/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · 10 Bet

23 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +1.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Morte Point

Epsom · 15:00 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

Still 16/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets

21 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.

Risks

• Up 8lb. 3lb below career-high OR 93.

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+42% better than SP · +2.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 31 Aug 2026

ChaseHANDICAP

Blazing Court

Cartmel · 17:30 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

20/1 → 14/1

Still 20/1 at 4 firms when alerted
BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · 10 Bet

21 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted

RESULT

NON-RUNNER

Alert price: 22/1 (23.00)

Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Thyer

Roscommon · 19:25 · 15 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/2 → 11/2

Still 13/2 at 3 firms when alerted
BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets

19 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
-17% better than SP · -2.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Ballybunion

Southwell (AW) · 16:25 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook

17 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +4.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 31 Aug 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Imperial Merlin

Cartmel · 15:45 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/2 → 9/2

24 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-31% better than SP · -5.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Woodleigh

Ripon · 17:50 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

20 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.

Risks

• Up 19lb. Career-high OR 59.

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
-10% better than SP · -2.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Meet Me In Meraki

Chepstow · 17:45 · 5 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

20 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+74% better than SP · +14.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Edward Sexton

Epsom · 15:35 · 14 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

3/1 → 11/4

Still 3/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Smarkets

22 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted

Risks

• Up 13lb. 43lb below career-high OR 113.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 3/1 (3.95)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+5% better than SP · +1.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Based

Southwell (AW) · 17:35 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook

7 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +6.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

A Rose Adaay

Chepstow · 16:00 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/2 → 6/1

Still 13/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets

24 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+129% better than SP · +16.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Izzari

Southwell (AW) · 15:17 · 14 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · William Hill · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet

21 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -1.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 31 Aug 2026

Flat

Volenti

Ripon · 16:45 · 10 runners · Other

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · William Hill · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets

22 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Risks

• Up 11lb. 19lb below career-high OR 67.

• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +3.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 31 Aug 2026

How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

Search HorseWhale horse records · Read the grading methodology · How to check if a horse was backed

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