Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.
ChaseHANDICAP
Cartmel · 16:19 · 5 runners · Handicap
Still 4/1 at 13 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
8 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 3m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
FlatHANDICAP
Ripon · 15:40 · 9 runners · Handicap
17 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +9.2 probability points
Flat
Ripon · 14:30 · 4 runners · Other
Still 3/1 at 18 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Bet365 · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
11 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 10/3 (4.20)
FlatMAIDEN
Roscommon · 18:55 · 15 runners · Maiden
Still 7/1 at 4 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 8/1 (9.20)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +3.4 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Chepstow · 17:10 · 7 runners · Handicap
25 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Why it rates
• Chepstow. 1/16 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +1.9 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Chepstow · 16:35 · 16 runners · Handicap
22 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Chepstow. 1/2 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-33% better than SP · -3.3 probability points
HurdleHANDICAP
Cartmel · 15:10 · 8 runners · Handicap
23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished PU
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: No
-25% better than SP · -3.3 probability points
FlatListed
Ripon · 15:05 · 7 runners · Listed
Still 11/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+126% better than SP · +19.3 probability points
FlatMAIDEN
Ripon · 13:55 · 8 runners · Maiden
Still 5/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Midnite · Paddy Power
11 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +6.8 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Ripon · 17:50 · 10 runners · Handicap
Still 10/3 at 8 firms when alerted
Betfred · Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · William Hill · BetTom · 7Bet · Hollywood Bets
15 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Ripon · 17:50 · 10 runners · Handicap
Still 25/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Risks
• Up 11lb. 1lb below career-high OR 50.
• Unproven at 1m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 28/1 (29.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: Yes
+53% better than SP · +1.8 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Epsom · 17:15 · 6 runners · Handicap
Still 5/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Smarkets · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
18 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +2.1 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Southwell (AW) · 14:42 · 7 runners · Handicap
Still 11/4 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
11 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/4 (3.70)
SP: 1.91
Beat SP: Yes
+94% better than SP · +25.3 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Epsom · 16:05 · 9 runners · Handicap
Still 6/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · William Hill · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: No
-20% better than SP · -2.5 probability points
FlatMAIDEN
Epsom · 14:25 · 8 runners · Maiden
Still 9/4 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 15/8 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 2.62
Beat SP: Yes
+24% better than SP · +7.4 probability points
FlatListed
Ripon · 15:05 · 7 runners · Listed
Still 10/3 at 5 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
12 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Ripon. 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/3 (4.40)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+35% better than SP · +8.0 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Epsom · 15:00 · 8 runners · Handicap
Still 11/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +6.8 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Epsom · 16:05 · 9 runners · Handicap
Still 20/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 20/1 (21.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +1.9 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Southwell (AW) · 17:35 · 12 runners · Handicap
21 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-23% better than SP · -2.3 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Southwell (AW) · 15:17 · 14 runners · Handicap
21 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: No
-11% better than SP · -2.8 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Ripon · 15:40 · 9 runners · Handicap
Still 8/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
25 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +2.2 probability points
Flat
Roscommon · 16:50 · 9 runners · Other
Still 10/3 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Hollywood Bets
14 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+57% better than SP · +13.3 probability points
ChaseHANDICAP
Cartmel · 17:30 · 6 runners · Handicap
Still 3/1 at 7 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
17 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Up 10lb. 2lb below career-high OR 102.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+57% better than SP · +13.3 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Ripon · 16:10 · 9 runners · Handicap
Still 13/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +2.9 probability points
ChaseHANDICAP
Cartmel · 16:19 · 5 runners · Handicap
Still 5/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Hollywood Bets · BetTom · Midnite · Paddy Power
21 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +15.4 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Epsom · 15:00 · 8 runners · Handicap
Still 7/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · BetTom · Betano · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +3.6 probability points
ChaseHANDICAP
Cartmel · 16:19 · 5 runners · Handicap
Still 3/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
13 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Why it rates
• Cartmel. 2/8 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/3 (4.20)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+46% better than SP · +10.9 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Southwell (AW) · 14:42 · 7 runners · Handicap
19 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Roscommon · 17:25 · 14 runners · Handicap
Still 9/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook
18 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+91% better than SP · +16.5 probability points
ChaseHANDICAP
Cartmel · 17:30 · 6 runners · Handicap
Still 9/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
17 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +4.9 probability points
HurdleHANDICAP
Cartmel · 15:10 · 8 runners · Handicap
Still 7/4 at 2 firms when alerted
William Hill · Smarkets
8 firms had already cut to 6/4 when alerted
Risks
• Up 10lb. Career-high OR 115.
• Unproven at 2m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 7/4 (2.76)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +3.8 probability points
ChaseHANDICAP
Cartmel · 16:55 · 7 runners · Handicap
Still 4/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Betfred · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
18 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Risks
• Up 7lb. Career-high OR 124.
• Unproven at 2m5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/1 (5.20)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+49% better than SP · +9.3 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Chepstow · 16:35 · 16 runners · Handicap
22 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Chepstow. 1/7 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +1.7 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Ripon · 15:40 · 9 runners · Handicap
Still 6/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
-22% better than SP · -3.2 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Southwell (AW) · 17:35 · 12 runners · Handicap
Still 9/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/1 (10.50)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-30% better than SP · -2.9 probability points
FlatMAIDEN
Ripon · 13:55 · 8 runners · Maiden
5 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
-33% better than SP · -8.3 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Chepstow · 17:45 · 5 runners · Handicap
Still 11/4 at 7 firms when alerted
William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
17 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +8.3 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Roscommon · 17:55 · 12 runners · Handicap
Still 15/2 at 1 firm when alerted
William Hill
22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Roscommon. 1/4 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: No
-11% better than SP · -1.2 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Roscommon · 19:55 · 16 runners · Handicap
Still 5/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +4.6 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Chepstow · 15:30 · 11 runners · Handicap
Still 10/3 at 3 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Chepstow. 1/11 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
