Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 31 August 2026 · HorseWhale

8578 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP

Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.

Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

FlatHANDICAP

Gavoo

Roscommon · 17:55 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

14/1 → 11/1

Still 14/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Midnite

18 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

Risks

• Up 7lb. 9lb below career-high OR 89.

• Unproven at 7½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 14/1 (15.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+158% better than SP · +10.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:30, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Mercurial

Roscommon · 17:55 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

14/1 → 11/1

25 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:30, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Nathema

Roscommon · 19:55 · 16 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/1 → 9/1

23 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

Risks

• Up 8lb. 1lb below career-high OR 60.

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+54% better than SP · +5.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:30, 31 Aug 2026

ChaseHANDICAP

Sean Og

Cartmel · 16:55 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook

16 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Cartmel. 2/9 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +3.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:27, 31 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Metallic

Roscommon · 18:55 · 15 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

Still 16/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets

22 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 12
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 67.00
Beat SP: No
-75% better than SP · -4.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:27, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Revelance

Chepstow · 16:35 · 16 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/3 → 3/1

Still 10/3 at 7 firms when alerted
Betfred · Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets

18 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Chepstow. 1/1 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 7/2 (4.60)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +6.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:27, 31 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Viking Barbie

Southwell (AW) · 13:32 · 10 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

8/1 → 13/2

26 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +1.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:27, 31 Aug 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Belles Benefit

Cartmel · 15:45 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

6/1 → 5/1

Still 6/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Betfred · Unibet

17 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Cartmel. 1/4 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +5.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:27, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Fresh Fade

Epsom · 17:15 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

40/1 → 22/1

25 firms had already cut to 22/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 22/1 (23.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: Yes
+21% better than SP · +0.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:24, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Double Red

Epsom · 16:05 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Coral · Smarkets

13 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 9/2 (5.60)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
-7% better than SP · -1.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:21, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Thanos

Chepstow · 16:35 · 16 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 4/1

Still 5/1 at 4 firms when alerted
10 Bet · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets

21 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Chepstow. 1/1 at this course.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:21, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Glen Echo

Roscommon · 19:55 · 16 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 6/1

Still 7/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet

23 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

Risks

• Up 7lb. 4lb below career-high OR 63.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+70% better than SP · +8.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:18, 31 Aug 2026

Flat

South Dakota

Roscommon · 16:50 · 9 runners · Other

THE MOVE

11/4 → 5/2

Still 11/4 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets

10 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 7½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (4.10)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+2% better than SP · +0.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:15, 31 Aug 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Al Sayah

Cartmel · 15:45 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 4/1

Still 5/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Unibet · Bet Victor · William Hill · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Betano · BetWright · Matchbook

17 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

Risks

• Up 20lb. Career-high OR 125.

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-13% better than SP · -2.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:15, 31 Aug 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Shallow River

Cartmel · 15:45 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 11/2

Still 7/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets

25 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

Risks

• Up 6lb. 2lb below career-high OR 127.

• Unproven at 3m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +4.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 31 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Persian Gate

Chepstow · 14:55 · 4 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

5/6 → 4/6

Still 5/6 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Star Sports · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet · BetTom · Midnite

16 firms had already cut to 4/6 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 10/11 (1.91)
SP: 1.44
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +17.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 31 Aug 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Nottodaybobo

Cartmel · 15:10 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/1 → 8/1

Still 11/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Hollywood Bets

24 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 2m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 16/1 (16.50)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +3.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Jesse Luc

Southwell (AW) · 17:00 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

14/1 → 10/1

26 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: No
-35% better than SP · -3.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 31 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Cosmetic

Roscommon · 18:55 · 15 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

7/2 → 3/1

Still 7/2 at 4 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · BetTom · Paddy Power

20 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Phoenix Pairc

Roscommon · 17:25 · 14 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/1 → 15/2

Still 9/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets

25 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted

Risks

• Up 9lb. 12lb below career-high OR 72.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +2.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Augusta Rock

Roscommon · 19:55 · 16 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets

17 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

Risks

• Up 8lb. 2lb below career-high OR 53.

• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-33% better than SP · -6.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Canon Law

Roscommon · 19:55 · 16 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

6/1 → 5/1

Still 6/1 at 7 firms when alerted
BetMGM · 10 Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power

19 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

Risks

• Up 17lb. Career-high OR 55.

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Avatar Jet

Southwell (AW) · 15:17 · 14 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/2 → 5/1

Still 11/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets

16 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.

• Southwell (AW). 1/3 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+56% better than SP · +7.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:09, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Saxophonist

Southwell (AW) · 14:42 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Unibet · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · 7Bet · BetWright

20 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT

NON-RUNNER

Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)

Permanent record · Fired 09:09, 31 Aug 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Divilabother

Cartmel · 15:45 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/3 → 3/1

Still 10/3 at 8 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet

14 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Cartmel. 1/1 at this course.

Risks

• Up 8lb. Career-high OR 124.

• Unproven at 3m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/2 (4.70)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
-6% better than SP · -1.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:06, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Level Up

Chepstow · 17:10 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · Matchbook · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets

16 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Chepstow. 1/6 at this course.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.60)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +10.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:06, 31 Aug 2026

ChaseHANDICAP

Forcetoreckonwith

Cartmel · 17:30 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

15/2 → 13/2

Still 15/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets

23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 2m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished F
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +0.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:03, 31 Aug 2026

ChaseHANDICAP

Jack Sprat

Cartmel · 16:55 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet · Smarkets

21 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 6/1 (6.80)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+36% better than SP · +5.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:00, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Spirit Catcher

Ripon · 17:50 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/2 → 11/2

Still 13/2 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets

18 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.

Risks

• Good To Soft vs Good. Career record: 0/2 on Good To Soft.

• Up 18lb. 20lb below career-high OR 82.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+88% better than SP · +11.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:57, 31 Aug 2026

ChaseHANDICAP

Stratagem

Cartmel · 16:19 · 5 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

8/1 → 13/2

Still 8/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook

22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Cartmel. 2/4 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 17/2 (9.40)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
-22% better than SP · -2.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:57, 31 Aug 2026

ChaseHANDICAP

Grand Clermont

Cartmel · 16:19 · 5 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 11/2

Still 7/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Hollywood Bets

22 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.

Risks

• Up 11lb. Career-high OR 132.

• Unproven at 3m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 8/1 (8.80)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +6.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:57, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Trio

Epsom · 16:05 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 6/1

Still 7/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Smarkets

24 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Epsom. 2/3 at this course.

Risks

• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:57, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Silver Trumpet

Epsom · 17:15 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/3 → 3/1

Still 10/3 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · William Hill · Hollywood Bets

10 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +1.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:57, 31 Aug 2026

ChaseHANDICAP

Tommie Beau

Cartmel · 16:19 · 5 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/1 → 17/2

Still 11/1 at 2 firms when alerted
10 Bet · Hollywood Bets

25 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 3m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+140% better than SP · +11.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:57, 31 Aug 2026

ChaseHANDICAP

Breizh River

Cartmel · 16:19 · 5 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 7/2

Still 9/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets

22 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 1 to Class 3.

• Cartmel. 1/2 at this course.

Risks

• Up 13lb. Career-high OR 131.

• Unproven at 3m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT

NON-RUNNER

Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)

Permanent record · Fired 08:57, 31 Aug 2026

ChaseHANDICAP

Wearelongterm

Cartmel · 17:30 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

25 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 2m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished UR
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 23.00
Beat SP: No
-43% better than SP · -3.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:57, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Super Hit

Epsom · 16:40 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/2 → 6/1

24 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +3.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:57, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Em Four

Epsom · 13:50 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/2 → 3/1

19 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+39% better than SP · +9.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:57, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Silky Lass

Southwell (AW) · 15:51 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

20/1 → 14/1

Still 20/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook

24 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 25/1 (26.00)
SP: 23.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +0.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:48, 31 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Washington Royale

Chepstow · 14:20 · 6 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

15/8 → 13/8

Still 15/8 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Smarkets

17 firms had already cut to 13/8 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/8 (2.88)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: No
-4% better than SP · -1.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:48, 31 Aug 2026

How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

Search HorseWhale horse records · Read the grading methodology · How to check if a horse was backed

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