FlatHANDICAP
Chepstow · 17:45 · 5 runners · Handicap
Still 7/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 7lb. 17lb below career-high OR 82.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 7/2 (4.70)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: No
-15% better than SP · -3.1 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Brighton · 16:00 · 7 runners · Handicap
Still 5/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
6 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+47% better than SP · +7.1 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Newmarket (July) · 15:45 · 5 runners · Handicap
21 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 8lb. 17lb below career-high OR 82.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +3.6 probability points
Flat
Gowran Park · 14:22 · 15 runners · Other
Still 10/3 at 5 firms when alerted
William Hill · BetTom · BetWright · BetAhoy · Octobet
18 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)