Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 31 August 2026 · HorseWhale

8578 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP

Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.

Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

FlatHANDICAP

Special Breeze

Southwell (AW) · 15:17 · 14 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

20/1 → 14/1

26 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:39, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Soames Forsyte

Southwell (AW) · 15:17 · 14 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

20/1 → 14/1

26 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.

• Southwell (AW). 1/8 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 26.00
Beat SP: No
-42% better than SP · -2.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:39, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Divine Knight

Epsom · 15:35 · 14 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

3/1 → 11/4

Still 3/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Coral · Ladbrokes · Betano · Smarkets

10 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.

Risks

• Up 28lb. 7lb below career-high OR 88.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+45% better than SP · +11.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:30, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Lady Margret

Chepstow · 16:00 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

40/1 → 20/1

25 firms had already cut to 20/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 20/1 (21.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: Yes
+24% better than SP · +1.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:27, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Vape

Chepstow · 16:00 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

40/1 → 22/1

Still 40/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets

25 firms had already cut to 22/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Chepstow. 1/8 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 40/1 (41.00)
SP: 23.00
Beat SP: Yes
+78% better than SP · +1.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:27, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Big Moonrise

Chepstow · 16:00 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

50/1 → 25/1

Still 50/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets

25 firms had already cut to 25/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 50/1 (51.00)
SP: 29.00
Beat SP: Yes
+76% better than SP · +1.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:27, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Pace Attack

Southwell (AW) · 14:42 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/2 → 11/2

Still 13/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets

13 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/1 (8.20)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: No
-18% better than SP · -2.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:24, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Lord Aus

Roscommon · 19:25 · 15 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

12/1 → 9/1

Still 12/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets

22 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +0.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:24, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Milteye

Ripon · 15:40 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

14/1 → 11/1

Still 14/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets

22 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Ripon. 1/3 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 16/1 (16.50)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +3.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:24, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Summer Snow

Roscommon · 19:25 · 15 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

Still 16/1 at 4 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Midnite

18 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 15
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 41.00
Beat SP: No
-54% better than SP · -2.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:18, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Jam Lass

Ripon · 17:50 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

20/1 → 14/1

Still 20/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets

24 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.

Risks

• Up 24lb. 2lb below career-high OR 64.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 20/1 (21.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +0.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:18, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Wipeawayyourtears

Roscommon · 19:55 · 16 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

18/1 → 12/1

Still 18/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets

22 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

Risks

• Up 15lb. Career-high OR 59.

RESULT
LOST · finished 14
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +1.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:18, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Morehampton

Roscommon · 17:55 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/1 → 9/1

24 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
-17% better than SP · -1.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:12, 31 Aug 2026

Flat

Why Not Me

Ripon · 14:30 · 4 runners · Other

THE MOVE

12/1 → 9/1

Still 12/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet

25 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 12/1 (13.50)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-10% better than SP · -0.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:12, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Travel Agent

Southwell (AW) · 17:00 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/1 → 8/1

Still 9/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetMGM · William Hill

26 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +2.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:12, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Alkumatic Jo Jo

Southwell (AW) · 16:25 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 6/1

Still 7/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets

23 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 15/2 (8.40)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+12% better than SP · +1.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:12, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Nammos

Chepstow · 15:30 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/1 → 9/1

Still 11/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Ladbrokes · 10 Bet

23 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +5.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:12, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Kiani King

Southwell (AW) · 16:25 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/3 → 3/1

Still 10/3 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · William Hill · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets · BetTom

18 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/2 (4.70)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +3.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:12, 31 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Beautiful Effort

Southwell (AW) · 13:32 · 10 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

11/1 → 17/2

Still 11/1 at 3 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Boyle Sports · Quinn Bet

20 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+140% better than SP · +11.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:09, 31 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Lucky Radar

Chepstow · 14:55 · 4 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

13/2 → 6/1

Still 13/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · BetTom · Smarkets · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets

22 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: No
-20% better than SP · -2.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:06, 31 Aug 2026

Flat

Masterly

Ripon · 14:30 · 4 runners · Other

THE MOVE

14/1 → 11/1

Still 14/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · Hollywood Bets

20 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+55% better than SP · +3.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:03, 31 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Arenite

Ripon · 13:55 · 8 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

13/8 → 11/8

Still 13/8 at 8 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet

11 firms had already cut to 11/8 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 7/4 (2.75)
SP: 2.00
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +13.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:03, 31 Aug 2026

Flat

Time Thief

Ripon · 14:30 · 4 runners · Other

THE MOVE

8/11 → 2/5

Still 8/11 at 5 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · Coral · Ladbrokes · Hollywood Bets

20 firms had already cut to 2/5 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 4/5 (1.80)
SP: 1.33
Beat SP: Yes
+35% better than SP · +19.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:03, 31 Aug 2026

Flat

Feelin' Free

Ripon · 14:30 · 4 runners · Other

THE MOVE

5/1 → 7/2

Still 5/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · Unibet · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet

20 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +2.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:03, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Eye Of The Water

Chepstow · 16:00 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

Still 16/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright · Hollywood Bets

24 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 18/1 (19.50)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+117% better than SP · +6.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:00, 31 Aug 2026

ChaseHANDICAP

Karnaval Point

Cartmel · 16:55 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/1 → 8/1

Still 9/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power · Smarkets · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet

17 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 11/1 (12.50)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+39% better than SP · +3.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:57, 31 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Angel Of Desire

Epsom · 14:25 · 8 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

15/2 → 13/2

25 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +2.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:57, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Ashford Hill

Chepstow · 15:30 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

18/1 → 12/1

Still 18/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets

22 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+124% better than SP · +6.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:54, 31 Aug 2026

FlatListed

Pure Mint

Ripon · 15:05 · 7 runners · Listed

THE MOVE

9/4 → 2/1

Still 9/4 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetMGM · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet

5 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Ripon. 1/1 at this course.

RESULT

NON-RUNNER

Alert price: 5/2 (3.40)

Permanent record · Fired 09:51, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Classy Clarets

Southwell (AW) · 17:00 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 6/1

Still 7/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets

15 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/2 (8.40)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +4.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:51, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Le Rouge Chinois

Southwell (AW) · 14:07 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/2 → 3/1

Still 7/2 at 4 firms when alerted
BetWright · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets

14 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+54% better than SP · +10.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:48, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Masai Angel

Southwell (AW) · 17:35 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

28/1 → 18/1

Still 28/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets

25 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 12
Alert price: 33/1 (34.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+127% better than SP · +3.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:48, 31 Aug 2026

Hurdle

Watcha Snoop

Cartmel · 14:35 · 6 runners · Other

THE MOVE

25/1 → 16/1

Still 25/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets

23 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted

Risks

• Up 20lb. Career-high OR unavailable.

• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 25/1 (26.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +3.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:45, 31 Aug 2026

Hurdle

Time Twister

Cartmel · 14:35 · 6 runners · Other

THE MOVE

11/1 → 9/1

Still 11/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · 7Bet · BetTom

22 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

Risks

• Up 30lb. Career-high OR unavailable.

• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: No
-32% better than SP · -2.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:45, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Talis Evolvere

Chepstow · 16:35 · 16 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 6/1

26 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-7% better than SP · -1.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:45, 31 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Ischgl

Chepstow · 14:20 · 6 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

11/8 → 6/5

Still 11/8 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook

12 firms had already cut to 6/5 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/8 (2.34)
SP: 1.62
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +19.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:42, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Rock Of England

Ripon · 16:10 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/4 → 5/2

Still 11/4 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets

16 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.

• Ripon. 1/4 at this course.

Risks

• Up 7lb. 1lb below career-high OR 76.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:42, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Everyoneknowsadave

Southwell (AW) · 14:42 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/1 → 8/1

Still 10/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets

25 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +1.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:36, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Savannah Smiles

Chepstow · 17:10 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

14/1 → 12/1

26 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: No
-32% better than SP · -2.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:36, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Thunderous Love

Southwell (AW) · 17:00 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 6/1

Still 7/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · Hollywood Bets

26 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
-11% better than SP · -1.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:30, 31 Aug 2026

How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

Search HorseWhale horse records · Read the grading methodology · How to check if a horse was backed

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