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Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 2 September 2026 · HorseWhale

8567 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

FlatHANDICAP
Stapleford Park
Bath · 15:30 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
22/1 → 16/1
23 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 26.00
Beat SP: No
-35% better than SP · -2.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:28, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Game Management
Newcastle (AW) · 13:45 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 10/1
Still 12/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
25 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+86% better than SP · +6.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:22, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Millbuie
Newcastle (AW) · 13:45 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 3 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
19 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:19, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Havana Club
Bath · 16:30 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom
24 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Bath. 1/8 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +2.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:16, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Cannonball Queen
Navan · 18:10 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+26% better than SP · +2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:16, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Cala Gracioneta
Navan · 17:08 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power
21 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Risks
• Up 8lb. 5lb below career-high OR 64.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 8/1 (8.80)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+47% better than SP · +5.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:16, 2 Sept 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Lady Romagna
Navan · 16:07 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
12/1 → 17/2
24 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-27% better than SP · -2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:13, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Pivotal Terms
Newcastle (AW) · 16:45 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
17/2 → 7/1
Still 17/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Newcastle (AW). 1/5 at this course.
Risks
• Up 6lb. 14lb below career-high OR 67.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+82% better than SP · +8.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:13, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Sierra Sands
Kempton (AW) · 20:00 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 9/1
Still 14/1 at 2 firms when alerted
10 Bet · BetTom
24 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+76% better than SP · +5.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:13, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Asset
Bath · 17:02 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 7/2
Still 9/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Unibet · Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
9 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m3½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:13, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Chant d'Or
Navan · 18:40 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 17/2
Still 11/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Betfred · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
18 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:10, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Spirit Of Nature
Hamilton · 19:50 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
40/1 → 20/1
Still 40/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Betfred · BetMGM · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
21 firms had already cut to 20/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 50/1 (51.00)
SP: 29.00
Beat SP: Yes
+76% better than SP · +1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:07, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Halon Bay
Navan · 19:10 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
40/1 → 25/1
Still 40/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 25/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 13
Alert price: 50/1 (51.00)
SP: 26.00
Beat SP: Yes
+96% better than SP · +1.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:07, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Liberated Light
Navan · 17:08 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
22/1 → 16/1
Still 22/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 22/1 (23.00)
SP: 29.00
Beat SP: No
-21% better than SP · -0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:07, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Quebella
Bath · 17:02 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 11/4
Still 10/3 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
10 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m3½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 7/2 (4.70)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+57% better than SP · +12.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:07, 2 Sept 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Shanala
Navan · 19:40 · 21 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
14/1 → 10/1
Still 14/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Betfred · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+200% better than SP · +13.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:07, 2 Sept 2026
Flat
Asgar
Kempton (AW) · 18:30 · 12 runners · Other
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betano · 10 Bet · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
17 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 18/1 (19.50)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+129% better than SP · +6.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:07, 2 Sept 2026
Flat
Brash
Newcastle (AW) · 14:45 · 10 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/2 → 5/1
Still 11/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Unibet · Bet365 · Betfred · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power
10 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:04, 2 Sept 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Charlemont Gg
Kempton (AW) · 18:00 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
40/1 → 20/1
26 firms had already cut to 20/1 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 20/1 (21.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+75% better than SP · +3.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:04, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Claret Time
Newcastle (AW) · 15:45 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 6.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +4.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:01, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Blue Hero
Bath · 16:30 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 7/1
Still 8/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · Smarkets · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Bath. 2/13 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:58, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Ebony Maw
Hamilton · 17:50 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:55, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Shatin Venture
Newcastle (AW) · 16:45 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
18/1 → 12/1
Still 18/1 at 5 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Smarkets · Virgin Bet
20 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+73% better than SP · +3.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:55, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Profitability
Newcastle (AW) · 15:45 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 13 firms when alerted
Betfred · Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
7 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 6.
Risks
• Up 9lb. Career-high OR 59.
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +8.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:55, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Annie Edson Taylor
Hamilton · 18:50 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
26 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Hamilton. 1/3 at this course.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:55, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Parole Officer
Newcastle (AW) · 14:15 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
17/2 → 7/1
Still 17/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 8lb. 20lb below career-high OR 73.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:49, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
One More Bottle
Newcastle (AW) · 17:15 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:46, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Port Hedland
Bath · 14:30 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 6 firms when alerted
William Hill · BetTom · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
16 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 6.
• Bath. 1/4 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: No
-32% better than SP · -4.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:46, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Geemann
Bath · 15:00 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets · Matchbook
16 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 6.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +6.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:46, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Dalamara
Newcastle (AW) · 14:15 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 13 firms when alerted
Unibet · Bet365 · Star Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets
8 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Newcastle (AW). 1/2 at this course.
Risks
• Up 9lb. 4lb below career-high OR 58.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 3/1 (4.10)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+2% better than SP · +0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:46, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Zaraahmando
Navan · 19:10 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · 10 Bet · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 7/1 (7.80)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+42% better than SP · +5.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:43, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
My Boy Jack
Bath · 14:30 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
Still 12/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
25 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 6.
Risks
• Unproven at 5½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+73% better than SP · +5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:43, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Unionville
Kempton (AW) · 17:30 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Star Sports · 10 Bet · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 7lb. 9lb below career-high OR 76.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:43, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Gifts Differing
Newcastle (AW) · 14:15 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
33/1 → 20/1
Still 33/1 at 3 firms when alerted
William Hill · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 20/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Risks
• Up 6lb. 6lb below career-high OR 61.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 33/1 (34.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+300% better than SP · +8.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:40, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Clocker
Hamilton · 17:50 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 12 firms when alerted
BetMGM · William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook · 10 Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Virgin Bet
8 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Hamilton. 1/1 at this course.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +6.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:40, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Ten Club
Bath · 14:30 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
26 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +8.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:37, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Sands Of Seve
Newcastle (AW) · 16:45 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
28/1 → 16/1
Still 28/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 28/1 (29.00)
SP: 34.00
Beat SP: No
-15% better than SP · -0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:34, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Belle Amie
Bath · 17:35 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
2/1 → 7/4
Still 2/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · Hollywood Bets
7 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted
Why it rates
• Bath. 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 2/1 (3.00)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +3.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:34, 2 Sept 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Or Ever
Kempton (AW) · 18:00 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
33/1 → 18/1
25 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:31, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Shadow Of The Moon
Navan · 16:38 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 13 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · 10 Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Smarkets
15 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 11lb. 6lb below career-high OR 80.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 18/1 (18.50)
Permanent record · Fired 09:31, 2 Sept 2026
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How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

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