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Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 2 September 2026 · HorseWhale

8572 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

FlatHANDICAP
Dandy's Angel
Hamilton · 19:50 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
17/2 → 15/2
Still 17/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:31, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Moyassr
Navan · 18:40 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Betfair Sportsbook · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Paddy Power · Smarkets
18 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 10lb. 17lb below career-high OR 77.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+56% better than SP · +7.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:31, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
It's A Love Thing
Newcastle (AW) · 13:45 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 4/1
Still 5/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Unibet · Star Sports · Bet Victor · 10 Bet · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Midnite
15 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
-42% better than SP · -6.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:25, 2 Sept 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Lamar Valley
Navan · 19:40 · 21 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
80/1 → 33/1
Still 80/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 33/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 80/1 (81.00)
SP: 101.00
Beat SP: No
-20% better than SP · -0.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:25, 2 Sept 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Best Love
Navan · 16:07 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
5/1 → 4/1
Still 5/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet
14 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:22, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Eagle Day
Bath · 16:30 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
25 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 6.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 7/1 (8.20)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+49% better than SP · +6.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:19, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Rinky Tinky Tinky
Bath · 14:30 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:19, 2 Sept 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Tree Wizard
Bath · 14:00 · 6 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
12/1 → 10/1
Still 12/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
24 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 22/1 (23.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: Yes
+35% better than SP · +1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:16, 2 Sept 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Anahona
Kempton (AW) · 18:00 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+150% better than SP · +20.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:16, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Bowood
Newcastle (AW) · 16:15 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
• Newcastle (AW). 2/5 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+89% better than SP · +5.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:16, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Comic Hero
Kempton (AW) · 20:00 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 13 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · Unibet · Betano · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · Matchbook · Midnite
12 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Why it rates
• Kempton (AW). 1/1 at this course.
Risks
• Up 6lb. 1lb below career-high OR 82.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
Permanent record · Fired 09:07, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Concaire
Navan · 18:10 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 4
Alert price: 17/2 (9.60)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+37% better than SP · +3.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:01, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Shaffron
Bath · 17:35 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Matchbook
15 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/1 (5.10)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+2% better than SP · +0.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:58, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Tee Aitch Aye
Hamilton · 19:20 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 2 firms when alerted
Betfred · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Hamilton. 1/4 at this course.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:58, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Superstorm
Kempton (AW) · 17:30 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
12 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 4/1 (5.10)
SP: 2.10
Beat SP: Yes
+143% better than SP · +28.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:58, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Black Heather
Navan · 17:08 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
33/1 → 20/1
Still 33/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 20/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 30lb. 47lb below career-high OR 122.
• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 33/1 (34.00)
SP: 26.00
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:58, 2 Sept 2026
Flat
Rake Lane
Newcastle (AW) · 14:45 · 10 runners · Other
THE MOVE
12/1 → 10/1
Still 12/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · BetTom
22 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 16/1 (17.50)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+35% better than SP · +2.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:54, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Battle Fever
Hamilton · 18:20 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/5 → 21/20
Still 6/5 at 4 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Ladbrokes · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
4 firms had already cut to 21/20 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 6/5 (2.22)
SP: 2.00
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +5.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:48, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Hardy's Hero
Kempton (AW) · 20:00 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
23 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +8.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:48, 2 Sept 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Sod Hall Lane
Hamilton · 16:50 · 7 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
5/6 → 4/6
Still 5/6 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · BetMGM · William Hill · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Midnite
20 firms had already cut to 4/6 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/11 (1.91)
SP: 2.38
Beat SP: No
-20% better than SP · -10.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:45, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Ouro Preto
Hamilton · 17:50 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
18/1 → 11/1
Still 18/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
24 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Up 7lb. 19lb below career-high OR 82.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 18/1 (20.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: Yes
+5% better than SP · +0.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:45, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
White Umbrella
Hamilton · 17:20 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
25 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 2 Sept 2026
Flat
Shadow Road
Kempton (AW) · 19:00 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Betano · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power
11 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Kempton (AW). 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Madjid
Kempton (AW) · 20:30 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/15 → 4/9
Still 8/15 at 13 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet
9 firms had already cut to 4/9 when alerted
Why it rates
• Kempton (AW). 1/1 at this course.
Risks
• Up 12lb. Career-high OR 68.
• Unproven at 1m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 8/15 (1.53)
SP: 1.44
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +4.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 2 Sept 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Anna Belardo
Bath · 14:00 · 6 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
17/2 → 15/2
Still 17/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets · Midnite · Paddy Power · Betfair Sportsbook · Hollywood Bets
17 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Unproven at 5½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 16/1 (18.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Falaise Blanc
Hamilton · 19:50 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
Still 8/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Coral · Star Sports · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+80% better than SP · +8.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:30, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Annandale
Hamilton · 19:50 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/2 → 11/4
Still 7/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Coral · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Why it rates
• Hamilton. 1/3 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +6.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:30, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Manly Fireball
Kempton (AW) · 20:00 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 8/1
Still 11/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
26 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-20% better than SP · -1.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:30, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Uncle Liam
Hamilton · 19:50 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 4/1
Still 5/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Coral · Star Sports · Matchbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Hamilton. 1/7 at this course.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+83% better than SP · +12.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:30, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Vampire Slayer
Hamilton · 19:50 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 5/1
Still 13/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Coral · Star Sports · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-32% better than SP · -4.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:30, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Kameel
Newcastle (AW) · 13:45 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 15/2
Still 10/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
25 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+83% better than SP · +7.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:27, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Basilette
Bath · 16:00 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Matchbook
16 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Why it rates
• Bath. 1/3 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +4.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:27, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Amelia's Joy
Kempton (AW) · 19:30 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Smarkets · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 13/2 (7.60)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+52% better than SP · +6.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:27, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Cashel Blue
Navan · 16:38 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
28/1 → 20/1
23 firms had already cut to 20/1 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 20/1 (21.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: Yes
+24% better than SP · +1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:27, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Sophiesticate
Hamilton · 19:50 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 10/3
Still 4/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Coral · Unibet · Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
14 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
-22% better than SP · -3.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:27, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Happy Henry
Navan · 16:38 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
25 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Navan. 1/5 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-9% better than SP · -0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:24, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Buckland Belle
Bath · 16:30 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/10 → 10/11
Still 11/10 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
9 firms had already cut to 10/11 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/10 (2.10)
SP: 1.83
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +7.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:24, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Bloodsweatandtyres
Newcastle (AW) · 15:15 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
26 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Newcastle (AW). 1/3 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Daler
Navan · 19:10 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · Matchbook · BetTom · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets
12 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-18% better than SP · -2.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Yorkshire Dream
Newcastle (AW) · 15:45 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
18/1 → 12/1
Still 18/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
25 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+46% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 2 Sept 2026
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How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

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