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Redcar

Every steam move alert fired at Redcar, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 15 September 2026 · HorseWhale

All time
125
alerts
75%
beat SP
+4.4
avg probability points vs SP
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Mount King
Redcar · 14:53 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 3 firms when alerted
10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 7lb. 9lb below career-high OR 72.
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +1.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:48, 15 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Harswell Ruby
Redcar · 14:53 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 4 firms when alerted
7Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
18 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 6lb. 3lb below career-high OR 73.
Previously on record
Alerted 14 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:36, 15 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Cosmos Raj
Redcar · 14:53 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
Still 12/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Redcar. 1/2 at this course.
Risks
• Up 6lb. 13lb below career-high OR 79.
Previously on record
Alerted 1 Sept · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +1.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:21, 15 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Papa Cocktail
Redcar · 15:23 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
18 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 8lb. Career-high OR 82.
Previously on record
Alerted 3 Sept · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 13
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+86% better than SP · +6.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:06, 15 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Canaria Queen
Redcar · 16:23 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
10 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +5.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:54, 15 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Supplicate
Redcar · 15:53 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/4 → 5/4
Still 6/4 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · William Hill · Hollywood Bets
7 firms had already cut to 5/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 6lb. Career-high OR 87.
Previously on record
Alerted 13 Aug · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 6/4 (2.50)
SP: 2.25
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +4.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:42, 15 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Muker
Redcar · 16:54 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 12/1
Still 14/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · William Hill · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetWright · Paddy Power
18 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time t.
Previously on record
Alerted 17 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+46% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 15 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Startling
Redcar · 16:23 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power
16 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 3 Sept · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 15 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlat
Niewiadoma
Redcar · 14:23 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
17/2 → 15/2
24 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
Risks
• Up 7lb. 4lb below career-high OR 79.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+42% better than SP · +4.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 15 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Bigalo
Redcar · 14:23 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
13 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 15 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Magical Merlot
Redcar · 15:53 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Unibet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
15 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 26 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+54% better than SP · +10.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 15 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Obito
Redcar · 15:53 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 5/2
Still 3/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +3.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 15 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Mugheer
Redcar · 13:53 · 8 runners · Other
THE MOVE
6/5 → 1/1
Still 6/5 at 7 firms when alerted
Midnite · Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Smarkets
14 firms had already cut to 1/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 22% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 26 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/4 (2.25)
SP: 1.73
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +13.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 15 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Albegone
Redcar · 16:54 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · William Hill · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Midnite
15 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 9 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
-10% better than SP · -2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 15 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Law of Design
Redcar · 14:53 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 4/1
Still 11/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Midnite
23 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 5.
Risks
• Up 6lb. 27lb below career-high OR 91.
Previously on record
Alerted 18 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-19% better than SP · -2.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 15 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Maximus Meridius
Redcar · 14:23 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Paddy Power · Smarkets
9 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 15 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Spirit of Applause
Redcar · 15:23 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
15 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+127% better than SP · +7.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 15 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Marajito
Redcar · 16:23 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · Smarkets · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Paddy Power
5 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · lost
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 5/1 (5.90)
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 15 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Falcon Nine
Redcar · 16:54 · 19 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Previously on record
Alerted 24 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +1.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:31, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Chesneys Charm
Redcar · 15:21 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 9 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
8 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 5/2 (3.55)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +5.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:28, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Talitha Rouge
Redcar · 15:21 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
16 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.40)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+66% better than SP · +12.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:01, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Al Jolson
Redcar · 14:21 · 9 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
1/6 → 1/10
Still 1/6 at 13 firms when alerted
Unibet · Star Sports · Betfred · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power · Midnite · 10 Bet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
4 firms had already cut to 1/10 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 16 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 1/5 (1.20)
SP: 1.17
Beat SP: Yes
+3% better than SP · +2.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:55, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Lucky Hero
Redcar · 14:51 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 15 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · BetMGM · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
6 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Redcar. 2/2 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+64% better than SP · +14.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:54, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Per Contra
Redcar · 14:51 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 11/4
Still 10/3 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
6 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
Risks
• Up 10lb. 11lb below career-high OR 89.
Previously on record
Alerted 30 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +3.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:15, 9 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatMAIDEN
Stateira Belle
Redcar · 14:21 · 9 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
16/1 → 11/1
Still 16/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Boyle Sports · Smarkets · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
16 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 25/1 (26.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +3.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:09, 9 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlat
Pulse Of Fire
Redcar · 13:21 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
Still 8/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · BetTom
21 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 6 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+46% better than SP · +4.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:06, 9 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Percy's Daydream
Redcar · 14:51 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 12/1
Still 14/1 at 8 firms when alerted
William Hill · Bet365 · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
22 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 18/1 (18.50)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+54% better than SP · +2.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:06, 9 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlat
Through The Gate
Redcar · 13:21 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Midnite
13 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (5.90)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: No
-16% better than SP · -2.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:03, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Kirton Angel
Redcar · 13:21 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
3/1 → 5/2
Still 3/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Betfred · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
4 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 3/1 (4.10)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: No
-9% better than SP · -2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:54, 9 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Hey Havana
Redcar · 15:54 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 17/2
Still 10/1 at 6 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet · Smarkets
17 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 19 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 10/1 (11.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+92% better than SP · +8.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:54, 9 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Yafaarr
Redcar · 16:54 · 19 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Coral · Ladbrokes · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
15 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
• Redcar. 1/5 at this course.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +4.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:33, 9 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Fox Avatar
Redcar · 14:51 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 11/2
Still 6/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Ladbrokes · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 13/2 (7.60)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+1% better than SP · +0.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:27, 9 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
The New Bay Pearl
Redcar · 16:54 · 19 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 15/2
Still 10/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
17 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+120% better than SP · +10.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:27, 9 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlat
Deputy Vice
Redcar · 13:21 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/2 → 5/1
Still 11/2 at 3 firms when alerted
William Hill · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
20 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
Permanent record · Fired 09:24, 9 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatMAIDEN
Walk In Provence
Redcar · 14:21 · 9 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 5 firms when alerted
William Hill · Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets · Paddy Power
19 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 16/1 (18.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+89% better than SP · +5.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 9 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Luminous Warrior
Redcar · 13:51 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · Smarkets · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
22 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 8/1 (8.80)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-20% better than SP · -2.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:54, 9 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
The Childe Of Hale
Redcar · 13:51 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
17/2 → 7/1
Still 17/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · Smarkets · Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Risks
• Up 12lb. 7lb below career-high OR 72.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+136% better than SP · +10.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:54, 9 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Hurstwood
Redcar · 16:24 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 11/2
Still 6/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
14 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Redcar. 1/4 at this course.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +3.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:51, 9 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlat
Blue Pete
Redcar · 13:21 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
17/2 → 7/1
Still 17/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
23 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+111% better than SP · +11.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Hatamoto
Redcar · 13:51 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Unibet · Bet365 · Smarkets · Matchbook · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
9 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+89% better than SP · +13.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 9 Sept 2026
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