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Redcar

Every steam move alert fired at Redcar, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 23 September 2026 · HorseWhale

All time
125
alerts
75%
beat SP
+4.4
avg probability points vs SP
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Saxophonist
Redcar · 16:07 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetMGM · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
15 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 8 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:57, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Domination
Redcar · 16:07 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Betfred · Star Sports · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets
5 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 16 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 6/1 (7.20)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-10% better than SP · -1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:03, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Night Emperor
Redcar · 17:17 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 13 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
12 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Redcar. 1/4 at this course.
Risks
• Up 17lb. 5lb below career-high OR 57.
Previously on record
Alerted 9 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/2 (5.30)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +4.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:48, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Pointed
Redcar · 15:32 · 8 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
12 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 2/1 (2.94)
SP: 2.38
Beat SP: Yes
+24% better than SP · +8.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:42, 23 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
South Kensington
Redcar · 17:17 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
20 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 17lb. 10lb below career-high OR 68.
Previously on record
Alerted 10 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
-11% better than SP · -1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:27, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Sergeant Mayer
Redcar · 16:41 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 15/8
Still 9/4 at 2 firms when alerted
BetWright · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 15/8 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: No
-25% better than SP · -7.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:21, 23 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Percy's Daydream
Redcar · 16:07 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 11/2
Still 6/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Coral · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power
19 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 9 Sept · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 13/2 (7.60)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+52% better than SP · +6.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:18, 23 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlat
Lady Vega
Redcar · 15:32 · 8 runners · Other
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +2.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:15, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Son of A Fish
Redcar · 13:47 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Unibet · Smarkets · Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
13 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 8 Sept · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 3/1 (3.90)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: No
-13% better than SP · -3.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:00, 23 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Sandret
Redcar · 17:17 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 17/2
Still 10/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:54, 23 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlat
The Can Can Man
Redcar · 14:57 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
13 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 8/1 (9.20)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
-23% better than SP · -2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:24, 23 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
King of Persia
Redcar · 13:47 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 8 Sept · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+70% better than SP · +4.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:24, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Sea The Sense
Redcar · 14:57 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
8/1 → 7/1
Still 8/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 9/1 (10.50)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-19% better than SP · -1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:06, 23 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
King of War
Redcar · 17:17 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 11/2
Still 6/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet
17 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 6.
Risks
• Up 29lb. 4lb below career-high OR 68.
Previously on record
Alerted 14 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 6/1 (7.20)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:48, 23 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Flower Youmzain
Redcar · 14:22 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Star Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
12 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+122% better than SP · +19.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:42, 23 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Optician
Redcar · 16:07 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 17/2
Still 10/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet
25 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 17 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-15% better than SP · -1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Ventura Express
Redcar · 16:41 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 9 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Boyle Sports · Unibet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet
15 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Previously on record
Alerted 13 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Speyside
Redcar · 14:57 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/2 → 7/2
Still 9/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Betfred · Star Sports · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets
7 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
• First-time t.
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · lost
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 23 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Pedro The Poet
Redcar · 17:17 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Unibet · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 10lb. 9lb below career-high OR 70.
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+57% better than SP · +5.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Astral Calling
Redcar · 13:47 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 14 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Smarkets · Matchbook · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
9 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 4/1 (4.90)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +6.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Wondervision
Redcar · 14:22 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/2 → 11/4
Still 7/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
16 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 5.
Risks
• Up 11lb. Career-high OR 72.
Previously on record
Alerted 10 Sept · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+4% better than SP · +0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Sheikhnshah
Redcar · 15:32 · 8 runners · Other
THE MOVE
13/8 → 11/8
Still 13/8 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 11/8 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 11 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 7/4 (2.75)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: No
-5% better than SP · -1.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Emperor's Son
Redcar · 16:41 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+91% better than SP · +16.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Hope of Acklam
Redcar · 13:47 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 11/4
Still 10/3 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
21 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 6.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 2.62
Beat SP: Yes
+72% better than SP · +15.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Bigalo
Redcar · 14:22 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 3/1
Still 9/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Tees Aggregates
Redcar · 16:41 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 11/2
Still 7/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 30 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: No
-16% better than SP · -2.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 23 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Betweenthesticks
Redcar · 16:54 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
24 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 8/1 (8.80)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+47% better than SP · +5.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:25, 15 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Sixtygeesbaby
Redcar · 15:23 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
Still 12/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
25 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 13 Sept · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+53% better than SP · +4.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:49, 15 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Just Typical
Redcar · 14:53 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Betfred · Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Hollywood Bets
16 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Redcar. 1/1 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +3.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:49, 15 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Blue Boy Junior
Redcar · 14:53 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom
24 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Previously on record
Alerted 16 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+86% better than SP · +13.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:37, 15 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Come On Over
Redcar · 15:23 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
17/2 → 7/1
Still 17/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Redcar. 1/1 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 3 Sept · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+54% better than SP · +5.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:31, 15 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Return of The Gods
Redcar · 15:23 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 10/3
Still 4/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
16 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 14 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (5.80)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+45% better than SP · +7.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:28, 15 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Sir Garfield
Redcar · 15:23 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 14 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 14
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +2.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:28, 15 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Pol Roger
Redcar · 15:53 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
18 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 8 Aug · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 18/1 (18.50)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:58, 15 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Sea Her Excel
Redcar · 16:23 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 20 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +7.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:54, 15 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Dragon Spin
Redcar · 16:23 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 5/1
Still 11/2 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets
17 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Up 7lb. 3lb below career-high OR 69.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+87% better than SP · +12.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:30, 15 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Rock Steady Beat
Redcar · 14:23 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
19 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 22% last 14 days.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:57, 15 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Lady Dublin
Redcar · 14:23 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Midnite · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 25% last 14 days.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:54, 15 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlat
Roman Crystal
Redcar · 14:23 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
16/1 → 11/1
Still 16/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Midnite
23 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 8 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+73% better than SP · +3.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:54, 15 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlat
Fern Clyde
Redcar · 14:23 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +7.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:51, 15 Sept 2026
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