At 07:45 on 15 September 2026, 24 bookmakers cut Niewiadoma from 17/2 to 15/2 in the 14:23 at Redcar. The race returned an SP of 6.00, making the alert price +42% better than SP, or +4.9 probability points. It finished 4 of 7, beaten 2.75 lengths.
🟡 MEDIUM Flat
Redcar · 14:23 · 7 runners · Other
24 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
Risks
• Up 7lb. 4lb below career-high OR 79.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+42% better than SP · +4.9 probability points
Fired 07:45, 15 Sept 2026
What this record shows
This is a permanent HorseWhale record of a qualifying market-movement alert. It records the observed event and what happened next; it is not a recommendation or a prediction of the race result.
Alert recorded
07:45 on 15 September 2026
Qualifying bookmaker movement
24 bookmakers had cut when alerted
Context at the time
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
Risks
• Up 7lb. 4lb below career-high OR 79.
Outcome and grade
LOST · SP: 6.00 · Beat SP: Yes
A recorded price cut does not identify individual bettors, bet size, bookmaker liabilities or the reason for the move. A horse can have a recorded move and still lose.
