Newbury

Every steam move alert fired at Newbury, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 26 August 2026 · HorseWhale

All time

136

alerts

75%

beat SP

+4.3

avg probability points vs SP

FlatMAIDEN

Solar Swing

Newbury · 16:45 · 10 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

3/1 → 11/4

Still 3/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Unibet · Smarkets · Matchbook · 10 Bet · Betano · BetTom · Dragon Bet

18 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 10/3 (4.20)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
-16% better than SP · -3.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:27, 26 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Scythe

Newbury · 17:20 · 8 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

13/2 → 6/1

Still 13/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Bet Victor · Bet365 · Matchbook · Betano · Smarkets

20 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +0.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:24, 26 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Kingdom Of Kush

Newbury · 17:20 · 8 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

10/3 → 11/4

Still 10/3 at 6 firms when alerted
William Hill · Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Betano · Matchbook · Smarkets

21 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 3.12
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +9.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:21, 26 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Crusherman

Newbury · 16:45 · 10 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet

15 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.

Risks

• Unproven at 6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (5.80)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+55% better than SP · +9.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:09, 26 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Mobadir

Newbury · 16:10 · 14 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 4/1

Still 5/1 at 2 firms when alerted
10 Bet · BetTom

23 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+86% better than SP · +13.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:33, 26 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Regal Tiger

Newbury · 16:10 · 14 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 13/2

Still 7/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Bet Victor · Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betano · BresBet · Dragon Bet

16 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 5.

Risks

• Up 12lb. Career-high OR 73.

RESULT

NON-RUNNER

Alert price: 8/1 (8.80)

Permanent record · Fired 09:24, 26 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Walson's Law

Newbury · 18:30 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

Still 16/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · BresBet · Dragon Bet

23 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 16/1 (17.50)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+46% better than SP · +2.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:21, 26 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Royal Message

Newbury · 17:55 · 10 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

11/1 → 9/1

Still 11/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betano · BetTom

22 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+117% better than SP · +9.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:18, 26 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Darjeel

Newbury · 17:20 · 8 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

11/2 → 5/1

Still 11/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets

23 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 6/1 (7.20)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+80% better than SP · +11.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:09, 26 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Cloud Forest

Newbury · 18:30 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright

14 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.

Risks

• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+2% better than SP · +0.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:51, 26 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Battleworthy

Newbury · 17:20 · 8 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

10/3 → 3/1

Still 10/3 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · BetWright

20 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +1.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:51, 26 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Yabreen

Newbury · 16:45 · 10 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Unibet · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Quinn Bet · 10 Bet

10 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: No
-14% better than SP · -2.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:30, 26 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Bidsta

Newbury · 17:55 · 10 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

3/1 → 11/4

Still 3/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · William Hill · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Smarkets

16 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: No
-27% better than SP · -6.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:27, 26 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Island Bear

Newbury · 19:30 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

28/1 → 20/1

24 firms had already cut to 20/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 20/1 (20.25)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +0.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 26 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Bold Shout

Newbury · 19:00 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

2/1 → 7/4

4 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 7/4 (2.80)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: No
-14% better than SP · -4.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 26 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Cool Molly

Newbury · 19:00 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

15/2 → 13/2

Still 15/2 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom

21 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 26 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Abundant

Newbury · 18:30 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 7/2

Still 9/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betano · BetWright

17 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.60)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+104% better than SP · +18.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 26 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Empirical

Newbury · 19:30 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

15/8 → 13/8

Still 15/8 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · William Hill · Betano · BetTom

8 firms had already cut to 13/8 when alerted

Risks

• Up 6lb. Career-high OR 80.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 15/8 (2.88)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: No
-28% better than SP · -9.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 26 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Lion Of Mali

Newbury · 19:00 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/4 → 9/4

Still 11/4 at 2 firms when alerted
BetMGM · BetTom

20 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +13.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 26 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Edwin Hubble

Newbury · 19:30 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Star Sports · William Hill · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetWright

15 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 9/2 (5.60)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+104% better than SP · +18.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 26 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Perfect Strike

Newbury · 16:45 · 10 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

4/1 → 10/3

22 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.

Risks

• Unproven at 6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +3.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 26 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Starburster

Newbury · 17:55 · 10 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

4/1 → 10/3

22 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
-28% better than SP · -6.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 26 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Masterinthewoods

Newbury · 16:20 · 5 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/8 → 11/8

Still 13/8 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetWright · PricedUp Bet · BestOdds

10 firms had already cut to 11/8 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 13/8 (2.63)
SP: 2.38
BSP: 2.60
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +4.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 16:16, 15 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Tryfan

Newbury · 16:20 · 5 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 18 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Betfred · Bet Victor · BetTom · Virgin Bet · talkSPORT BET · BetWright · LiveScore Bet · Betano · Dragon Bet · PricedUp Bet · BetAhoy · Octobet · BresBet · BestOdds · 7Bet · CopyBet

7 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 4.50
BSP: 5.41
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +2.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 16:04, 15 Aug 2026

FlatGroup 2

Back In Black

Newbury · 15:10 · 9 runners · Group 2

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

Still 16/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Betano · CopyBet · PricedUp Bet

20 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 10.00
BSP: 10.92
Beat SP: Yes
+70% better than SP · +4.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:55, 15 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Wild Thoughts

Newbury · 16:55 · 4 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

17/2 → 7/1

26 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 7.00
BSP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +1.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:46, 15 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Great Acclaim

Newbury · 14:35 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 9 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetTom · BetWright · CopyBet · PricedUp Bet · BetAhoy · Octobet · BestOdds · 7Bet

19 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.50
BSP: 5.60
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +4.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:34, 15 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Christian David

Newbury · 14:35 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

8/1 → 6/1

Still 8/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetWright

22 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 7.00
BSP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +3.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:34, 15 Aug 2026

Flat

San Jose

Newbury · 15:42 · 13 runners · Other

THE MOVE

8/1 → 13/2

Still 8/1 at 4 firms when alerted
BetTom · PricedUp Bet · BetAhoy · Octobet

23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 9.00
BSP: 9.12
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:31, 15 Aug 2026

FlatGroup 3

Rebel Rocker

Newbury · 13:25 · 5 runners · Group 3

THE MOVE

11/1 → 10/1

Still 11/1 at 1 firm when alerted
PricedUp Bet

22 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 11.00
BSP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +0.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:22, 15 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Great Bedwyn

Newbury · 16:20 · 5 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/3 → 3/1

Still 10/3 at 6 firms when alerted
BetTom · Virgin Bet · LiveScore Bet · PricedUp Bet · BetAhoy · Octobet

16 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 4.00
BSP: 4.70
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +1.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:10, 15 Aug 2026

FlatGroup 2

Extremely Zain

Newbury · 15:10 · 9 runners · Group 2

THE MOVE

11/2 → 5/1

Still 11/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill

4 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 5.00
BSP: 6.40
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +4.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:34, 15 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Rhythm N Hooves

Newbury · 13:55 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 1 firm when alerted
PricedUp Bet

17 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.50
BSP: 5.33
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +5.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:28, 15 Aug 2026

FlatGroup 3

Gamrai

Newbury · 13:25 · 5 runners · Group 3

THE MOVE

6/1 → 9/2

Still 6/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Star Sports · PricedUp Bet

22 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 6.50
BSP: 6.80
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +2.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:07, 15 Aug 2026

FlatGroup 3

Wine Dark Sea

Newbury · 13:25 · 5 runners · Group 3

THE MOVE

9/1 → 13/2

Still 9/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Unibet · PricedUp Bet

21 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 4.50
BSP: 4.86
Beat SP: Yes
+144% better than SP · +13.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:07, 15 Aug 2026

FlatGroup 2

Never So Brave

Newbury · 15:10 · 9 runners · Group 2

THE MOVE

7/2 → 3/1

Still 7/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Virgin Bet · LiveScore Bet · PricedUp Bet

12 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 4.50
BSP: 5.20
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:28, 15 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Stellar Sunrise

Newbury · 14:35 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/1 → 17/2

Still 11/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Unibet

24 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 10.00
BSP: 11.63
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +1.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:25, 15 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Explode

Newbury · 16:20 · 5 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 6 firms when alerted
William Hill · Bet Victor · BetWright · Betano · PricedUp Bet · BestOdds

19 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 7.00
BSP: 7.62
Beat SP: No
-14% better than SP · -2.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:25, 15 Aug 2026

FlatGroup 3

Dubai Honour

Newbury · 13:25 · 5 runners · Group 3

THE MOVE

9/4 → 2/1

Still 9/4 at 1 firm when alerted
Unibet

7 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 3.00
BSP: 3.07
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +2.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:58, 15 Aug 2026

Flat

Mister Whippy

Newbury · 15:42 · 13 runners · Other

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Unibet · PricedUp Bet · BetTom · 10 Bet · BetWright · BetAhoy · Octobet

17 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.33
BSP: 5.36
Beat SP: Yes
+39% better than SP · +6.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:55, 15 Aug 2026

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