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Newbury

Every steam move alert fired at Newbury, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 18 September 2026 · HorseWhale

All time
136
alerts
75%
beat SP
+4.3
avg probability points vs SP
🟡 MEDIUMFlat
Grove Street
Newbury · 15:32 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
14/1 → 12/1
25 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 30% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 18 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +3.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:07, 18 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Redbud Sixteen
Newbury · 16:40 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
25 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Newbury. 1/1 at this course.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 3 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +1.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:48, 18 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatListed
All Moonshine
Newbury · 16:07 · 8 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
10/1 → 17/2
24 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Newbury. 1/1 at this course.
• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
Permanent record · Fired 11:39, 18 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Sweet Reward
Newbury · 17:50 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
23 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:45, 18 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Glenna
Newbury · 16:40 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Star Sports · 10 Bet · BetTom
20 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+42% better than SP · +2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:24, 18 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Due To Henry
Newbury · 17:50 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · 10 Bet · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time b.
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:21, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatListed
Spy Chief
Newbury · 16:07 · 8 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 13 firms when alerted
Betfred · William Hill · Star Sports · Unibet · Matchbook · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
13 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 28% last 14 days.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +10.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:21, 18 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Law Court
Newbury · 17:50 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 4 firms when alerted
10 Bet · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 6lb. 1lb below career-high OR 87.
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+133% better than SP · +19.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:18, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Empirical
Newbury · 17:50 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 26 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/2 (3.60)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +3.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:18, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Next of Kin
Newbury · 14:57 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
15 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 23% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 10 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +4.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:18, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Interstate
Newbury · 17:50 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
2/1 → 7/4
Still 2/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet · Matchbook · Smarkets
12 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 28% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 3 Sept · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 2/1 (3.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: No
-25% better than SP · -8.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Lady Magu
Newbury · 16:40 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 7/2
Still 9/2 at 2 firms when alerted
10 Bet · Matchbook
21 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
Permanent record · Fired 09:06, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Sweetwonderfulyou
Newbury · 14:22 · 4 runners · Other
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · Betano · Hollywood Bets · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright
17 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Newbury. 1/1 at this course.
• Trainer in form. 23% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 14 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+64% better than SP · +14.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:03, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Nightsinwhitesatin
Newbury · 16:40 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetTom · Smarkets
18 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Newbury. 1/1 at this course.
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 3 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+48% better than SP · +7.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:57, 18 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatMAIDEN
War Chest
Newbury · 13:47 · 15 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betano
4 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/1 (8.20)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+2% better than SP · +0.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:45, 18 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Tambora
Newbury · 17:15 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
18 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Littlecote
Newbury · 16:40 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 11/2
Still 6/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
20 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 13/2 (7.40)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+64% better than SP · +8.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 18 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlat
Learning
Newbury · 14:22 · 4 runners · Other
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
21 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 3 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-40% better than SP · -4.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 18 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Weleyff
Newbury · 14:57 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Betano · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 20 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +4.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 18 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Jumeirah Storm
Newbury · 14:57 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 6/1
23 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 19 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-7% better than SP · -1.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Loz Vegas
Newbury · 17:15 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +18.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Impasto
Newbury · 15:32 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
8/1 → 7/1
Still 8/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 9/1 (9.80)
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatListed
Elarak
Newbury · 16:07 · 8 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 13 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · BetMGM · Boyle Sports · William Hill · Betano · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet · Matchbook · Smarkets
14 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 23% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +8.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 18 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatMAIDEN
Al Widyan
Newbury · 13:47 · 15 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
5/2 → 85/40
Still 5/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Betano
23 firms had already cut to 85/40 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 2.62
Beat SP: Yes
+34% better than SP · +9.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Spirit of Lyra
Newbury · 14:22 · 4 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
24 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
-29% better than SP · -3.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 18 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Perfect Scoundrel
Newbury · 17:15 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +3.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 18 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Mythical Bird
Newbury · 17:15 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 15/2
24 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: No
-15% better than SP · -1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 18 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Bintknight
Newbury · 16:40 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
24 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 26 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 18 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Accademia
Newbury · 18:30 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 13 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetMGM · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
13 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Newbury. 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+16% better than SP · +2.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 18:10, 26 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Somers Isles
Newbury · 17:55 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betano · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
8 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/4 (3.65)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +5.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:01, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Livemore
Newbury · 19:30 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
17/2 → 15/2
Still 17/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-15% better than SP · -1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:10, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Mino
Newbury · 16:10 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 11/2
Still 15/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Star Sports · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 5.
RESULT
LOST · finished 12
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+42% better than SP · +4.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:04, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Distinct Spirit
Newbury · 18:30 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 10/1
Still 11/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 12/1 (13.50)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-10% better than SP · -0.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:31, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Magical Merlot
Newbury · 19:30 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
26 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +5.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:15, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Show Me Gold
Newbury · 19:00 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betano · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet
5 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+32% better than SP · +4.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:51, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Best Rate
Newbury · 18:30 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
18/1 → 11/1
24 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:45, 26 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Flick Of An Eye
Newbury · 16:45 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 8/1 (9.20)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:42, 26 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Martaban
Newbury · 17:20 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +7.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:39, 26 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Epistle
Newbury · 17:20 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
28/1 → 16/1
Still 28/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Smarkets
26 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 28/1 (29.00)
SP: 34.00
Beat SP: No
-15% better than SP · -0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:39, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Guesstimate
Newbury · 19:30 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 8/1 (8.80)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:36, 26 Aug 2026
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