Doncaster

Every steam move alert fired at Doncaster, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 12 September 2026 · HorseWhale

All time

121

alerts

69%

beat SP

+3.0

avg probability points vs SP

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Tawajjah

Doncaster · 16:48 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/2 → 9/2

Still 11/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · 10 Bet · Betano · BetTom

18 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +6.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:52, 12 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatGroup 1

Christmas Day

Doncaster · 15:35 · 11 runners · Group 1

THE MOVE

9/4 → 2/1

Still 9/4 at 1 firm when alerted
Boyle Sports

6 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 20% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 1m6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

Previously on record

Alerted 19 Aug · lost

RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +5.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:49, 12 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatGroup 1

Enceladus

Doncaster · 15:35 · 11 runners · Group 1

THE MOVE

5/2 → 9/4

Still 5/2 at 15 firms when alerted
Betfred · BetMGM · Unibet · William Hill · BetWright · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet

4 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 5% of alerts today

Why it rates

• First-time p.

Risks

• Unproven at 1m6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +1.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:25, 12 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Mezcala

Doncaster · 16:15 · 17 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet

17 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Doncaster. 1/1 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 9/2 (5.30)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-29% better than SP · -5.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:43, 12 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN

Hmas Perth

Doncaster · 13:10 · 10 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

7/2 → 3/1

Still 7/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook

20 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 40% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/1 (4.80)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
-4% better than SP · -0.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:28, 12 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatGroup 2

Sergei Diaghilev

Doncaster · 13:45 · 5 runners · Group 2

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Unibet · William Hill · Betano · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets · Matchbook

18 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 30% of alerts today

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+71% better than SP · +11.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:37, 12 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP

Thunder Run

Doncaster · 16:48 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/2 → 11/4

Still 7/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets

15 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · top 50% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Trainer in form. 23% last 14 days.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +4.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:34, 12 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatGroup 2

Desert Castle

Doncaster · 13:45 · 5 runners · Group 2

THE MOVE

4/6 → 4/7

Still 4/6 at 8 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Paddy Power

8 firms had already cut to 4/7 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 5% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Trainer in form. 33% last 14 days.

Previously on record

Alerted 7 Aug · won

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/5 (1.78)
SP: 2.00
Beat SP: No
-11% better than SP · -6.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 12 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Blue Courvoisier

Doncaster · 16:15 · 17 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/2 → 11/2

Still 13/2 at 3 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets

21 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today

RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 8/1 (8.80)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+4% better than SP · +0.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 12 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Scoville

Doncaster · 16:15 · 17 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

15/2 → 13/2

Still 15/2 at 4 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom

21 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Trainer in form. 28% last 14 days.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 17/2 (9.40)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+57% better than SP · +6.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 12 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN

Al Jabbar

Doncaster · 13:10 · 10 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

5/2 → 9/4

Still 5/2 at 3 firms when alerted
William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook

16 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 10% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Trainer in form. 33% last 14 days.

Previously on record

Alerted 21 Aug · placed

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/4 (3.85)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: No
-4% better than SP · -1.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 12 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP

Toca Madera

Doncaster · 14:20 · 21 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

8/1 → 7/1

Still 8/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook

23 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 10% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Doncaster. 1/1 at this course.

Previously on record

Alerted 29 Aug · placed

RESULT
LOST · finished 12
Alert price: 9/1 (10.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+75% better than SP · +7.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 12 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP

Silver Lake

Doncaster · 15:35 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

2/1 → 7/4

Still 2/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets

16 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 40% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Trainer in form. 24% last 14 days.

Risks

• Up 9lb. Career-high OR 92.

• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

Previously on record

Alerted 21 Aug · won

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 2/1 (3.05)
SP: 2.62
Beat SP: Yes
+16% better than SP · +5.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:28, 11 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWFlatGroup 2

Tokaido

Doncaster · 14:25 · 11 runners · Group 2

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

25 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 5% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:16, 11 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP

Room Fourteen

Doncaster · 15:35 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Smarkets · Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets

14 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Doncaster. 1/1 at this course.

• Trainer in form. 24% last 14 days.

Risks

• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: No
-6% better than SP · -0.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:58, 11 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Salamanca City

Doncaster · 15:35 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

14/1 → 10/1

25 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Trainer in form. 24% last 14 days.

Risks

• Up 6lb. Career-high OR 91.

Previously on record

Alerted 21 Aug · placed

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-27% better than SP · -2.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:19, 11 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatListed

Nabati

Doncaster · 13:15 · 9 runners · Listed

THE MOVE

6/4 → 5/4

Still 6/4 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · Unibet · Betano · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power · Matchbook · Smarkets

9 firms had already cut to 5/4 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 20% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Trainer in form. 35% last 14 days.

Risks

• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 6/4 (2.50)
SP: 2.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +10.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:19, 11 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlat

Nyman

Doncaster · 13:50 · 13 runners · Other

THE MOVE

7/1 → 11/2

23 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.

Risks

• Up 36lb. 7lb below career-high OR 80.

Previously on record

Alerted 5 Sept · won

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +6.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:19, 11 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatGroup 2

Sale Shark

Doncaster · 14:25 · 11 runners · Group 2

THE MOVE

7/1 → 6/1

Still 7/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · LiveScore Bet · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet

14 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 8/1 (9.20)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +1.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:09, 11 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatGroup 2

Ascending

Doncaster · 15:00 · 7 runners · Group 2

THE MOVE

8/1 → 13/2

Still 8/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook

23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

Previously on record

Alerted 6 Aug · lost

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 8/1 (9.20)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +2.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:24, 11 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP

Henley On Thames

Doncaster · 16:45 · 15 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

6/1 → 5/1

Still 6/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets

24 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 5% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.

• Trainer in form. 22% last 14 days.

Previously on record

Alerted 19 Aug · won

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +3.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:21, 11 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP

Ruby Wedding

Doncaster · 15:35 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · Betano · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets

15 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 10% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 13 Aug · won

RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+39% better than SP · +6.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:18, 11 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatListed

Forbidden Fire

Doncaster · 13:15 · 9 runners · Listed

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Unibet · Betfred · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet

10 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 10% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

Previously on record

Alerted 12 Aug · won

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +2.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:03, 11 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatListed

Varzi

Doncaster · 13:15 · 9 runners · Listed

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

Still 16/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets

24 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Trainer in form. 26% last 14 days.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 18/1 (19.50)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +0.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:54, 11 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP

Nochebuena

Doncaster · 15:35 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 7 firms when alerted
William Hill · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Paddy Power

18 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 20% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Doncaster. 1/1 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 4/1 (5.10)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: No
-7% better than SP · -1.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:51, 11 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWFlatGroup 2

Epic Poet

Doncaster · 15:00 · 7 runners · Group 2

THE MOVE

14/1 → 11/1

Still 14/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power

23 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 5% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:51, 11 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatGroup 2

Carry The Flag

Doncaster · 14:25 · 11 runners · Group 2

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetMGM · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · 10 Bet

6 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 9 Aug · lost

RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+28% better than SP · +4.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 11 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatMAIDEN

Awwjaan

Doncaster · 16:10 · 4 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

10/1 → 15/2

Still 10/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets

23 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +9.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 11 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatGroup 2

Caballo De Mar

Doncaster · 15:00 · 7 runners · Group 2

THE MOVE

11/8 → 5/4

Still 11/8 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets

10 firms had already cut to 5/4 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 10% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

Previously on record

Alerted 21 Aug · lost

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/8 (2.42)
SP: 1.83
Beat SP: Yes
+32% better than SP · +13.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 11 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP

Launch Sequence

Doncaster · 16:45 · 15 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets

24 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.

• First-time p.

Previously on record

Alerted 21 Aug · lost

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.30)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +4.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 11 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Pride Of Toledo

Doncaster · 16:45 · 15 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets

17 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/2 (5.60)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +7.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 11 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatGroup 2

Flann Sunna

Doncaster · 14:25 · 11 runners · Group 2

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook

9 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 30% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (5.80)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+45% better than SP · +7.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 11 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN

She's Got A Way

Doncaster · 16:10 · 4 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

11/4 → 9/4

Still 11/4 at 7 firms when alerted
Unibet · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets

19 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 5% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Trainer in form. 26% last 14 days.

Risks

• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +1.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 11 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN

Godspeed Girl

Doncaster · 16:10 · 4 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

6/1 → 5/1

Still 6/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · Star Sports · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets

20 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 40% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 8 Aug · lost

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-42% better than SP · -5.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 11 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN

Victoria Night

Doncaster · 16:10 · 4 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

6/5 → 5/6

Still 6/5 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Unibet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet

16 firms had already cut to 5/6 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 10% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 29 Aug · placed

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 6/5 (2.20)
SP: 1.80
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +10.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 11 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Almekarem

Doncaster · 17:20 · 17 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetMGM · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet

15 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.

Risks

• Up 10lb. 1lb below career-high OR 81.

Previously on record

Alerted 31 Aug · placed

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+47% better than SP · +7.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 11 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Canvas

Doncaster · 17:20 · 17 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

6/1 → 11/2

Still 6/1 at 6 firms when alerted
William Hill · Boyle Sports · Matchbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets

19 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: No
-12% better than SP · -1.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 11 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP

Everyoneknowsadave

Doncaster · 17:20 · 17 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 6/1

Still 7/1 at 4 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets

22 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 5% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 31 Aug · placed

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 7/1 (8.20)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+37% better than SP · +4.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 11 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatGroup 2

Beylerbeyi

Doncaster · 15:00 · 7 runners · Group 2

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright

18 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 10% of alerts today

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/1 (5.20)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
-13% better than SP · -2.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 11 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlat

Anthropologist

Doncaster · 13:50 · 13 runners · Other

THE MOVE

13/2 → 11/2

Still 13/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Smarkets · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook

20 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today

Risks

• Up 25lb. 5lb below career-high OR 75.

Previously on record

Alerted 5 Sept · placed

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+45% better than SP · +5.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 11 Sept 2026

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