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Doncaster

Every steam move alert fired at Doncaster, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 13 September 2026 · HorseWhale

All time
121
alerts
69%
beat SP
+3.0
avg probability points vs SP
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Sixtygeesbaby
Doncaster · 17:20 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Betfred · Smarkets
25 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 16
Alert price: 15/2 (8.60)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+32% better than SP · +3.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:18, 13 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Miraculous
Doncaster · 17:20 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
25 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 27 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 14
Alert price: 8/1 (9.20)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:15, 13 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Kinetic Force
Doncaster · 16:15 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
25 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 9lb. 7lb below career-high OR 87.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:54, 13 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Rock Of England
Doncaster · 16:50 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 5/1
Still 11/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 6/1 (6.80)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+24% better than SP · +3.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:39, 13 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Ernst Blofeld
Doncaster · 15:40 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetTom · Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +2.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:51, 13 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Say What You See
Doncaster · 15:40 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 13 firms when alerted
Betfred · Star Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
17 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 6 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: No
-9% better than SP · -1.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:51, 13 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Jer Batt
Doncaster · 13:25 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
17/2 → 15/2
24 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +3.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:15, 13 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Dancing In Paris
Doncaster · 15:40 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 15/2 (8.40)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: No
-12% better than SP · -1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:45, 13 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatGroup 3
Touleen
Doncaster · 15:05 · 19 runners · Group 3
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom
20 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time p.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/3 (4.20)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: No
-3% better than SP · -0.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:33, 13 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Smart Vision
Doncaster · 16:50 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 5 firms when alerted
BetMGM · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Doncaster. 1/7 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 20 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+43% better than SP · +4.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:24, 13 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Mo of Cairo
Doncaster · 17:20 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 15/2
Still 8/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
• First run after wind surgery.
Risks
• Up 10lb. 5lb below career-high OR 84.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/1 (10.50)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +1.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:21, 13 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Oliver Show
Doncaster · 13:55 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
24 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 30 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:18, 13 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Emerald Harmony
Doncaster · 16:50 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 10/1
25 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 14 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:18, 13 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Lakers
Doncaster · 13:55 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 30 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 11/1 (12.50)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-4% better than SP · -0.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:03, 13 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Wechaad
Doncaster · 14:30 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Betfred · Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Midnite
11 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Doncaster. 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +8.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:57, 13 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Hiya Maite
Doncaster · 16:15 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 17/2
Still 10/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
25 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+16% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:45, 13 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Duran
Doncaster · 16:50 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Matchbook · Smarkets
17 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+28% better than SP · +4.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:36, 13 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
All In You
Doncaster · 15:40 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betano · Midnite
17 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 6/1 (6.80)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+36% better than SP · +5.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:30, 13 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Completely Random
Doncaster · 13:55 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Betfred · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet
19 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: No
-18% better than SP · -2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:27, 13 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Asuka
Doncaster · 13:55 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
Still 7/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Betano · Matchbook
16 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +6.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:24, 13 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Tiva
Doncaster · 16:15 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · BetTom · Midnite
20 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 13 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatGroup 3
Forty Years On
Doncaster · 15:05 · 19 runners · Group 3
THE MOVE
2/1 → 7/4
Still 2/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
8 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 4
Alert price: 2/1 (2.94)
SP: 2.25
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +10.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:03, 13 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Blue Brother
Doncaster · 13:55 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Star Sports · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Betano · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
11 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 20 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.70)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+63% better than SP · +11.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:57, 13 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
The Man
Doncaster · 13:25 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet
20 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 8lb. 9lb below career-high OR 96.
Previously on record
Alerted 19 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 4
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +4.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:45, 13 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Dandy Magic
Doncaster · 17:20 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+45% better than SP · +5.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 13 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Tanjen
Doncaster · 16:50 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 7/1
Still 9/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 6 Sept · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-9% better than SP · -0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 13 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Mighty Magnus
Doncaster · 16:50 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
24 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 9lb. 4lb below career-high OR 86.
Previously on record
Alerted 4 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
-54% better than SP · -9.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 13 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Valedictory
Doncaster · 15:40 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 5 firms when alerted
Matchbook · 7Bet · BetWright · Paddy Power · Smarkets
11 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time v.
• Trainer in form. 28% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 19 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/3 (4.40)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +13.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 13 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Intense Vision
Doncaster · 14:30 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 11/1
23 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +5.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 13 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Archduke Ferdinand
Doncaster · 17:20 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
Still 12/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+53% better than SP · +4.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 13 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Winged Messenger
Doncaster · 16:15 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +1.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 13 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Langstone
Doncaster · 14:30 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 7/2
24 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Doncaster. 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
-25% better than SP · -5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 13 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Ancient State
Doncaster · 13:25 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 7/1
24 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+45% better than SP · +5.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 13 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
City Of Poets
Doncaster · 16:48 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
22 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 22% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 13 Aug · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:11, 12 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatGroup 1
Pierre Bonnard
Doncaster · 15:35 · 11 runners · Group 1
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 13 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · BetMGM · Unibet · Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · 7Bet · Midnite · Paddy Power · Smarkets
12 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 19 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 7/2 (4.60)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:11, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatGroup 2
Never So Brave
Doncaster · 14:55 · 8 runners · Group 2
THE MOVE
17/2 → 15/2
Still 17/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Star Sports · Unibet · Betano · BetWright
19 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+58% better than SP · +6.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:37, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatGroup 2
More Thunder
Doncaster · 14:55 · 8 runners · Group 2
THE MOVE
1/1 → 4/5
Still 1/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
6 firms had already cut to 4/5 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 28% last 14 days.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 1/1 (1.98)
SP: 1.80
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +5.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:34, 12 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Air Force One
Doncaster · 14:20 · 21 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
Still 12/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Star Sports · 10 Bet · BetTom
18 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +7.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:01, 12 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatMAIDEN
Berkshire Regal
Doncaster · 13:10 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 20 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:07, 12 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatMAIDEN
Game Character
Doncaster · 13:10 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 16 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook · 7Bet · Betano · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
7 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 9/2 (5.30)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+51% better than SP · +9.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:58, 12 Sept 2026
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