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Chester

Every steam move alert fired at Chester, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 11 September 2026 · HorseWhale

All time
130
alerts
72%
beat SP
+3.2
avg probability points vs SP
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Lady Gormire
Chester · 16:28 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power
23 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Previously on record
Alerted 26 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 13
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:19, 11 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlat
Oxber Flyer
Chester · 13:37 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
18/1 → 14/1
Still 18/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Smarkets · 10 Bet · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 50% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 18/1 (20.00)
Permanent record · Fired 10:24, 11 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Condotti
Chester · 14:47 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Smarkets · Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:09, 11 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Homestrait
Chester · 16:28 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
25 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 4 Sept · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +0.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:03, 11 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Kodiac Thriller
Chester · 15:17 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 7/1
Still 8/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
24 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:51, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Manila Scouse
Chester · 15:17 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Smarkets · Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power
18 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 15/2 (8.40)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+53% better than SP · +6.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:42, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
She's Too Kool
Chester · 14:12 · 4 runners · Other
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Quinn Bet
15 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 30 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (4.10)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+49% better than SP · +12.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:42, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Donna Beauty
Chester · 13:37 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/2 → 85/40
Still 5/2 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
12 firms had already cut to 85/40 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 5.
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (3.90)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+42% better than SP · +10.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:42, 11 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Queen Roslyn
Chester · 17:03 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 13/2
Still 9/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 5.
Risks
• Up 19lb. 24lb below career-high OR 87.
• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+144% better than SP · +13.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:15, 11 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Chilly Breeze
Chester · 14:47 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 6/1
Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
19 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time h.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +3.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 11 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Corsican Caper
Chester · 17:03 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:45, 11 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Rogue Citation
Chester · 16:28 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
17/2 → 15/2
Still 17/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Ladbrokes · Coral · Matchbook · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+82% better than SP · +8.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 11 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Beaune
Chester · 17:03 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Good To Soft vs Good. Career record: 0/2 on Good To Soft.
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 11 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Ghisa
Chester · 16:28 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 4/1
Still 11/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Good To Soft vs Good To Firm. First run on this going.
Previously on record
Alerted 26 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+47% better than SP · +7.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Meet Me In Meraki
Chester · 14:47 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
14 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (3.90)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: No
-10% better than SP · -2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Sugar Sugar
Chester · 16:28 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
10 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 3 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 12
Alert price: 4/1 (5.20)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-35% better than SP · -6.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
West Tyrone
Chester · 14:47 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Matchbook · Smarkets
13 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 7lb. 5lb below career-high OR 73.
• Unproven at 1m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +7.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
The Thinking Man
Chester · 13:37 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Hollywood Bets
14 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 5.
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 15/2 (8.60)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+99% better than SP · +11.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Dovecote
Chester · 14:12 · 4 runners · Other
THE MOVE
4/5 → 4/6
Still 4/5 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · BetMGM · Unibet · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet · Matchbook
8 firms had already cut to 4/6 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Good To Soft vs Good. First run on this going.
RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 4/5 (1.80)
SP: 1.73
Beat SP: Yes
+4% better than SP · +2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Vintage Clarets
Chester · 15:17 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 5/2
Still 3/1 at 3 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
9 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 3/1 (4.10)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: No
-5% better than SP · -1.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Two Commanders
Chester · 15:53 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/8 → 6/4
Still 15/8 at 3 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets
7 firms had already cut to 6/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 24 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 2/1 (2.94)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: No
-16% better than SP · -5.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Cascade Hall
Chester · 17:03 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 11lb. 4lb below career-high OR 66.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +6.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 11 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Midnight Rumble
Chester · 17:35 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
66/1 → 28/1
Still 66/1 at 2 firms when alerted
LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
23 firms had already cut to 28/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 66/1 (67.00)
SP: 41.00
Beat SP: Yes
+63% better than SP · +0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:16, 22 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Big Fun
Chester · 16:25 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
25/1 → 18/1
Still 25/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetWright
22 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 25/1 (26.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +3.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:10, 22 Aug 2026
Flat
Angel Ceecee
Chester · 15:50 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Virgin Bet
17 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +2.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:33, 22 Aug 2026
Flat
Gladys Pugh
Chester · 15:15 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Betano · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
22 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:09, 22 Aug 2026
Flat
Jazz Queen
Chester · 15:15 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
50/1 → 33/1
Still 50/1 at 2 firms when alerted
LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
23 firms had already cut to 33/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 50/1 (51.00)
SP: 41.00
Beat SP: Yes
+24% better than SP · +0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:00, 22 Aug 2026
Flat
Nicely
Chester · 15:15 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · BetTom · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · Matchbook · Smarkets
8 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+67% better than SP · +13.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:42, 22 Aug 2026
FlatListed
Lady Vivian
Chester · 14:40 · 8 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
14/1 → 10/1
Still 14/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Betfred
20 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+36% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:30, 22 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
American Style
Chester · 17:00 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
25 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 8/1 (8.80)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+76% better than SP · +8.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:57, 22 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Cranachan
Chester · 17:35 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Midnite
21 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+45% better than SP · +5.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:48, 22 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Westport
Chester · 17:00 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 10/1
25 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:51, 22 Aug 2026
FlatListed
Duraji
Chester · 14:40 · 8 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
22/1 → 16/1
25 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:12, 22 Aug 2026
FlatListed
Fantasy World
Chester · 14:40 · 8 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+3% better than SP · +0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:09, 22 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Station X
Chester · 17:00 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetWright
20 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Chester. 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+43% better than SP · +4.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:45, 22 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Howth
Chester · 17:35 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 3 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Matchbook · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished PU
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:39, 22 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Asuka
Chester · 14:05 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Quinn Bet
8 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 7½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 7/2 (4.60)
SP: 2.62
Beat SP: Yes
+76% better than SP · +16.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:15, 22 Aug 2026
FlatListed
By The Book
Chester · 14:40 · 8 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Quinn Bet · Matchbook · Smarkets
11 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +10.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:00, 22 Aug 2026
FlatListed
Lazy Griff
Chester · 14:40 · 8 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
15/8 → 13/8
4 firms had already cut to 13/8 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished PU
Alert price: 13/8 (2.59)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: No
-20% better than SP · -7.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:54, 22 Aug 2026
Flat
Takaaful
Chester · 15:15 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/2 → 5/1
Still 11/2 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Boyle Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betano · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
15 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 13/2 (7.40)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+71% better than SP · +9.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:45, 22 Aug 2026
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