Chester

Every steam move alert fired at Chester, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 22 August 2026 · HorseWhale

All time

130

alerts

72%

beat SP

+3.2

avg probability points vs SP

FlatHANDICAP

Fortification

Chester · 17:00 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 4/1

24 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.

Risks

• Up 9lb. 1lb below career-high OR 88.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 22 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Goldmoyne

Chester · 14:05 · 13 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/1 → 15/2

23 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-23% better than SP · -2.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 22 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

U S S Charleston

Chester · 16:25 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/4 → 5/2

Still 11/4 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets

15 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted

Risks

• Up 8lb. Career-high OR 78.

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 11/4 (3.85)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+28% better than SP · +7.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 22 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Sea And Sun

Chester · 17:35 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

3/1 → 11/4

19 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.

Risks

• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +4.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 22 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Dino Bellagio

Chester · 17:35 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/1 → 8/1

Still 9/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook

22 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Chester. 1/2 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 9/1 (9.80)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +3.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 22 Aug 2026

Flat

Duty's Call

Chester · 15:50 · 6 runners · Other

THE MOVE

5/1 → 7/2

Still 5/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Unibet · BetTom · BetWright · 10 Bet

18 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 22 Aug 2026

Flat

Lady Of Hay

Chester · 15:50 · 6 runners · Other

THE MOVE

7/1 → 11/2

Still 7/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Unibet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · 10 Bet

15 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+78% better than SP · +9.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 22 Aug 2026

Flat

Ivory Moon

Chester · 15:50 · 6 runners · Other

THE MOVE

11/10 → 8/13

Still 11/10 at 3 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Unibet · BetTom

13 firms had already cut to 8/13 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/10 (2.10)
SP: 1.67
Beat SP: Yes
+26% better than SP · +12.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 22 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

St Mawes

Chester · 17:35 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/4 → 2/1

Still 9/4 at 10 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · William Hill · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet · Matchbook · Smarkets

10 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.

Risks

• Up 17lb. 1lb below career-high OR 81.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 22 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Yanifer

Chester · 14:05 · 13 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/2 → 11/2

Still 13/2 at 7 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright · Quinn Bet

16 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Chester. 1/4 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: No
-16% better than SP · -2.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 22 Aug 2026

FlatListed

Orchard Keeper

Chester · 14:40 · 8 runners · Listed

THE MOVE

14/1 → 11/1

Still 14/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright

21 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 14/1 (16.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: No
-6% better than SP · -0.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 22 Aug 2026

Flat

Bated Benevolence

Chester · 15:15 · 7 runners · Other

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 13 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet

9 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+57% better than SP · +10.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 22 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Brighton Boy

Chester · 17:00 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

6/1 → 5/1

Still 6/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Matchbook · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Smarkets

18 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.

• Chester. 1/4 at this course.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 6/1 (7.20)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +6.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 22 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Roman Dragon

Chester · 17:00 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/3 → 3/1

Still 10/3 at 7 firms when alerted
William Hill · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Midnite

13 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.

• Chester. 1/6 at this course.

Risks

• Up 6lb. 5lb below career-high OR 100.

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
-13% better than SP · -3.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 22 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Alfa Duplicate

Chester · 16:25 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/4 → 2/1

Still 9/4 at 5 firms when alerted
Star Sports · William Hill · BetTom · Matchbook · Smarkets

12 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +5.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 22 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Aqpan

Chester · 14:05 · 13 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

Still 16/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betano · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet

14 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 7½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 12
Alert price: 18/1 (18.50)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +0.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 22 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Whip Cracker

Chester · 14:05 · 13 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

15/2 → 13/2

Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betano

13 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 7½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +0.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 22 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Hanney Girl

Chester · 16:25 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

3/1 → 11/4

Still 3/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Star Sports · William Hill · BetTom

20 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -1.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 22 Aug 2026

Flat

Kentucky Rain

Chester · 15:15 · 7 runners · Other

THE MOVE

9/4 → 2/1

Still 9/4 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Smarkets · Midnite · Paddy Power

12 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/4 (3.35)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: No
-39% better than SP · -11.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 22 Aug 2026

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