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Chester

Every steam move alert fired at Chester, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 12 September 2026 · HorseWhale

All time
130
alerts
72%
beat SP
+3.2
avg probability points vs SP
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Eagle Bay
Chester · 17:10 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
19 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Chester. 1/2 at this course.
• Trainer in form. 22% last 14 days.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+21% better than SP · +2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:38, 12 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Box To Box
Chester · 15:50 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 15 firms when alerted
Unibet · Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Midnite · Matchbook · 10 Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Quinn Bet · Smarkets · Virgin Bet
10 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +4.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:35, 12 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Underdog
Chester · 15:20 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
24 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
• Trainer in form. 25% last 14 days.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:28, 12 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Quillan
Chester · 15:20 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Unibet
22 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:25, 12 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Apache Outlaw
Chester · 17:10 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Betfred · Matchbook · Smarkets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
14 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 13/2 (7.40)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-1% better than SP · -0.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:13, 12 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Spartan Times
Chester · 17:42 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
10 Bet · BetTom
23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 16lb. 33lb below career-high OR 105.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +1.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:10, 12 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Kindest Nation
Chester · 17:10 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
25 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-20% better than SP · -1.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:52, 12 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Rotelle
Chester · 15:20 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
24 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:46, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatListed
Plage De Havre
Chester · 13:30 · 6 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betano · BetTom
17 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m4½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/2 (4.70)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +3.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:19, 12 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Impartiality
Chester · 15:50 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 4/1
Still 5/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Star Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · Matchbook · Smarkets
12 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 30 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:19, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Towelontheterrace
Chester · 15:20 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 1 firm when alerted
10 Bet
11 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
• Chester. 1/2 at this course.
Risks
• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:58, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
The Resdev Scholar
Chester · 17:10 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 10 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · Paddy Power · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet · Matchbook
4 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 24 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:40, 12 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Holy See
Chester · 14:05 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Unibet · Betfred · Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · BetTom · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betano · Midnite
15 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:48, 12 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Haveyoumissedme
Chester · 17:42 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 23lb. 2lb below career-high OR 76.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+56% better than SP · +7.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:24, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
National Pride
Chester · 14:40 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
5/2 → 2/1
Still 5/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
17 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 28% last 14 days.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 3/1 (3.95)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: Yes
+58% better than SP · +14.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Regency Royal
Chester · 14:40 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Unibet · Bet365 · Betfred · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Paddy Power · 10 Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
8 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/1 (7.80)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+80% better than SP · +10.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 12 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Star Cast
Chester · 15:50 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
25 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Chester. 1/1 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 3 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-12% better than SP · -1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Shafdar
Chester · 15:50 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 2/1
Still 5/2 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
12 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/2 (3.60)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +12.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Night Star
Chester · 14:40 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
10/11 → 8/11
Still 10/11 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet
8 firms had already cut to 8/11 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 3 Sept · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 10/11 (1.91)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: No
-24% better than SP · -12.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 12 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Vixey
Chester · 16:30 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Betfred · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
17 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
• Chester. 1/6 at this course.
Risks
• Up 8lb. 2lb below career-high OR 80.
Previously on record
Alerted 7 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+36% better than SP · +4.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 12 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Stressfree
Chester · 14:05 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 5 firms when alerted
BetMGM · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetWright · Dragon Bet
21 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+78% better than SP · +9.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Cranachan
Chester · 14:05 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · William Hill · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Smarkets
16 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Chester. 1/1 at this course.
• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · won
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatListed
Dubai Honour
Chester · 13:30 · 6 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
4/6 → 4/7
Still 4/6 at 8 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet
4 firms had already cut to 4/7 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 28% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m4½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 4/6 (1.67)
SP: 1.57
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +3.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 12 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Tribal Star
Chester · 14:05 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 8/1
Still 11/1 at 7 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Star Sports · Unibet · Quinn Bet · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom
17 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +2.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 12 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Vidmiyr
Chester · 16:30 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Quinn Bet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
15 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+82% better than SP · +8.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 12 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Zermatt Star
Chester · 16:30 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · Matchbook · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom
12 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 9 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 13/2 (7.40)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +3.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Nibras Gold
Chester · 17:42 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 5/2
Still 10/3 at 3 firms when alerted
BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Chester. 1/2 at this course.
Risks
• Up 7lb. 44lb below career-high OR 120.
Previously on record
Alerted 6 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +3.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 12 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Granite Bay
Chester · 14:05 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betano
22 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Good To Soft vs Good. First run on this going.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
-2% better than SP · -0.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Hot Cash
Chester · 16:30 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
18 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time p.
Risks
• Unproven at 7½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.60)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+12% better than SP · +2.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Loki
Chester · 17:42 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 10 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
10 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time t.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m4½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: No
-47% better than SP · -10.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 12 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Midnight Strike
Chester · 17:10 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 14/1 (15.50)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+72% better than SP · +4.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 12 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Be Frank
Chester · 16:30 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+32% better than SP · +4.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
This Moment
Chester · 15:20 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 2 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook
21 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 20 Aug · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/4 (3.80)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +4.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 12 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
So Sassy
Chester · 16:28 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 17/2
23 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 24% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 17 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-27% better than SP · -2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:10, 11 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Zambezi Magic
Chester · 14:47 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
Still 8/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 9/1 (9.80)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:19, 11 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Baker Blue
Chester · 15:17 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
13 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
Previously on record
Alerted 19 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.40)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+35% better than SP · +6.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:49, 11 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlat
Bearly Blue
Chester · 13:37 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 7 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
17 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 5.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +8.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:22, 11 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Free World
Chester · 17:03 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
25 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 14 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 9/1 (9.80)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +1.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:31, 11 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Blue Prince
Chester · 15:53 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
25 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
• Chester. 1/3 at this course.
Risks
• Up 15lb. 6lb below career-high OR 90.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +6.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:19, 11 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Ran Amok
Chester · 15:53 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 11/2
Still 15/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 15/2 (8.60)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+32% better than SP · +3.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:19, 11 Sept 2026
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