Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 3 September 2026 · HorseWhale

8337 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP

Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.

Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

FlatGroup 3

Dark Issue

Salisbury · 16:14 · 11 runners · Group 3

THE MOVE

7/1 → 6/1

Still 7/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet

17 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 8/1 (8.80)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+26% better than SP · +2.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:51, 3 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Lady Roisia

Haydock · 16:25 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 6/1

Still 7/1 at 7 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Unibet · Smarkets · Matchbook · 10 Bet · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets

14 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 1 to Class 3.

Risks

• Up 9lb. 2lb below career-high OR 92.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 15/2 (8.60)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +0.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:51, 3 Sept 2026

HurdleMAIDEN

Combs

Kilbeggan · 16:05 · 14 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

2/1 → 13/8

Still 2/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets

15 firms had already cut to 13/8 when alerted

Risks

• Up 9lb. 4lb below career-high OR 120.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 2/1 (3.00)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:48, 3 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Hoseki

Haydock · 16:25 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

6/4 → 5/4

Still 6/4 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Virgin Bet

7 firms had already cut to 5/4 when alerted

Risks

• Up 10lb. Career-high OR 88.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/4 (2.76)
SP: 2.25
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +8.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:45, 3 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Big Bear Hug

Lingfield (AW) · 15:45 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

12/1 → 9/1

Still 12/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Betfred · Star Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet

16 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+136% better than SP · +10.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:24, 3 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Home Secretary

Newcastle (AW) · 15:24 · 4 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

8/15 → 4/11

Still 8/15 at 8 firms when alerted
Betfred · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · Dragon Bet · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets

11 firms had already cut to 4/11 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 2m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/7 (1.57)
SP: 1.30
Beat SP: Yes
+21% better than SP · +13.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:18, 3 Sept 2026

FlatGroup 3

Harlequin Sky

Salisbury · 16:14 · 11 runners · Group 3

THE MOVE

10/1 → 17/2

Still 10/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betano · LiveScore Bet · Quinn Bet

17 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +0.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:03, 3 Sept 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Steps In The Sand

Kilbeggan · 17:15 · 16 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/2 → 5/1

Still 11/2 at 10 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Bet365 · Betfred · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets

18 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 7/1 (8.20)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+26% better than SP · +3.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:03, 3 Sept 2026

Flat

Atomik

Southwell (AW) · 17:05 · 6 runners · Other

THE MOVE

14/1 → 11/1

Still 14/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet

21 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 16/1 (17.50)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+35% better than SP · +2.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:54, 3 Sept 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Tir Og

Kilbeggan · 17:15 · 16 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/1 → 8/1

Still 9/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets

20 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted

Risks

• Up 7lb. 9lb below career-high OR 118.

RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 11/1 (12.50)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +2.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:51, 3 Sept 2026

Flat

Ballito Beauty

Kilbeggan · 18:48 · 10 runners · Other

THE MOVE

15/2 → 13/2

Still 15/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets

21 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 2m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 8/1 (8.80)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +2.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:51, 3 Sept 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Chemdawg

Kilbeggan · 17:15 · 16 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets

19 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Kilbeggan. 1/3 at this course.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 13/2 (7.40)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +3.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:48, 3 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Charles Morin

Lingfield (AW) · 17:30 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 6/1

Still 7/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets

21 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Lingfield (AW). 1/6 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: No
-20% better than SP · -2.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:45, 3 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

One Shot Kodi

Haydock · 15:17 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/1 → 7/1

Still 9/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets

23 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 5.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+47% better than SP · +4.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:15, 3 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Aleatrix

Salisbury · 17:55 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

3/1 → 11/4

Still 3/1 at 14 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · William Hill · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Matchbook · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet · Smarkets

11 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.

• Salisbury. 1/1 at this course.

Risks

• Up 6lb. Career-high OR 87.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+45% better than SP · +11.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:09, 3 Sept 2026

Flat

Interstate

Newcastle (AW) · 14:52 · 4 runners · Other

THE MOVE

5/6 → 8/11

Still 5/6 at 2 firms when alerted
Betfred · Unibet

4 firms had already cut to 8/11 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/6 (1.83)
SP: 1.44
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +14.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:09, 3 Sept 2026

Flat

Fleurocco

Kilbeggan · 19:18 · 7 runners · Other

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

Still 16/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Smarkets · Virgin Bet

19 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 2m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+113% better than SP · +6.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:03, 3 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Geo

Haydock · 16:25 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

22/1 → 16/1

25 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: No
-11% better than SP · -0.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:54, 3 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Korbut

Southwell (AW) · 19:40 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/4 → 5/2

Still 11/4 at 1 firm when alerted
10 Bet

16 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.

Risks

• Up 7lb. 1lb below career-high OR 74.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+36% better than SP · +9.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:54, 3 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

A La Noche

Salisbury · 13:53 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/2 → 5/1

Still 13/2 at 2 firms when alerted
BetWright · Hollywood Bets

22 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+36% better than SP · +4.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:51, 3 Sept 2026

HurdleMAIDEN

Not In A Hurry

Kilbeggan · 17:48 · 11 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

11/2 → 9/2

Still 11/2 at 4 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets

22 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 2m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 13/2 (7.60)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+103% better than SP · +13.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:42, 3 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Diplomata

Haydock · 15:17 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/2 → 11/2

Still 13/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Dragon Bet

21 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 5.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/1 (7.80)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +3.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:24, 3 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Redbud Sixteen

Salisbury · 17:55 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

17/2 → 7/1

Still 17/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets

22 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Salisbury. 1/1 at this course.

Risks

• Up 7lb. Career-high OR 85.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +1.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:18, 3 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Go Lockers Go

Lingfield (AW) · 18:30 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/1 → 9/1

Still 11/1 at 5 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright · Quinn Bet

19 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 12/1 (13.50)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +1.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:03, 3 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Modern Times

Southwell (AW) · 20:10 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 7/2

Still 9/2 at 8 firms when alerted
LiveScore Bet · Matchbook · Virgin Bet · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power

14 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Southwell (AW). 1/1 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +8.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:54, 3 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Lion Of God

Lingfield (AW) · 16:55 · 5 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

20/1 → 16/1

Still 20/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Hollywood Bets

22 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 20/1 (21.00)
SP: 34.00
Beat SP: No
-38% better than SP · -1.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:54, 3 Sept 2026

FlatGroup 3

Miss Lizzy

Salisbury · 16:14 · 11 runners · Group 3

THE MOVE

50/1 → 28/1

Still 50/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets

23 firms had already cut to 28/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 50/1 (51.00)
SP: 51.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:54, 3 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Boyfriend

Salisbury · 17:24 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · BetMGM · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betano · Betfair Sportsbook · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet

8 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

Risks

• Up 10lb. Career-high OR 92.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +3.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:30, 3 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Decalogue

Salisbury · 13:53 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 16 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Star Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet

6 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/1 (5.80)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +5.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:27, 3 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Acclaimed Freedom

Lingfield (AW) · 18:30 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/4 → 5/2

Still 11/4 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite

9 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 3/1 (3.95)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+32% better than SP · +8.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:24, 3 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Freddie Steady Go

Haydock · 17:00 · 13 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/1 → 9/1

Still 11/1 at 4 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets

25 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+76% better than SP · +5.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:15, 3 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Blue To Blue

Haydock · 17:00 · 13 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

25/1 → 16/1

25 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.

• Haydock. 1/3 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +1.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:12, 3 Sept 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Butch Coolidge

Kilbeggan · 18:18 · 14 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

14/1 → 11/1

21 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

Risks

• Up 10lb. Career-high OR 102.

RESULT
LOST · finished PU
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -0.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:09, 3 Sept 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Larkins Lane

Kilbeggan · 17:15 · 16 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/1 → 9/1

Still 11/1 at 3 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook

23 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +2.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:54, 3 Sept 2026

Flat

Treble Bass

Newcastle (AW) · 14:52 · 4 runners · Other

THE MOVE

7/1 → 6/1

16 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
-42% better than SP · -6.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:51, 3 Sept 2026

Flat

Caelum

Newcastle (AW) · 15:59 · 7 runners · Other

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Paddy Power

11 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 13/2 (7.40)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+35% better than SP · +4.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:45, 3 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

I'd Go Maniac

Haydock · 13:30 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

15/2 → 13/2

Still 15/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets

23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: No
-5% better than SP · -0.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:39, 3 Sept 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Cocovic

Kilbeggan · 18:18 · 14 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

8/1 → 13/2

Still 8/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook

24 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 9/1 (9.80)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +1.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:30, 3 Sept 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Thi Qar

Salisbury · 15:39 · 8 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets

13 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

Risks

• Good To Soft vs Good. First run on this going.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/1 (5.10)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+46% better than SP · +9.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:24, 3 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Kamaway

Salisbury · 17:55 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 6/1

Still 7/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet

22 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Salisbury. 1/1 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+45% better than SP · +5.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:24, 3 Sept 2026

How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

Search HorseWhale horse records · Read the grading methodology · How to check if a horse was backed

Browse all receipts