Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 4 September 2026 · HorseWhale

8337 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP

Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.

Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP

Homestrait

Haydock · 16:20 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/1 → 7/1

23 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · top 50% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+45% better than SP · +5.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 4 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGHurdleHANDICAP

Speed Davis

Bangor-on-Dee · 15:25 · 5 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/1 → 8/1

Still 11/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook

20 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Bangor-on-Dee. 1/2 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +0.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 4 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGNH Flat

Company Charge

Worcester · 17:36 · 9 runners · Other

THE MOVE

12/1 → 11/1

18 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today

Risks

• Good vs Good To Firm. First run on this going.

• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished UR
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: No
-29% better than SP · -2.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 4 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP

Tilehurst

Worcester · 18:36 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/4 → 6/4

Still 7/4 at 4 firms when alerted
William Hill · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook

6 firms had already cut to 6/4 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 5% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Worcester. 1/3 at this course.

Risks

• Up 7lb. Career-high OR 110.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/4 (2.75)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +3.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 4 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGHurdleMAIDEN

Ivatt

Kilbeggan · 16:07 · 13 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

3/1 → 11/4

Still 3/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Matchbook · BetWright · Dragon Bet

8 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today

Risks

• Up 24lb. Career-high OR unavailable.

• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

Previously on record

Alerted 16 Aug · placed

RESULT

NON-RUNNER

Alert price: 7/2 (4.70)

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 4 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP

Cocofred

Kilbeggan · 16:42 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

3/1 → 11/4

Still 3/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Betano · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Virgin Bet

7 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 5% of alerts today

RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +5.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 4 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP

Delgany Second Now

Bangor-on-Dee · 14:15 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/6 → 4/9

22 firms had already cut to 4/9 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 5% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 2m4½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

Previously on record

Alerted 28 Aug · won

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/9 (1.44)
SP: 1.44
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 4 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP

Where's My Jet

Kilbeggan · 18:45 · 13 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Ladbrokes · Paddy Power

13 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 30% of alerts today

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 4 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP

Back In The Bay

Bangor-on-Dee · 16:35 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · BetWright · Smarkets

13 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 20% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 3m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

Previously on record

Alerted 19 Aug · placed

RESULT
LOST · finished PU
Alert price: 9/2 (5.60)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+2% better than SP · +0.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 4 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGHurdleHANDICAP

Jullou De Grissay

Worcester · 19:36 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/2 → 7/2

23 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Worcester. 1/4 at this course.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
-10% better than SP · -2.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 4 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP

Zafaan

Worcester · 18:36 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Smarkets · Matchbook

11 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 5% of alerts today

Risks

• Up 16lb. 3lb below career-high OR 105.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +1.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 4 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlat

Celtic Storm

Kempton (AW) · 17:54 · 12 runners · Other

THE MOVE

10/3 → 11/4

Still 10/3 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Matchbook · 7Bet · Betano · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Paddy Power

6 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 30% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

Previously on record

Alerted 10 Aug · lost

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 4/1 (4.80)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +4.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 4 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlat

Marsala

Haydock · 14:40 · 4 runners · Other

THE MOVE

7/2 → 3/1

Still 7/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Bet365

17 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 10% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 12 Aug · lost

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +11.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 4 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPChase

Affinity Rock

Kilbeggan · 19:15 · 4 runners · Other

THE MOVE

5/2 → 9/4

Still 5/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook

6 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 20% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 3m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

Previously on record

Alerted 20 Aug · lost

RESULT

NON-RUNNER

Alert price: 5/2 (3.60)

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 4 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP

Gentle Warrior

Haydock · 13:30 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetMGM · Coral · Ladbrokes · BetWright · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Midnite · Quinn Bet

8 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 5% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.

• Haydock. 1/2 at this course.

Risks

• Up 9lb. 7lb below career-high OR 79.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: No
-21% better than SP · -3.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 4 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Kirkdale

Southwell (AW) · 20:10 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

6/1 → 11/2

Still 6/1 at 5 firms when alerted
William Hill · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets

20 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Southwell (AW). 1/2 at this course.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +3.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 19:13, 3 Sept 2026

Flat

Bonnie Loch

Kilbeggan · 18:48 · 10 runners · Other

THE MOVE

40/1 → 20/1

Still 40/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · BetWright

23 firms had already cut to 20/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 2m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 40/1 (41.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: Yes
+141% better than SP · +3.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 18:46, 3 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Luminare

Southwell (AW) · 18:40 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/1 → 15/2

Still 9/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Unibet

17 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +3.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 18:34, 3 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Enola Grey

Southwell (AW) · 18:40 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/1 → 9/1

Still 11/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets

11 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 14/1 (14.50)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+12% better than SP · +0.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 18:34, 3 Sept 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Warmer Days Ahead

Kilbeggan · 18:18 · 14 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

20/1 → 14/1

Still 20/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Betfred · Star Sports · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · 7Bet

17 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 2m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 22/1 (23.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+92% better than SP · +4.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 18:16, 3 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Khabib

Newcastle (AW) · 18:15 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

20/1 → 14/1

Still 20/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets

21 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 20/1 (21.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +0.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 18:13, 3 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Searchingtheblues

Lingfield (AW) · 18:00 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

17/2 → 15/2

Still 17/2 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom

22 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+82% better than SP · +8.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 17:43, 3 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Chantelle

Southwell (AW) · 18:40 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets

12 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +1.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 17:33, 3 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Tomorrow Day

Newcastle (AW) · 17:40 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/3 → 3/1

Still 10/3 at 11 firms when alerted
Unibet · William Hill · BetTom · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet

11 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

Risks

• Up 7lb. 14lb below career-high OR 65.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +2.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 17:30, 3 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Al Maslool

Southwell (AW) · 17:35 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/1 → 9/1

Still 11/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet

14 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +2.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 17:24, 3 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Colourband

Salisbury · 17:24 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

8/1 → 13/2

Still 8/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom

22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+64% better than SP · +7.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 17:21, 3 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Fleetwater

Salisbury · 16:49 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/1 → 15/2

Still 9/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom

22 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Salisbury. 1/3 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +1.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 16:48, 3 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Zen Diva

Salisbury · 16:49 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/3 → 3/1

Still 10/3 at 16 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Star Sports · William Hill · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betano · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet · Matchbook

7 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Salisbury. 2/2 at this course.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/3 (4.40)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+47% better than SP · +10.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 16:36, 3 Sept 2026

HurdleMAIDEN

Splendid Fellow

Kilbeggan · 16:40 · 8 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

1/1 → 4/5

5 firms had already cut to 4/5 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 2m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/5 (1.79)
SP: 1.57
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +7.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 16:24, 3 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Hollywell Stream

Haydock · 16:25 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 4/1

Still 5/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook

18 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +3.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 16:21, 3 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Come On Over

Lingfield (AW) · 18:30 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

12/1 → 10/1

Still 12/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets

20 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+53% better than SP · +4.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:57, 3 Sept 2026

FlatGroup 3

Dark Issue

Salisbury · 16:14 · 11 runners · Group 3

THE MOVE

7/1 → 6/1

Still 7/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet

17 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 8/1 (8.80)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+26% better than SP · +2.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:51, 3 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Lady Roisia

Haydock · 16:25 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 6/1

Still 7/1 at 7 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Unibet · Smarkets · Matchbook · 10 Bet · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets

14 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 1 to Class 3.

Risks

• Up 9lb. 2lb below career-high OR 92.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 15/2 (8.60)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +0.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:51, 3 Sept 2026

HurdleMAIDEN

Combs

Kilbeggan · 16:05 · 14 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

2/1 → 13/8

Still 2/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets

15 firms had already cut to 13/8 when alerted

Risks

• Up 9lb. 4lb below career-high OR 120.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 2/1 (3.00)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:48, 3 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Hoseki

Haydock · 16:25 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

6/4 → 5/4

Still 6/4 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Virgin Bet

7 firms had already cut to 5/4 when alerted

Risks

• Up 10lb. Career-high OR 88.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/4 (2.76)
SP: 2.25
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +8.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:45, 3 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Big Bear Hug

Lingfield (AW) · 15:45 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

12/1 → 9/1

Still 12/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Betfred · Star Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet

16 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+136% better than SP · +10.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:24, 3 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Home Secretary

Newcastle (AW) · 15:24 · 4 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

8/15 → 4/11

Still 8/15 at 8 firms when alerted
Betfred · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · Dragon Bet · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets

11 firms had already cut to 4/11 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 2m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/7 (1.57)
SP: 1.30
Beat SP: Yes
+21% better than SP · +13.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:18, 3 Sept 2026

FlatGroup 3

Harlequin Sky

Salisbury · 16:14 · 11 runners · Group 3

THE MOVE

10/1 → 17/2

Still 10/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betano · LiveScore Bet · Quinn Bet

17 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +0.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:03, 3 Sept 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Steps In The Sand

Kilbeggan · 17:15 · 16 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/2 → 5/1

Still 11/2 at 10 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Bet365 · Betfred · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets

18 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 7/1 (8.20)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+26% better than SP · +3.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:03, 3 Sept 2026

Flat

Atomik

Southwell (AW) · 17:05 · 6 runners · Other

THE MOVE

14/1 → 11/1

Still 14/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet

21 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 16/1 (17.50)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+35% better than SP · +2.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:54, 3 Sept 2026

How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

Search HorseWhale horse records · Read the grading methodology · How to check if a horse was backed

Browse all receipts