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Receipts
Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.
Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 5 September 2026 · HorseWhale
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🔵 TOPFlatGroup 1
Haydock · 15:40 · 8 runners · Group 1
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Virgin Bet
Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Virgin Bet
13 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+3% better than SP · +0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:45, 5 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Ascot · 16:35 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
22/1 → 16/1
24 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:42, 5 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Ascot · 13:40 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
17/2 → 7/1
Still 17/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook
Smarkets · Matchbook
23 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:42, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Stratford · 18:45 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power
14 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 19 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: Yes
+80% better than SP · +17.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 5 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Thirsk · 14:05 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · Matchbook · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Virgin Bet · Smarkets
Bet Victor · Unibet · Matchbook · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Virgin Bet · Smarkets
14 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 13 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+43% better than SP · +7.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 5 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Newcastle (AW) · 20:00 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 7/1
Still 8/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Quinn Bet
Matchbook · Quinn Bet
22 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 8/1 (9.20)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 5 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatMAIDEN
Navan · 15:45 · 18 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
17/2 → 6/1
24 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+56% better than SP · +7.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 5 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Ascot · 16:35 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
24 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +3.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:30, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatGroup 3
Haydock · 13:25 · 9 runners · Group 3
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 14 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · Smarkets · Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · Smarkets · Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
9 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 10/3 (4.40)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +2.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:30, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Stratford · 16:05 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill
Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill
16 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 23 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:27, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatGroup 1
Haydock · 15:40 · 8 runners · Group 1
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 17 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Betano · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Betano · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
7 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +5.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:27, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Kempton (AW) · 13:45 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 13 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Star Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Midnite · Quinn Bet · Matchbook
Bet Victor · Betfred · Star Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Midnite · Quinn Bet · Matchbook
11 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 6lb. Career-high OR 74.
Previously on record
Alerted 6 Aug · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:21, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Newcastle (AW) · 16:10 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 2/1
Still 5/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetMGM · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · Quinn Bet
Bet365 · BetMGM · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · Quinn Bet
15 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +11.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:21, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Ascot · 14:10 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · BetMGM · Star Sports · Dragon Bet · Quinn Bet · Matchbook
Bet365 · Betfred · BetMGM · Star Sports · Dragon Bet · Quinn Bet · Matchbook
16 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Ascot. 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: No
-14% better than SP · -2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:21, 5 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Kempton (AW) · 15:55 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
25 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+41% better than SP · +3.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 5 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatMAIDEN
Navan · 15:45 · 18 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Paddy Power · Virgin Bet
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Paddy Power · Virgin Bet
9 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 20 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 15/2 (8.60)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+72% better than SP · +8.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 5 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMChaseHANDICAP
Stratford · 18:45 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
25 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 25 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+67% better than SP · +6.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Thirsk · 16:25 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
16 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 13 Aug · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 2.38
Beat SP: Yes
+68% better than SP · +17.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Newcastle (AW) · 20:30 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 4/1
Still 5/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Bet365
Bet365
22 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Newcastle (AW). 1/4 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 5 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatMAIDEN
Navan · 17:30 · 21 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
3/1 → 5/2
22 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +4.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 5 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlat
Newcastle (AW) · 17:57 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Matchbook · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
Bet365 · Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Matchbook · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
16 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 5 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Navan · 15:10 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 8/1
24 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: No
-5% better than SP · -0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 5 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatMAIDEN
Navan · 13:30 · 13 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
17/2 → 7/1
21 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 20 Aug · lost
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Ascot · 14:10 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/8 → 11/8
Still 13/8 at 3 firms when alerted
BetWright · Smarkets · Matchbook
BetWright · Smarkets · Matchbook
12 firms had already cut to 11/8 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 13/8 (2.63)
SP: 2.25
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +6.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 5 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Navan · 16:55 · 21 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
10 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 14lb. Career-high OR 58.
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 13/2 (7.60)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: No
-24% better than SP · -3.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 5 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Navan · 16:55 · 21 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright
Bet365 · William Hill · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright
12 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +3.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Navan · 16:20 · 21 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/8 → 6/4
Still 15/8 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom
BetTom
13 firms had already cut to 6/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Navan. 1/1 at this course.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 15/8 (2.88)
SP: 2.62
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +3.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Stratford · 16:05 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
15 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Stratford · 17:45 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
Matchbook · Smarkets
16 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
Risks
• Good vs Good To Firm. Career record: 1/8 on Good.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/2 (3.60)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 5 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Newcastle (AW) · 20:00 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
23 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Newcastle (AW). 1/8 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-33% better than SP · -3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Thirsk · 13:35 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 3 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Smarkets · Matchbook
BetMGM · Smarkets · Matchbook
17 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 10/3 (4.40)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +13.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Haydock · 17:25 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright
16 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 2.10
Beat SP: Yes
+67% better than SP · +19.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Newcastle (AW) · 17:57 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Smarkets
Boyle Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Smarkets
16 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 11/4 (3.80)
SP: 2.38
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +15.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 5 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Newcastle (AW) · 19:30 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 17/2
Still 10/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Matchbook
BetTom · Matchbook
20 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+118% better than SP · +9.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Newcastle (AW) · 16:45 · 4 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 8/1
Still 9/1 at 6 firms when alerted
10 Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power
10 Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power
21 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Haydock · 15:05 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets
Bet Victor · Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets
11 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/2 (3.60)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +8.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Kempton (AW) · 16:30 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 11/2
Still 6/1 at 2 firms when alerted
William Hill · BetWright
William Hill · BetWright
19 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-12% better than SP · -1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Thirsk · 17:35 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · BetMGM · William Hill · Matchbook · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
Bet Victor · BetMGM · William Hill · Matchbook · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
9 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 3/1 (4.10)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
-18% better than SP · -4.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Thirsk · 17:00 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Midnite
BetTom · Midnite
21 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
Risks
• Good To Soft vs Good. Career record: 0/1 on Good To Soft.
Previously on record
Alerted 8 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+67% better than SP · +8.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Newcastle (AW) · 19:00 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
Bet365 · Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
6 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Newcastle (AW). 1/1 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 5/1 (5.80)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +5.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 5 Sept 2026
How these receipts are graded
Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.
Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →
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