HorseWhaleHorseWhale

Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 10 September 2026 · HorseWhale

8240 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

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🟡 MEDIUMFlatMAIDEN
Joe Cool
Laytown · 18:20 · 9 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 1 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +2.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:12, 10 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Summer Island
Laytown · 19:20 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 2 firms when alerted
10 Bet · Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 33lb. 3lb below career-high OR 79.
Previously on record
Alerted 18 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:12, 10 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Roman Harry
Laytown · 18:50 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · 10 Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power
17 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 8lb. 20lb below career-high OR 67.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +4.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:12, 10 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatMAIDEN
Time Alone
Lingfield (AW) · 15:13 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 6 firms when alerted
William Hill · Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+73% better than SP · +7.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:12, 10 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Bold Optimist
Laytown · 17:49 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 27lb. 21lb below career-high OR 84.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 13/2 (7.40)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
-18% better than SP · -2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:06, 10 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Genuine Article
Laytown · 19:20 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 17/2
Still 10/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Bet365 · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets · BetTom
20 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 46lb. 13lb below career-high OR 92.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +5.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:57, 10 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Kodi Bear Light
Doncaster · 13:15 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
Still 8/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 31% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 8/1 (9.20)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +3.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:54, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Indigo Dream
Laytown · 19:20 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 5/2
Still 3/1 at 11 firms when alerted
William Hill · Bet365 · Star Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
10 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 35lb. 15lb below career-high OR 92.
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +1.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:54, 10 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Keep Grating
Doncaster · 16:10 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:51, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Sron Na Caise
Laytown · 18:20 · 9 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
11 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (5.80)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-28% better than SP · -4.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:42, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Make It Up
Lingfield (AW) · 18:35 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
2/1 → 7/4
Still 2/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
13 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 27% last 14 days.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 2/1 (3.00)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -2.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:36, 10 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Queen Tamara
Lingfield (AW) · 17:33 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 11/1
Still 12/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
21 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time p.
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: No
-32% better than SP · -2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:30, 10 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlat
Goldrush Kid
Laytown · 16:39 · 10 runners · Other
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Unibet · William Hill · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
15 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 9lb. 38lb below career-high OR 97.
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:24, 10 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Loblolly
Lingfield (AW) · 17:33 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
18 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Lingfield (AW). 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+43% better than SP · +4.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:24, 10 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Cuban Lady
Epsom · 14:35 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 10/1
Still 14/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 6lb. 3lb below career-high OR 77.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+67% better than SP · +4.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:24, 10 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Movin And Groovin
Laytown · 18:50 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 10lb. 10lb below career-high OR 56.
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+78% better than SP · +9.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:24, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatGroup 2
Danielle
Doncaster · 15:00 · 7 runners · Group 2
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Betfred · Bet Victor · Star Sports · Unibet · Betano · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
18 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Doncaster. 1/2 at this course.
• Trainer in form. 33% last 14 days.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +7.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:15, 10 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Beach Point
Epsom · 15:07 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
19 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 27% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:09, 10 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Reponse Finale
Laytown · 18:50 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 3/1
Still 4/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Unibet · 10 Bet
12 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 27lb. 18lb below career-high OR 75.
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:06, 10 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Gordon Grey
Epsom · 15:42 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +3.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:06, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Chloe's Courage
Lingfield (AW) · 16:23 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
17/2 → 15/2
Still 17/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Midnite · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 25% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 24 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:03, 10 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGChaseHANDICAP
Izzy's Grey
Worcester · 13:40 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 17/2
Still 10/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 8lb. 8lb below career-high OR 92.
• Unproven at 2m7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +2.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:03, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Bourbon Blues
Doncaster · 14:25 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
12 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 7lb. 4lb below career-high OR 105.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 6/1 (6.80)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-15% better than SP · -2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:03, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatGroup 2
Waardah
Doncaster · 15:00 · 7 runners · Group 2
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet
14 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time h.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/3 (4.30)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +5.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:54, 10 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP
Could Be You
Worcester · 15:55 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 5 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet · Smarkets
11 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 19 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 11/1 (12.50)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-4% better than SP · -0.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:54, 10 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Railwayview Lady
Doncaster · 17:20 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
24 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Good To Soft vs Good. First run on this going.
• Up 7lb. 6lb below career-high OR 84.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-23% better than SP · -2.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:48, 10 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGNH Flat
Wannabe Sporty
Worcester · 14:45 · 8 runners · Other
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+55% better than SP · +6.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:45, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Primal
Doncaster · 16:10 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
24 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:45, 10 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Mr Ubiquitous
Epsom · 17:27 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+16% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:45, 10 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Akashaa
Laytown · 17:14 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 15/2
Still 11/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright
19 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 7lb. 6lb below career-high OR 50.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+63% better than SP · +4.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:39, 10 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Blue Hill
Epsom · 16:17 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 9/1
Still 10/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Smarkets · Betano
21 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 6.
• Trainer in form. 33% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+73% better than SP · +5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:39, 10 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Sanbona Warrior
Doncaster · 16:45 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
24 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Doncaster. 1/1 at this course.
• First-time p.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +1.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:39, 10 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlat
Thompson Gunner
Laytown · 16:39 · 10 runners · Other
THE MOVE
10/1 → 15/2
Still 10/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Coral · Ladbrokes · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 10lb. 16lb below career-high OR 64.
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: No
-29% better than SP · -2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:36, 10 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Moonrunner
Epsom · 15:07 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:33, 10 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Wondervision
Doncaster · 13:15 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Ladbrokes · Bet Victor · Coral · Smarkets · Matchbook · Betano
18 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 17 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-7% better than SP · -1.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:33, 10 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Arlecchino's Rex
Lingfield (AW) · 18:35 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
Still 12/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 33% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 11 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+53% better than SP · +4.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:33, 10 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
The Fixer
Lingfield (AW) · 18:05 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 6/1
Still 13/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Ladbrokes · Betfred · Coral · William Hill · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 1 Sept · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +4.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:33, 10 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Alfred Wincham
Doncaster · 17:20 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
23 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-23% better than SP · -2.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:33, 10 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWHurdleHANDICAP
Noble Recall
Worcester · 16:30 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
Still 8/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Unibet · 10 Bet
21 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:30, 10 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Royal Bodyguard
Epsom · 16:52 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Unibet · Smarkets · Betano · BetTom
11 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-15% better than SP · -2.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:24, 10 Sept 2026
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How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

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