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Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 11 September 2026 · HorseWhale

8224 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

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🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Baker Blue
Chester · 15:17 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
13 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
Previously on record
Alerted 19 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.40)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+35% better than SP · +6.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:49, 11 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlat
Valdoro
Sandown · 14:01 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/1 → 17/2
22 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 17/2 (9.55)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+112% better than SP · +11.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:40, 11 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlat
Bearly Blue
Chester · 13:37 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 7 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
17 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 5.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +8.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:22, 11 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Supreme King
Salisbury · 16:51 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
14 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Salisbury. 2/2 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +1.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:16, 11 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Room Fourteen
Doncaster · 15:35 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Smarkets · Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
14 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Doncaster. 1/1 at this course.
• Trainer in form. 24% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: No
-6% better than SP · -0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:58, 11 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Free World
Chester · 17:03 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
25 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 14 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 9/1 (9.80)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +1.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:31, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Waaqed
Salisbury · 15:41 · 11 runners · Other
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
Still 7/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
18 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 33% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +5.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:25, 11 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWChaseHANDICAP
Ballybrittas
Ballinrobe · 18:40 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 10lb. 8lb below career-high OR 112.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +2.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:19, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatListed
Nabati
Doncaster · 13:15 · 9 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
6/4 → 5/4
Still 6/4 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · Unibet · Betano · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power · Matchbook · Smarkets
9 firms had already cut to 5/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 35% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 6/4 (2.50)
SP: 2.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +10.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:19, 11 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Salamanca City
Doncaster · 15:35 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 10/1
25 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 24% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 6lb. Career-high OR 91.
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-27% better than SP · -2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:19, 11 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Blue Prince
Chester · 15:53 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
25 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
• Chester. 1/3 at this course.
Risks
• Up 15lb. 6lb below career-high OR 90.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +6.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:19, 11 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlat
Nyman
Doncaster · 13:50 · 13 runners · Other
THE MOVE
7/1 → 11/2
23 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Up 36lb. 7lb below career-high OR 80.
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +6.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:19, 11 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Ran Amok
Chester · 15:53 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 11/2
Still 15/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 15/2 (8.60)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+32% better than SP · +3.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:19, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Cobra Queen
Ballinrobe · 17:09 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
20 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 7lb. 15lb below career-high OR 133.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:19, 11 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Lady Gormire
Chester · 16:28 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power
23 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Previously on record
Alerted 26 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 13
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:19, 11 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWHurdleHANDICAP
Mickey Cohen
Ballinrobe · 16:34 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
24 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:19, 11 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Plan C
Sandown · 17:32 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
Still 8/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 8/1 (9.20)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+53% better than SP · +5.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:19, 11 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Havana Smile
Sandown · 14:36 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
• Sandown. 1/4 at this course.
Risks
• Soft vs Good. First run on this going.
• Up 9lb. 3lb below career-high OR 77.
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished UR
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-7% better than SP · -1.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:19, 11 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWHurdleHANDICAP
You Make Me Smile
Ballinrobe · 17:09 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 7/1
Still 9/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Paddy Power
19 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 6 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 9/1 (10.50)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +3.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:19, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Rapid Deployment
Sandown · 14:01 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
21 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: No
-29% better than SP · -4.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:10, 11 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Isle Of Lismore
Sandown · 14:36 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 6/1
Still 8/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Betano
22 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +3.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:10, 11 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWChaseHANDICAP
Political Stance
Ballinrobe · 18:40 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 7/1
Still 8/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Midnite · Smarkets · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 25% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 10 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 12
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: No
-41% better than SP · -4.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:24, 11 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlat
Oxber Flyer
Chester · 13:37 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
18/1 → 14/1
Still 18/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Smarkets · 10 Bet · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 50% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 18/1 (20.00)
Permanent record · Fired 10:24, 11 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWChaseHANDICAP
Fedneys Park
Ballinrobe · 18:40 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
Still 12/1 at 2 firms when alerted
10 Bet · BetTom
21 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time t.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 13
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:12, 11 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatGroup 2
Sale Shark
Doncaster · 14:25 · 11 runners · Group 2
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · LiveScore Bet · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
14 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 8/1 (9.20)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +1.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:09, 11 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Condotti
Chester · 14:47 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Smarkets · Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:09, 11 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Homestrait
Chester · 16:28 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
25 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 4 Sept · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +0.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:03, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Lady Doyanne
Ballinrobe · 18:40 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
Still 7/2 at 10 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
16 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time t.
Risks
• Up 9lb. Career-high OR 108.
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: No
-9% better than SP · -1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:51, 11 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Kodiac Thriller
Chester · 15:17 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 7/1
Still 8/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
24 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:51, 11 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWChaseHANDICAP
Stoneyford Lady
Ballinrobe · 18:40 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
Still 8/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · BetMGM · Unibet · Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
18 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished F
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+12% better than SP · +1.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:51, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Maid In Devon
Salisbury · 16:16 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
16 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Salisbury. 2/3 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 5/1 (5.80)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
-3% better than SP · -0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:48, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Manila Scouse
Chester · 15:17 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Smarkets · Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power
18 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 15/2 (8.40)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+53% better than SP · +6.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:42, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Donna Beauty
Chester · 13:37 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/2 → 85/40
Still 5/2 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
12 firms had already cut to 85/40 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 5.
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (3.90)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+42% better than SP · +10.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:42, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
She's Too Kool
Chester · 14:12 · 4 runners · Other
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Quinn Bet
15 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 30 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (4.10)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+49% better than SP · +12.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:42, 11 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Red Snapper
Salisbury · 16:16 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Salisbury. 1/2 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+83% better than SP · +7.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:36, 11 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWHurdleHANDICAP
Run For The Border
Ballinrobe · 17:09 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 10 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+58% better than SP · +3.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:30, 11 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatGroup 2
Ascending
Doncaster · 15:00 · 7 runners · Group 2
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
Still 8/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 6 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 8/1 (9.20)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:24, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Allegrino
Sandown · 16:57 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:24, 11 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Henley On Thames
Doncaster · 16:45 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
• Trainer in form. 22% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 19 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +3.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:21, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Miss Guinevere
Salisbury · 18:28 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Smarkets · Matchbook · Betano · Hollywood Bets
18 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 10/3 (4.20)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +7.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:21, 11 Sept 2026
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How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

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