At 12:19 on 11 September 2026, 22 bookmakers cut Havana Smile from 11/2 to 9/2 in the 14:36 at Sandown. At the time of the alert, 6/1 was still available at Matchbook and Smarkets. The race returned an SP of 7.50, making the alert price -7% better than SP, or -1.0 probability points.
🟡 MEDIUM Flat HANDICAP
Sandown · 14:36 · 9 runners · Handicap
Still 11/2 at 2 firms when alerted
22 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
• Sandown. 1/4 at this course.
Risks
• Soft vs Good. First run on this going.
• Up 9lb. 3lb below career-high OR 77.
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished UR
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-7% better than SP · -1.0 probability points
Fired 12:19, 11 Sept 2026
What this record shows
This is a permanent HorseWhale record of a qualifying market-movement alert. It records the observed event and what happened next; it is not a recommendation or a prediction of the race result.
Alert recorded
12:19 on 11 September 2026
Qualifying bookmaker movement
22 bookmakers had cut when alerted
Earlier price still recorded
6/1 at Matchbook · Smarkets
Context at the time
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
• Sandown. 1/4 at this course.
Risks
• Soft vs Good. First run on this going.
• Up 9lb. 3lb below career-high OR 77.
Outcome and grade
LOST · SP: 7.50 · Beat SP: No
A recorded price cut does not identify individual bettors, bet size, bookmaker liabilities or the reason for the move. A horse can have a recorded move and still lose.
