Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 12 September 2026 · HorseWhale

8224 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

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🟡 GAMBLE FORMING · MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Bath · 15:45 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 17/2
Still 11/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Result pending. Graded against SP and Betfair SP once the result lands.
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Bath · 13:20 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet
20 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Previously on record
Alerted 3 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 8/1 (9.20)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+53% better than SP · +5.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 GAMBLE FORMING · TOPFlatHANDICAP
Bath · 15:45 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/4 → 6/4
Still 7/4 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
9 firms had already cut to 6/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Bath. 1/1 at this course.
Risks
• Up 8lb. 1lb below career-high OR 56.
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · won
Result pending. Graded against SP and Betfair SP once the result lands.
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Musselburgh · 16:42 · 9 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
4/6 → 4/7
Still 4/6 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
6 firms had already cut to 4/7 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 28% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 30 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/6 (1.69)
SP: 1.73
Beat SP: No
-2% better than SP · -1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 12 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Bath · 17:05 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 7/1
Still 9/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Bath. 1/4 at this course.
• First-time p.
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 10/1 (11.50)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
-4% better than SP · -0.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatGroup 2
Leopardstown · 16:25 · 7 runners · Group 2
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betano · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet · Smarkets
12 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · placed
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 12 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Leopardstown · 18:10 · 18 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Betano · Betfair Sportsbook · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · 10 Bet
16 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 8 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+21% better than SP · +2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Bath · 15:08 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet
18 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 5/1 (5.80)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+45% better than SP · +7.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Bath · 17:37 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 11/4
Still 10/3 at 3 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
16 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +1.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Musselburgh · 16:07 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
Still 7/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet
16 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 24 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/2 (4.60)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +6.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 12 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Musselburgh · 17:50 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
18/1 → 12/1
23 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Musselburgh. 1/3 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 24 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 21.00
Beat SP: No
-38% better than SP · -2.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Musselburgh · 17:20 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
15 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Musselburgh. 1/2 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 25 Aug · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +4.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatGroup 1
Leopardstown · 14:45 · 9 runners · Group 1
THE MOVE
7/4 → 6/4
Still 7/4 at 5 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
6 firms had already cut to 6/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/8 (2.92)
SP: 2.00
Beat SP: Yes
+46% better than SP · +15.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 12 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Leopardstown · 14:10 · 17 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
17 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 17/2 (9.60)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+37% better than SP · +3.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatListed
Leopardstown · 13:35 · 10 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 6 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet
11 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Leopardstown. 1/1 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 14 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/2 (3.60)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+3% better than SP · +0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Chester · 15:20 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 2 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook
21 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 20 Aug · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/4 (3.80)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +4.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 12 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Chester · 16:30 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+32% better than SP · +4.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 12 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Doncaster · 14:20 · 21 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 7/1
Still 8/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook
23 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Doncaster. 1/1 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 12
Alert price: 9/1 (10.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+75% better than SP · +7.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatGroup 3
Leopardstown · 15:15 · 10 runners · Group 3
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Leopardstown. 1/2 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 17/2 (9.60)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +6.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 12 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Leopardstown · 18:10 · 18 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetWright · 10 Bet
21 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+89% better than SP · +5.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 12 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Bath · 17:05 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 15/2
Still 12/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 1
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+351% better than SP · +27.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Doncaster · 13:10 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 3 firms when alerted
William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook
16 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 33% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/4 (3.85)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: No
-4% better than SP · -1.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 12 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatGroup 3
Leopardstown · 15:15 · 10 runners · Group 3
THE MOVE
18/1 → 12/1
Still 18/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 20 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 18/1 (19.50)
SP: 23.00
Beat SP: No
-15% better than SP · -0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Musselburgh · 19:20 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 5/2
Still 3/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Virgin Bet
6 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Musselburgh. 1/9 at this course.
Risks
• Up 9lb. 12lb below career-high OR 61.
Previously on record
Alerted 9 Sept · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: No
-11% better than SP · -2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Bath · 16:20 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 10/3
Still 4/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
19 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 25% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 5½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 13 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 4/1 (4.90)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +8.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 12 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Lingfield (AW) · 16:00 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
24 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
-17% better than SP · -2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Lingfield (AW) · 16:00 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 9/2
24 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Lingfield (AW) · 16:35 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · 10 Bet
21 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 20 Aug · lost
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 12 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Lingfield (AW) · 16:00 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 15/2 (8.60)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+72% better than SP · +8.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 12 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Doncaster · 16:15 · 17 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 3 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 8/1 (8.80)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+4% better than SP · +0.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 12 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Doncaster · 16:15 · 17 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 4 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom
21 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 28% last 14 days.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 17/2 (9.40)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+57% better than SP · +6.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Lingfield (AW) · 17:15 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/8 → 5/4
Still 11/8 at 7 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets · 10 Bet
15 firms had already cut to 5/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Lingfield (AW). 1/2 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 27 Aug · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 13/8 (2.62)
SP: 2.00
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +11.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Lingfield (AW) · 14:50 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 9/4
Still 11/4 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 27 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 3/1 (3.90)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+4% better than SP · +1.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Lingfield (AW) · 15:23 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/15 → 4/11
Still 8/15 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
19 firms had already cut to 4/11 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 25% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 7 Sept · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 8/11 (1.71)
SP: 1.67
Beat SP: Yes
+2% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 12 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Bath · 15:08 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 17/2
22 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: No
-50% better than SP · -5.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 12 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatGroup 1
Leopardstown · 17:00 · 8 runners · Group 1
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Unibet · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · 10 Bet
14 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+16% better than SP · +2.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Lingfield (AW) · 13:38 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
1/4 → 1/6
Still 1/4 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
8 firms had already cut to 1/6 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 1/4 (1.24)
SP: 1.11
Beat SP: Yes
+12% better than SP · +9.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Chester · 16:30 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
18 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time p.
Risks
• Unproven at 7½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.60)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+12% better than SP · +2.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatGroup 1
Leopardstown · 17:00 · 8 runners · Group 1
THE MOVE
6/4 → 5/4
Still 6/4 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · BetTom · Smarkets
10 firms had already cut to 5/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 13/8 (2.64)
SP: 2.38
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +4.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 12 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Chester · 17:10 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 14/1 (15.50)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+72% better than SP · +4.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 12 Sept 2026

How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

Browse all receipts