Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 12 September 2026 · HorseWhale

8224 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP

Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.

Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN

Regency Royal

Chester · 14:40 · 8 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Unibet · Bet365 · Betfred · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Paddy Power · 10 Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · Hollywood Bets · Midnite

8 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 40% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/1 (7.80)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+80% better than SP · +10.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 12 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN

National Pride

Chester · 14:40 · 8 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

5/2 → 2/1

Still 5/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets

17 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 10% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Trainer in form. 28% last 14 days.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 3/1 (3.95)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: Yes
+58% better than SP · +14.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 12 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP

Chico Dulce

Lingfield (AW) · 14:50 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets

14 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · top 50% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Lingfield (AW). 1/7 at this course.

• First-time p.

Previously on record

Alerted 11 Aug · lost

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +2.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 12 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP

Grey Fox

Bath · 13:20 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

8/1 → 13/2

21 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.

Risks

• Up 12lb. 9lb below career-high OR 72.

• Unproven at 1m3½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

Previously on record

Alerted 14 Aug · lost

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +2.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 12 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP

Star Cast

Chester · 15:50 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

6/1 → 5/1

Still 6/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook

25 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · top 50% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Chester. 1/1 at this course.

Previously on record

Alerted 3 Sept · lost

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-12% better than SP · -1.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 12 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP

Kyoto

Lingfield (AW) · 18:17 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

6/1 → 11/2

Still 6/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet · BetTom · Midnite

19 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · top 50% of alerts today

Why it rates

• First-time p.

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+36% better than SP · +4.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 12 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP

Shafdar

Chester · 15:50 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/2 → 2/1

Still 5/2 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Midnite

12 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 20% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/2 (3.60)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +12.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 12 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN

Night Star

Chester · 14:40 · 8 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

10/11 → 8/11

Still 10/11 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet

8 firms had already cut to 8/11 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 20% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 3 Sept · placed

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 10/11 (1.91)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: No
-24% better than SP · -12.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 12 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP

Stressfree

Chester · 14:05 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 6/1

Still 7/1 at 5 firms when alerted
BetMGM · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetWright · Dragon Bet

21 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

Previously on record

Alerted 5 Sept · lost

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+78% better than SP · +9.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 12 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Vixey

Chester · 16:30 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/2 → 11/2

Still 13/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Betfred · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets

17 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.

• Chester. 1/6 at this course.

Risks

• Up 8lb. 2lb below career-high OR 80.

Previously on record

Alerted 7 Aug · placed

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+36% better than SP · +4.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 12 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP

King Sharja

Musselburgh · 16:07 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/2 → 9/2

25 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · top 50% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 12 Aug · lost

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 12 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatListed

Dubai Honour

Chester · 13:30 · 6 runners · Listed

THE MOVE

4/6 → 4/7

Still 4/6 at 8 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet

4 firms had already cut to 4/7 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 5% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Trainer in form. 28% last 14 days.

Risks

• Unproven at 1m4½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

Previously on record

Alerted 15 Aug · lost

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 4/6 (1.67)
SP: 1.57
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +3.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 12 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP

Cranachan

Chester · 14:05 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · William Hill · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Smarkets

16 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 5% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Chester. 1/1 at this course.

• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.

Previously on record

Alerted 22 Aug · won

RESULT

NON-RUNNER

Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)

Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 12 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP

Strong Voice

Lingfield (AW) · 17:15 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/3 → 3/1

Still 10/3 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · William Hill · Hollywood Bets

10 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 20% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 25 Aug · placed

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +6.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 12 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Tribal Star

Chester · 14:05 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/1 → 8/1

Still 11/1 at 7 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Star Sports · Unibet · Quinn Bet · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom

17 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 15 Aug · lost

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +2.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 12 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP

Borderline Madness

Lingfield (AW) · 14:50 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/2 → 11/2

Still 13/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Quinn Bet

19 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Lingfield (AW). 1/4 at this course.

• First-time p.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +3.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 12 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP

Too Bossy For Us

Leopardstown · 17:35 · 21 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

14/1 → 11/1

Still 14/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Midnite

13 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 5% of alerts today

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +1.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 12 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP

Who Is Alice

Bath · 17:37 · 14 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Hollywood Bets

21 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 24 Aug · lost

RESULT
LOST · finished 13
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+24% better than SP · +3.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 12 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatGroup 3

Purview

Leopardstown · 15:15 · 10 runners · Group 3

THE MOVE

11/8 → 5/4

Still 11/8 at 15 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Boyle Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Betano · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet

5 firms had already cut to 5/4 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 10% of alerts today

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 6/4 (2.48)
SP: 2.20
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +5.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 12 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Vidmiyr

Chester · 16:30 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

15/2 → 13/2

Still 15/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Quinn Bet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets

15 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+82% better than SP · +8.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 12 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWFlatGroup 1

Shakespeare

Leopardstown · 14:45 · 9 runners · Group 1

THE MOVE

11/1 → 9/1

Still 11/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · BetMGM · Matchbook · Betano · BetWright · Paddy Power

16 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 10% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

Previously on record

Alerted 9 Aug · won

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 16/1 (18.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+89% better than SP · +5.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 12 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP

Zermatt Star

Chester · 16:30 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · Matchbook · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom

12 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 9 Sept · placed

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 13/2 (7.40)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +3.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 12 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP

Tatterstall

Lingfield (AW) · 16:00 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/2 → 5/1

Still 11/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets

21 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 40% of alerts today

Why it rates

• First-time p.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 6/1 (6.80)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-9% better than SP · -1.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 12 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWFlatGroup 2

Audience

Leopardstown · 16:25 · 7 runners · Group 2

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

22 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 10% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 6 Aug · placed

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +1.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 12 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP

Trojan Sun

Musselburgh · 18:50 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Coral · Ladbrokes · Smarkets · BetWright · Matchbook · Midnite

18 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 5% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Musselburgh. 1/10 at this course.

Previously on record

Alerted 25 Aug · placed

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 9/2 (5.70)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +2.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 12 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP

Angels' Share

Lingfield (AW) · 16:35 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/8 → 11/8

Still 13/8 at 3 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets

10 firms had already cut to 11/8 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 5% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.

• Lingfield (AW). 3/3 at this course.

Risks

• Up 8lb. 12lb below career-high OR 80.

Previously on record

Alerted 3 Sept · won

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 15/8 (2.84)
SP: 2.00
Beat SP: Yes
+42% better than SP · +14.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 12 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP

Nibras Gold

Chester · 17:42 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/3 → 5/2

Still 10/3 at 3 firms when alerted
BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets

20 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 40% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Chester. 1/2 at this course.

Risks

• Up 7lb. 44lb below career-high OR 120.

Previously on record

Alerted 6 Aug · placed

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +3.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 12 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP

Callianassa

Musselburgh · 17:50 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/2 → 9/2

Still 11/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetTom

24 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · top 50% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 5.

Risks

• Up 9lb. 9lb below career-high OR 84.

• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+65% better than SP · +9.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 12 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP

Some Nightmare

Bath · 16:20 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/3 → 3/1

Still 10/3 at 7 firms when alerted
Betfred · William Hill · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright

18 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 30% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.

Previously on record

Alerted 9 Aug · lost

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 4/1 (4.80)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+28% better than SP · +5.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 12 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP

Trafalger

Bath · 16:20 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 13/2

Still 7/1 at 6 firms when alerted
William Hill · BetWright · 10 Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power · Smarkets

21 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · top 50% of alerts today

Why it rates

• First-time tp.

Previously on record

Alerted 24 Aug · lost

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: No
-15% better than SP · -1.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 12 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP

Motawaared

Musselburgh · 17:50 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 4/1

Still 5/1 at 4 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · BetTom · Smarkets

20 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 30% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 24 Aug · placed

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+32% better than SP · +4.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 12 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP

Lili Marleen

Lingfield (AW) · 17:47 · 4 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

22/1 → 14/1

Still 22/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · BetTom

22 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 5% of alerts today

RESULT

NON-RUNNER

Alert price: 22/1 (23.00)

Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 12 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP

Vince Le Prince

Musselburgh · 18:20 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/2 → 5/1

Still 11/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet · Smarkets

23 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 40% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 25 Aug · placed

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+32% better than SP · +4.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 12 Sept 2026

🟡 GAMBLE FORMING · MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Cherry Cola

Bath · 15:45 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/1 → 17/2

Still 11/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Smarkets

20 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today

Result pending. Graded against SP and Betfair SP once the result lands.

Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 12 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Granite Bay

Chester · 14:05 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betano

22 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today

Risks

• Good To Soft vs Good. First run on this going.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
-2% better than SP · -0.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 12 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP

Shahbaz

Bath · 13:20 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 6/1

Still 7/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet

20 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 40% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.

Previously on record

Alerted 3 Sept · lost

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 8/1 (9.20)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+53% better than SP · +5.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 12 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP

The Pug

Bath · 13:20 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/2 → 11/2

Still 13/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · 10 Bet

17 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 30% of alerts today

Why it rates

• First-time v.

Previously on record

Alerted 1 Sept · lost

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-18% better than SP · -2.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 12 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Aviatrice

Leopardstown · 18:10 · 18 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

15/2 → 13/2

Still 15/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Betano · Betfair Sportsbook · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · 10 Bet

16 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 8 Aug · lost

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+21% better than SP · +2.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 12 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatGroup 1

Darkness Falls

Leopardstown · 14:45 · 9 runners · Group 1

THE MOVE

7/4 → 6/4

Still 7/4 at 5 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets

6 firms had already cut to 6/4 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 10% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

Previously on record

Alerted 29 Aug · won

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/8 (2.92)
SP: 2.00
Beat SP: Yes
+46% better than SP · +15.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 12 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP

Needin' U

Musselburgh · 17:20 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/3 → 3/1

Still 10/3 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets

15 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 30% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Musselburgh. 1/2 at this course.

Previously on record

Alerted 25 Aug · won

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +4.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 12 Sept 2026

How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

Search HorseWhale horse records · Read the grading methodology · How to check if a horse was backed

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