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Some Nightmare · Bath 16:20
Published 12 September 2026 · Updated 12 September 2026 · HorseWhale
At 07:45 on 12 September 2026, 18 bookmakers cut Some Nightmare from 10/3 to 3/1 in the 16:20 at Bath. At the time of the alert, 10/3 was still available at Betfred, William Hill, Matchbook, Hollywood Bets, Smarkets, BetTom and BetWright. The race returned an SP of 3.75, making the alert price +28% better than SP, or +5.8 probability points. It finished 3 of 8, beaten 0.5 lengths.
Graded receipt
🔵 TOP Flat HANDICAP
Bath · 16:20 · 8 runners · Handicap
Still 10/3 at 7 firms when alerted
18 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Previously on record
Alerted 9 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 4/1 (4.80)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+28% better than SP · +5.8 probability points
Fired 07:45, 12 Sept 2026
What this record shows
This is a permanent HorseWhale record of a qualifying market-movement alert. It records the observed event and what happened next; it is not a recommendation or a prediction of the race result.
Alert recorded
07:45 on 12 September 2026
Qualifying bookmaker movement
18 bookmakers had cut when alerted
Earlier price still recorded
10/3 at Betfred · William Hill · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright
Context at the time
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Outcome and grade
PLACED · SP: 3.75 · Beat SP: Yes
A recorded price cut does not identify individual bettors, bet size, bookmaker liabilities or the reason for the move. A horse can have a recorded move and still lose.
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