HorseWhaleHorseWhale

Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 17 September 2026 · HorseWhale

8027 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Mountain of Light
Yarmouth · 17:15 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
17/2 → 7/1
Still 17/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 7lb. Career-high OR 70.
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 17/2 (9.60)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+75% better than SP · +7.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:15, 17 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Thelymitra
Naas · 16:25 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
24 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 8/1 (9.20)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+2% better than SP · +0.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:12, 17 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Golden Arizona
Naas · 16:25 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time t.
• Trainer in form. 25% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 12lb. Career-high OR 72.
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 15/2 (8.60)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+1% better than SP · +0.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:12, 17 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Sable Island
Southwell (AW) · 16:20 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
Still 8/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power
17 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 7 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 17/2 (9.60)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+1% better than SP · +0.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:12, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Elyatta
Naas · 16:25 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 9 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
15 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (5.90)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +3.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:06, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Pilu
Yarmouth · 15:45 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet
15 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+28% better than SP · +4.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:06, 17 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatMAIDEN
Nouveau Grey
Naas · 17:32 · 11 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
18 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+175% better than SP · +15.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:06, 17 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatMAIDEN
Vienna Waltz
Naas · 17:32 · 11 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
5/1 → 4/1
Still 5/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: No
-40% better than SP · -6.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:06, 17 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Portman Blue
Yarmouth · 16:45 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 8/1
Still 9/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:00, 17 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Eduardo Calderon
Yarmouth · 17:15 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power
13 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 6lb. Career-high OR 68.
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 19 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 12
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:00, 17 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Ernie's Valentine
Southwell (AW) · 19:30 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
Still 12/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Risks
• Up 9lb. 10lb below career-high OR 73.
Previously on record
Alerted 25 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+136% better than SP · +10.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:54, 17 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Age of Baroque
Southwell (AW) · 19:30 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 8/1
Still 11/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Star Sports · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
18 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+63% better than SP · +4.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:54, 17 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Sunny Orange
Pontefract · 17:08 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 7/1
24 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+113% better than SP · +14.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:54, 17 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Dream Illusion
Southwell (AW) · 19:30 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 5/1
Still 15/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
17 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
• Southwell (AW). 2/8 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 4 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+80% better than SP · +8.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:54, 17 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlat
Shared Odyssey
Ayr · 13:30 · 10 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:54, 17 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Eighth Immortal
Yarmouth · 15:15 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Betfred · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+21% better than SP · +2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:51, 17 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatMAIDEN
First Watch
Naas · 17:32 · 11 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · 10 Bet · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
19 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +9.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:51, 17 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlat
Otis Bay
Southwell (AW) · 18:30 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
14/1 → 10/1
Still 14/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
25 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +1.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:51, 17 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Stoney Wood
Southwell (AW) · 16:20 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 3 firms when alerted
William Hill · 10 Bet · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+89% better than SP · +10.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:48, 17 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Easy Answer
Yarmouth · 15:15 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 8/1
23 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +3.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:48, 17 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatMAIDEN
Capital Of Pride
Naas · 16:56 · 15 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Betfred · Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · 10 Bet
13 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+43% better than SP · +8.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:48, 17 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Golden West
Ayr · 17:01 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:45, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Ariane Sky
Yarmouth · 14:15 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Dragon Bet · Paddy Power · Matchbook
6 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 13 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (5.80)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+111% better than SP · +19.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:45, 17 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Gladiadora
Southwell (AW) · 19:30 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 17/2
Still 11/1 at 3 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
• Southwell (AW). 1/1 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 18 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/1 (12.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+67% better than SP · +5.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:39, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Sweet Kiss
Ayr · 14:30 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
23 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 9 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+62% better than SP · +8.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:33, 17 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
They All Know Me
Ayr · 16:00 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Smarkets · Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 7/1 (8.20)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+37% better than SP · +4.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:33, 17 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Skinny Malinka
Pontefract · 17:08 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · 10 Bet · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Risks
• Up 6lb. 9lb below career-high OR 67.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:30, 17 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlat
Zarak Crown
Ayr · 13:30 · 10 runners · Other
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 4 firms when alerted
10 Bet · Betano · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+113% better than SP · +13.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:30, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Sea Lantern
Pontefract · 15:08 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Betano · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets
15 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/4 (3.35)
SP: 2.62
Beat SP: Yes
+28% better than SP · +8.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:27, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Fan Me
Pontefract · 15:38 · 6 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
12 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 23% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/4 (3.85)
SP: 2.10
Beat SP: Yes
+83% better than SP · +21.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:24, 17 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Grindleton
Pontefract · 17:08 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
17/2 → 15/2
Still 17/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Coral · Betano · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+119% better than SP · +12.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:21, 17 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Zarinca
Southwell (AW) · 16:50 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
25 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 6.
• Southwell (AW). 1/3 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +3.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:09, 17 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Educator
Yarmouth · 16:15 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power
20 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Yarmouth. 1/1 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 4 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 16/1 (18.00)
SP: 29.00
Beat SP: No
-38% better than SP · -2.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:09, 17 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatMAIDEN
Raqi
Naas · 17:32 · 11 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 4 firms when alerted
10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time t.
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +3.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:09, 17 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Northwest Passage
Ayr · 17:01 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 8/1
Still 9/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-15% better than SP · -1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:09, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Golspie
Southwell (AW) · 20:30 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/8 → 6/4
Still 15/8 at 3 firms when alerted
Betfred · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
7 firms had already cut to 6/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Risks
• Up 28lb. 9lb below career-high OR 69.
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/8 (2.88)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:06, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Cool Molly
Southwell (AW) · 19:00 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
17 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Southwell (AW). 1/2 at this course.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 26 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: No
-9% better than SP · -1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:57, 17 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Cromane
Naas · 16:25 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
24 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 8lb. Career-high OR 67.
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+54% better than SP · +5.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:48, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Morbeh
Pontefract · 15:08 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Star Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · 7Bet · Betano · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
14 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time h.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/1 (5.10)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+70% better than SP · +13.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:48, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Wykehurst Park
Yarmouth · 14:45 · 9 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
10/11 → 4/5
Still 10/11 at 16 firms when alerted
William Hill · Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · Smarkets · Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · 10 Bet · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
5 firms had already cut to 4/5 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/10 (2.10)
SP: 1.73
Beat SP: Yes
+21% better than SP · +10.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:45, 17 Sept 2026
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How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

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