HorseWhaleHorseWhale

Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 17 September 2026 · HorseWhale

7998 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
BillyB
Pontefract · 16:08 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
22 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:03, 17 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Dashing Dick
Yarmouth · 17:15 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 3 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
17 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Previously on record
Alerted 20 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 15/2 (8.60)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+43% better than SP · +5.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:18, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
An Bradan Feasa
Pontefract · 16:38 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Unibet · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · 10 Bet · Betano · BetTom · Matchbook
8 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +7.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:12, 17 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Annie Batt
Naas · 15:22 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Smarkets
18 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 17lb. Career-high OR 70.
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+63% better than SP · +9.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:06, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
New Bond Street
Naas · 14:52 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
2/5 → 3/10
9 firms had already cut to 3/10 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 25% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 16 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/10 (1.30)
SP: 1.36
Beat SP: No
-4% better than SP · -3.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:45, 17 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatMAIDEN
Cracking Idea
Yarmouth · 14:45 · 9 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
17 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 6/1 (6.80)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +2.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:39, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Alma Latina
Pontefract · 15:08 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 13 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · Matchbook · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Smarkets · Virgin Bet
11 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
• Pontefract. 1/1 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 4/1 (5.10)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+2% better than SP · +0.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:33, 17 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Timely Affair
Yarmouth · 17:15 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 5/1
Still 11/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Unibet · Bet365 · Betfred · Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Smarkets · Midnite
21 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 9lb. Career-high OR 68.
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:15, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Wild Thoughts
Ayr · 15:00 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 14 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Paddy Power · Virgin Bet
7 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 10 Sept · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/3 (4.40)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +3.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:09, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Pickering Castle
Yarmouth · 16:45 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Betfred · Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · Smarkets · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets
4 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Yarmouth. 1/1 at this course.
• Trainer in form. 25% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 30 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +4.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:54, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
No More Bolero
Pontefract · 16:38 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
10 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +6.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:36, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Dontworryaboutme
Southwell (AW) · 18:30 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
9 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +2.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:15, 17 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatMAIDEN
Pirate Anne Bonny
Naas · 13:50 · 21 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 4 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 25% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 17/2 (9.40)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+109% better than SP · +11.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:06, 17 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlat
Perfect Heir
Ayr · 13:30 · 10 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Unibet · Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetTom · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
13 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-12% better than SP · -1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:42, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Don't Stop Movin
Southwell (AW) · 18:30 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
12 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:27, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Thunder Goddess
Pontefract · 17:08 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Betfred · Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetWright · Dragon Bet
4 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 10 Sept · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +4.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:24, 17 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatMAIDEN
Razmataz
Naas · 15:52 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
17/2 → 7/1
Still 17/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time tb.
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-27% better than SP · -2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:09, 17 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Summer Sent You
Naas · 15:22 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
9 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 12
Alert price: 9/2 (5.70)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:03, 17 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Merrijig
Pontefract · 16:38 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 3 firms when alerted
BetTom · Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 27 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+5% better than SP · +0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:03, 17 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Theft
Yarmouth · 14:15 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
18 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 6.
• First-time b.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 30 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +1.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:00, 17 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Tai Hang Pegasus
Yarmouth · 16:15 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+26% better than SP · +2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:51, 17 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatMAIDEN
Our Boy Bailey
Naas · 14:22 · 12 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
17/2 → 15/2
Still 17/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+16% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:48, 17 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Noble Guest
Yarmouth · 16:45 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 11/2
Still 6/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Yarmouth. 1/11 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 30 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 6/1 (7.20)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:42, 17 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Runninsonofagun
Ayr · 15:30 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 7/1
Still 8/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Matchbook · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Ayr. 1/7 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 9 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 8/1 (9.20)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+2% better than SP · +0.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:33, 17 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Power of Prayer
Southwell (AW) · 20:30 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · BetTom
21 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 22lb. 2lb below career-high OR 54.
• Unproven at 1m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +4.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:24, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
You Sexy Thing
Ayr · 16:00 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 14 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
12 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Previously on record
Alerted 4 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 6/1 (6.80)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+57% better than SP · +8.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:24, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Mimime
Southwell (AW) · 20:00 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 4/1
Still 5/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 17 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:12, 17 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Freddie Steady Go
Pontefract · 16:08 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
17/2 → 15/2
Still 17/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · 10 Bet · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 3 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/1 (10.50)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+5% better than SP · +0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:03, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Level Look
Southwell (AW) · 17:25 · 4 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/9 → 4/11
Still 4/9 at 6 firms when alerted
10 Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
4 firms had already cut to 4/11 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 7 Sept · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 1/2 (1.50)
SP: 1.40
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +4.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:03, 17 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Regulus Black
Pontefract · 17:08 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
25 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: No
-25% better than SP · -3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:00, 17 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatMAIDEN
Cyclone Code
Naas · 14:52 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
8/1 → 6/1
Still 8/1 at 4 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:00, 17 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Punxsutawney Phil
Pontefract · 16:38 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 4 firms when alerted
10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 30 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 23.00
Beat SP: No
-26% better than SP · -1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:00, 17 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Lily Bear
Naas · 15:22 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 8/1
Still 11/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+71% better than SP · +6.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:54, 17 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Havin A Flyer
Southwell (AW) · 20:00 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Smarkets · Midnite
12 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Southwell (AW). 1/3 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 8/1 (9.20)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+42% better than SP · +4.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:42, 17 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Minstrel Knight
Ayr · 17:01 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 11/2
Still 7/1 at 5 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · 10 Bet · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 15/2 (8.60)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+43% better than SP · +5.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:36, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Tarmonbarry Kid
Ayr · 15:30 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Virgin Bet
6 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:36, 17 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlat
Angel of Heaven
Southwell (AW) · 18:00 · 11 runners · Other
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:21, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Devil's Brigade
Pontefract · 15:38 · 6 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 10 firms when alerted
Unibet · Betfred · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Quinn Bet
16 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 25 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: No
-17% better than SP · -4.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:21, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Thankfully
Ayr · 14:30 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
25 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 24% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-31% better than SP · -3.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:18, 17 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Mountain of Light
Yarmouth · 17:15 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
17/2 → 7/1
Still 17/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 7lb. Career-high OR 70.
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 17/2 (9.60)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+75% better than SP · +7.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:15, 17 Sept 2026
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How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

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