HorseWhaleHorseWhale

Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 20 September 2026 · HorseWhale

7744 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

🔵 TOPHurdle
Minella Buoy
Listowel · 14:18 · 11 runners · Other
THE MOVE
7/4 → 6/4
20 firms had already cut to 6/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 50% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 7lb. Career-high OR unavailable.
• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 6/4 (2.50)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: No
-13% better than SP · -5.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 20 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Draupnir
Hamilton · 16:30 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
23 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 8lb. 3lb below career-high OR 72.
Previously on record
Alerted 1 Sept · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
-22% better than SP · -3.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 20 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Impressor
Hamilton · 15:00 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 10/3
24 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Hamilton. 1/10 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/3 (4.42)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+26% better than SP · +5.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Getarose
Plumpton · 14:08 · 3 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 9/4
22 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 2.38
Beat SP: Yes
+37% better than SP · +11.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 20 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWHurdleHANDICAP
Fraher Field
Listowel · 15:18 · 18 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
22/1 → 12/1
22 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 12lb. 1lb below career-high OR 106.
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 13 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-13% better than SP · -1.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Eternal Angel
Plumpton · 16:08 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 10/3
21 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +10.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Taylormade Lad
Hamilton · 17:00 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 6/1
22 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 27 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +5.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdle
Tumbling In
Listowel · 14:48 · 4 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/2 → 2/1
Still 5/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Coral
20 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 2.20
Beat SP: Yes
+59% better than SP · +16.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 20 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGHurdle
Danny Power
Listowel · 14:18 · 11 runners · Other
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+88% better than SP · +11.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 20 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Barleybrown
Newcastle (AW) · 20:30 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
24 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+42% better than SP · +6.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 20:21, 19 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Walk On Walk On
Newcastle (AW) · 20:30 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet
20 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Newcastle (AW). 1/1 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +2.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 19:36, 19 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Asadjumeirah
Newcastle (AW) · 19:00 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 4/1
Still 11/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Unibet · Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Newcastle (AW). 3/21 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 3 Sept · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +1.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 18:48, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Tickets
Newcastle (AW) · 19:00 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 11/2
Still 6/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Smarkets · Matchbook
23 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Newcastle (AW). 1/12 at this course.
• Trainer in form. 43% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 3 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +2.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 18:45, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Grow Old With Me
Newcastle (AW) · 17:55 · 6 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
2/1 → 13/8
Still 2/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom
10 firms had already cut to 13/8 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 2/1 (3.00)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +3.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:54, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Weffaag
Newcastle (AW) · 17:55 · 6 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
4/6 → 8/15
Still 4/6 at 3 firms when alerted
BetTom · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
6 firms had already cut to 8/15 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First run after wind surgery.
• Trainer in form. 24% last 14 days.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/6 (1.67)
SP: 1.57
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +3.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:12, 19 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Zimmerman
Chester · 17:25 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Betfred · Unibet · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
16 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 8 Sept · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:09, 19 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatMAIDEN
Aeternitas
Newcastle (AW) · 17:20 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
8/1 → 15/2
Still 8/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets · Virgin Bet
22 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+58% better than SP · +6.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:57, 19 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlat
Tyrrhenian Thunder
Ayr · 16:15 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
Still 8/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · BetMGM · Star Sports · Matchbook · 7Bet · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · 10 Bet
13 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time h.
Risks
• Heavy vs Good To Soft. First run on this going.
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/1 (10.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+91% better than SP · +8.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:54, 19 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Waistcoat
Newmarket · 15:45 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · Quinn Bet · 7Bet · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
18 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 17 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +2.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:43, 19 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Kirkdale
Chester · 15:46 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Unibet
8 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 3 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +4.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:22, 19 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Dance In The Storm
Ayr · 15:40 · 24 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Smarkets · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 13/2 (7.60)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +5.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:22, 19 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlat
Let's Dream
Chester · 15:10 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
• Chester. 1/7 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 6 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
-37% better than SP · -5.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:04, 19 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlat
Reds And Wolves
Chester · 15:10 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
Still 12/1 at 5 firms when alerted
10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
18 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:55, 19 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatGroup 3
Etonnante
Ayr · 15:05 · 5 runners · Group 3
THE MOVE
17/2 → 13/2
Still 17/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
15 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 4 Sept · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/1 (10.50)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+24% better than SP · +2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:49, 19 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP
Can Happen
Navan · 16:35 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 10 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets
12 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 8lb. Career-high OR 111.
• Unproven at 2m5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +1.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:46, 19 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatListed
El Burhan
Ayr · 13:55 · 6 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Ayr. 1/1 at this course.
• First-time tb.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+55% better than SP · +3.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:52, 19 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
South Shore Island
Newcastle (AW) · 20:00 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 17/2
Still 10/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · LiveScore Bet · Matchbook · Virgin Bet
9 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 11 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:52, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Ellie's de Vega
Newcastle (AW) · 20:00 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · 7Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Smarkets · Virgin Bet
8 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Newcastle (AW). 1/5 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 4/1 (5.10)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+36% better than SP · +7.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:49, 19 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWHurdleMAIDEN
Returning Officer
Navan · 14:17 · 16 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 11 firms when alerted
Betfred · BetMGM · Unibet · Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Smarkets · Virgin Bet
6 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.60)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +7.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:43, 19 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Balzac
Newbury · 14:47 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/1 (8.20)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+26% better than SP · +3.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:43, 19 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Stem
Newbury · 14:47 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 17/2 (9.40)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+45% better than SP · +4.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:37, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Impulsive Spirit
Chester · 14:00 · 8 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 14 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Virgin Bet
10 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 1 to Class 4.
Previously on record
Alerted 3 Sept · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/4 (3.35)
SP: 2.20
Beat SP: Yes
+52% better than SP · +15.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:31, 19 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Hundred Caps
Newcastle (AW) · 18:30 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
Still 8/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First run after wind surgery.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 8/1 (9.20)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +3.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:31, 19 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP
Papagei
Navan · 15:26 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Hollywood Bets · BetTom · Matchbook
21 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 10lb. Career-high OR 94.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 4
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +11.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:28, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Boyfriend
Newbury · 14:47 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 13 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Unibet · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Virgin Bet · Matchbook
11 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 3 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+39% better than SP · +6.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:28, 19 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatListed
Grey Cuban
Ayr · 13:55 · 6 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
17/2 → 7/1
Still 17/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+58% better than SP · +6.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:25, 19 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWHurdleHANDICAP
Leo Messy
Navan · 14:52 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +3.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:16, 19 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlat
City House
Gowran Park · 14:06 · 8 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Betfred · Unibet · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
6 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +6.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:13, 19 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlat
Lily Pink
Newmarket · 13:15 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · 10 Bet · Betano · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
17 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+140% better than SP · +11.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:10, 19 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWHurdleMAIDEN
Any Chance
Navan · 14:17 · 16 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
Still 7/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet
11 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/2 (4.70)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
-6% better than SP · -1.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:04, 19 Sept 2026
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How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

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