Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 21 August 2026 · HorseWhale

8770 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP

Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.

Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

FlatGroup 1

Night Raider

York · 15:35 · 18 runners · Group 1

THE MOVE

11/1 → 9/1

24 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

Risks

• Up 8lb. 1lb below career-high OR 112.

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +2.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:23, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Too Too Divine

Newmarket (July) · 16:51 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/2 → 11/2

Still 13/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook

23 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 13/2 (7.60)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
-16% better than SP · -2.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:23, 21 Aug 2026

HurdleMAIDEN

Benner Wenner

Kilbeggan · 18:35 · 8 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

5/2 → 9/4

Still 5/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets

18 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 3m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 3/1 (3.95)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+5% better than SP · +1.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:23, 21 Aug 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Blue Reed

Kilbeggan · 18:05 · 15 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

15/2 → 13/2

Still 15/2 at 4 firms when alerted
William Hill · Smarkets · Midnite · Matchbook

12 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Kilbeggan. 1/4 at this course.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 9/1 (10.50)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-30% better than SP · -2.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:23, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Light Up The Dark

Killarney · 19:20 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/2 → 11/2

Still 13/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Star Sports · BetWright · Matchbook · 10 Bet · Betano · BetTom · Dragon Bet · Smarkets

19 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +12.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:20, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Seaxburh

Killarney · 17:12 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 3/1

Still 4/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Betfred · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet

19 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

Risks

• Up 10lb. 2lb below career-high OR 79.

• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +6.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:20, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Razmataz

Killarney · 17:12 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

20/1 → 14/1

Still 20/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Betfred · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet

18 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 22/1 (23.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+77% better than SP · +3.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:20, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Elyatta

Killarney · 17:12 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

18/1 → 10/1

Still 18/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom

23 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT

NON-RUNNER

Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)

Permanent record · Fired 10:20, 21 Aug 2026

FlatGroup 2

Caballo De Mar

York · 14:25 · 8 runners · Group 2

THE MOVE

2/1 → 7/4

Still 2/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · talkSPORT BET

5 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 2/1 (3.00)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +3.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:20, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Immutable

Killarney · 19:20 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · BetWright · Dragon Bet · 10 Bet · Betano · BetTom · BresBet

13 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT

NON-RUNNER

Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)

Permanent record · Fired 10:17, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Alkuwarrior

Ffos Las · 14:10 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

Still 16/1 at 3 firms when alerted
10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom

15 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.

• Ffos Las. 1/1 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +1.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:17, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Foxy Night

Hamilton · 17:07 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/2 → 9/2

Still 11/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets

8 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Risks

• Up 6lb. Career-high OR 78.

• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +1.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:14, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Evanesco

Hamilton · 18:15 · 13 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

6/1 → 9/2

Still 6/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Bet365

24 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +5.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:14, 21 Aug 2026

ChaseHANDICAP

Scalpnagoon

Kilbeggan · 19:35 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/2 → 5/1

Still 11/2 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Star Sports · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright

16 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 3m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 6/1 (7.20)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+3% better than SP · +0.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:14, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Advertised

Hamilton · 18:45 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/1 → 15/2

Still 9/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Unibet · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Matchbook

20 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.

Risks

• Up 12lb. 3lb below career-high OR 94.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +2.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:14, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Splash

Newmarket (July) · 16:51 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

12/1 → 9/1

24 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-23% better than SP · -2.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:11, 21 Aug 2026

ChaseHANDICAP

Lecale's Diamond

Kilbeggan · 19:05 · 14 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

6/1 → 5/1

Still 6/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Smarkets

18 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

Risks

• Up 7lb. 1lb below career-high OR 96.

• Unproven at 3m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 7/1 (7.80)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+56% better than SP · +7.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:08, 21 Aug 2026

FlatGroup 2

Amiloc

York · 14:25 · 8 runners · Group 2

THE MOVE

10/3 → 3/1

Still 10/3 at 17 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Bet365 · Betfred · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright · BresBet · Paddy Power · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Dragon Bet · Quinn Bet

6 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 2m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 4/1 (4.90)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +2.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:08, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Margot Mae

Killarney · 17:12 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/3 → 11/4

Still 10/3 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · Smarkets · Matchbook · Betano · BetTom · BetWright

15 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT

NON-RUNNER

Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)

Permanent record · Fired 10:05, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

War Rooms

Killarney · 19:20 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/1 → 8/1

Still 10/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · BetTom · BetWright

22 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/1 (12.50)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-17% better than SP · -1.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:02, 21 Aug 2026

ChaseHANDICAP

Charlie Luciano

Kilbeggan · 19:35 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power · BetTom · BetWright

14 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Kilbeggan. 1/2 at this course.

Risks

• Up 9lb. 1lb below career-high OR 120.

• Unproven at 3m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.60)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +10.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:59, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Prodigal Son

Salisbury · 17:27 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/1 → 15/2

25 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted

Risks

• Up 16lb. 6lb below career-high OR 71.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +0.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:59, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Coyy

Salisbury · 18:27 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 6/1

25 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +2.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:59, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Kohana Nation

Salisbury · 18:27 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/4 → 5/2

Still 11/4 at 4 firms when alerted
BetTom · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet

20 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +4.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:56, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Celestially

Killarney · 19:50 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 11/2

Still 7/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom

23 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 15/2 (8.40)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +2.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:56, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Zen Diva

Salisbury · 18:27 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/3 → 3/1

Still 10/3 at 3 firms when alerted
Star Sports · BetTom · BetWright

19 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.

• Salisbury. 1/1 at this course.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +3.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:56, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Bintola

Salisbury · 18:27 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

3/1 → 11/4

Still 3/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetMGM · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright

20 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +2.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:56, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Allegrino

Newmarket (July) · 16:51 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/1 → 8/1

24 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+200% better than SP · +22.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:56, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Charlie Brow'n

Killarney · 19:50 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

22/1 → 14/1

Still 22/1 at 2 firms when alerted
10 Bet · BetWright

22 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 22/1 (23.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+109% better than SP · +4.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:53, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Kimeko Glory

Salisbury · 17:27 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 4/1

Still 5/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Star Sports · 10 Bet

21 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

Risks

• Up 15lb. 10lb below career-high OR 79.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -1.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:53, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Parisian Scholar

Newmarket (July) · 16:20 · 4 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

6/1 → 11/2

23 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.

Risks

• Up 10lb. Career-high OR 80.

RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +4.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:53, 21 Aug 2026

ChaseHANDICAP

Glendine Billy

Kilbeggan · 19:05 · 14 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/1 → 15/2

23 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 3m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
-6% better than SP · -0.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:53, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Ironist

Newmarket (July) · 16:51 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

33/1 → 22/1

Still 33/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Betano · BetWright · 10 Bet · BetTom · Paddy Power

19 firms had already cut to 22/1 when alerted

RESULT

NON-RUNNER

Alert price: 50/1 (50.00)

Permanent record · Fired 09:53, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Marsh Benham

Salisbury · 17:27 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

6/1 → 5/1

Still 6/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet

20 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

Risks

• Up 21lb. 2lb below career-high OR 72.

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 6/1 (7.20)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +6.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:53, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Thiscouldbefun

Salisbury · 17:27 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/2 → 11/4

Still 7/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · LiveScore Bet · Smarkets · Virgin Bet

19 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted

Why it rates

• Salisbury. 1/2 at this course.

Risks

• Up 15lb. 8lb below career-high OR 69.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 7/2 (4.60)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+2% better than SP · +0.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:53, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Old Joanie

Killarney · 17:12 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

22/1 → 14/1

Still 22/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet

20 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 40/1 (44.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+267% better than SP · +6.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:53, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Factual Fact

Killarney · 19:20 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/1 → 9/1

Still 11/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetWright

21 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Killarney. 1/2 at this course.

Risks

• Unproven at 1m6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+140% better than SP · +11.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:42, 21 Aug 2026

Flat

Lord d'Or

Hamilton · 17:40 · 3 runners · Other

THE MOVE

8/13 → 8/15

Still 8/13 at 1 firm when alerted
William Hill

4 firms had already cut to 8/15 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 8/13 (1.62)
SP: 1.44
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +7.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:42, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Gaoth Chuil

Killarney · 19:20 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

22/1 → 16/1

Still 22/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Coral · Matchbook

23 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Killarney. 1/2 at this course.

Risks

• Unproven at 1m6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 25/1 (25.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+92% better than SP · +3.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:39, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Chutzpal

Killarney · 19:20 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/1 → 9/1

Still 11/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Matchbook · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Smarkets

20 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Killarney. 1/1 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 12/1 (13.50)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: No
-21% better than SP · -1.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:36, 21 Aug 2026

How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

Search HorseWhale horse records · Read the grading methodology · How to check if a horse was backed

Browse all receipts