Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.
Flat
Hamilton · 17:40 · 3 runners · Other
Still 8/13 at 1 firm when alerted
William Hill
4 firms had already cut to 8/15 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 8/13 (1.62)
SP: 1.44
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +7.7 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Killarney · 19:20 · 10 runners · Handicap
Still 22/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Coral · Matchbook
23 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Killarney. 1/2 at this course.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 25/1 (25.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+92% better than SP · +3.7 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Killarney · 19:20 · 10 runners · Handicap
Still 11/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Matchbook · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Killarney. 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 12/1 (13.50)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: No
-21% better than SP · -1.5 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Ffos Las · 15:55 · 12 runners · Handicap
Still 8/1 at 2 firms when alerted
10 Bet · BetTom
19 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Ffos Las. 0/1 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+80% better than SP · +8.9 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Killarney · 18:50 · 9 runners · Handicap
20 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
Flat
Salisbury · 19:27 · 5 runners · Other
Still 5/1 at 9 firms when alerted
William Hill · Bet365 · Bet Victor · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · Midnite · 10 Bet · Betano
17 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/1 (12.50)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+92% better than SP · +7.4 probability points
ChaseHANDICAP
Kilbeggan · 19:35 · 8 runners · Handicap
Still 5/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetWright · Dragon Bet
18 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Risks
• Up 11lb. 8lb below career-high OR 123.
• Unproven at 3m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +8.3 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Killarney · 18:50 · 9 runners · Handicap
Still 22/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 33/1 (36.00)
SP: 51.00
Beat SP: No
-29% better than SP · -0.8 probability points
HurdleMAIDEN
Kilbeggan · 16:56 · 13 runners · Maiden
4 firms had already cut to 1/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 7lb. 4lb below career-high OR 121.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 1/1 (2.00)
SP: 2.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · -0.1 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Killarney · 19:20 · 10 runners · Handicap
Still 5/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetMGM · Matchbook · Smarkets · Dragon Bet
18 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Killarney. 0/1 at this course.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 13/2 (7.40)
Flat
Kilbeggan · 20:05 · 11 runners · Other
Still 7/4 at 4 firms when alerted
Star Sports · William Hill · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom
8 firms had already cut to 6/4 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/4 (2.75)
SP: 2.20
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +9.1 probability points
ChaseHANDICAP
Kilbeggan · 19:35 · 8 runners · Handicap
Still 16/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Betfair Sportsbook · BetWright · Paddy Power
21 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Kilbeggan. 1/5 at this course.
Risks
• Up 12lb. 11lb below career-high OR 127.
• Unproven at 3m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+70% better than SP · +4.1 probability points
HurdleMAIDEN
Kilbeggan · 18:35 · 8 runners · Maiden
Still 15/2 at 3 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 3m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/1 (10.50)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +4.8 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Hamilton · 18:45 · 11 runners · Handicap
Still 5/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Unibet · Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Midnite · BetWright
20 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
• Hamilton. 0/4 at this course.
Risks
• Up 6lb. 16lb below career-high OR 102.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+5% better than SP · +0.5 probability points
HurdleHANDICAP
Kilbeggan · 18:05 · 15 runners · Handicap
Still 8/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetWright
20 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Risks
• Up 7lb. Career-high OR 103.
• Unproven at 2m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +5.6 probability points
Flat
Ffos Las · 16:30 · 10 runners · Other
Still 7/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom
20 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Why it rates
• Ffos Las. 0/1 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +6.3 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Hamilton · 18:45 · 11 runners · Handicap
Still 4/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets
16 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
• Hamilton. 0/4 at this course.
Risks
• Up 6lb. 5lb below career-high OR 89.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/1 (5.10)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +3.5 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Killarney · 19:50 · 9 runners · Handicap
Still 14/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill
21 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+88% better than SP · +5.8 probability points
FlatGroup 2
York · 15:00 · 10 runners · Group 2
Still 16/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 16/1 (18.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: No
-5% better than SP · -0.3 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Killarney · 18:50 · 9 runners · Handicap
Still 7/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Boyle Sports
21 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Killarney. 0/1 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+78% better than SP · +9.7 probability points
Flat
Ffos Las · 16:30 · 10 runners · Other
Still 9/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom
19 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Ffos Las. 0/5 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+67% better than SP · +6.7 probability points
Flat
Ffos Las · 16:30 · 10 runners · Other
Still 7/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Betfred · Star Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom
18 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Ffos Las. 0/1 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+21% better than SP · +2.5 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Ffos Las · 15:55 · 12 runners · Handicap
Still 15/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Ffos Las. 0/1 at this course.
Risks
• Up 7lb. 11lb below career-high OR 63.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 15/2 (8.40)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+68% better than SP · +8.1 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
York · 16:10 · 16 runners · Handicap
Still 15/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · talkSPORT BET · BetTom · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Paddy Power
18 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• York. 0/2 at this course.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +7.7 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Newmarket (July) · 16:20 · 4 runners · Handicap
Still 9/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
15 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.60)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+2% better than SP · +0.3 probability points
Flat
Ffos Las · 16:30 · 10 runners · Other
Still 13/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · William Hill · Smarkets
7 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +2.7 probability points
Flat
Kilbeggan · 20:05 · 11 runners · Other
Still 13/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Betfair Sportsbook · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Paddy Power
17 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +6.7 probability points
FlatGroup 2
York · 15:00 · 10 runners · Group 2
Still 3/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook
14 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (4.10)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+37% better than SP · +8.9 probability points
FlatGroup 2
York · 15:00 · 10 runners · Group 2
Still 11/1 at 3 firms when alerted
talkSPORT BET · Matchbook · Smarkets
25 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: No
-21% better than SP · -1.4 probability points
Flat
Ffos Las · 16:30 · 10 runners · Other
Still 9/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · Midnite · Quinn Bet
7 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Ffos Las. 0/1 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (5.90)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+36% better than SP · +6.1 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Ffos Las · 14:10 · 6 runners · Handicap
Still 5/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Betfred · Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom
15 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Ffos Las. 1/2 at this course.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+39% better than SP · +6.4 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Salisbury · 18:57 · 8 runners · Handicap
Still 9/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetWright · Matchbook
21 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 9/1 (10.50)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-30% better than SP · -2.9 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Killarney · 19:20 · 10 runners · Handicap
Still 22/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright
20 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 28/1 (28.00)
FlatGroup 2
York · 15:00 · 10 runners · Group 2
Still 14/1 at 1 firm when alerted
talkSPORT BET
25 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 25/1 (26.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: Yes
+37% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Flat
Newmarket (July) · 14:35 · 6 runners · Other
Still 4/5 at 1 firm when alerted
7Bet
4 firms had already cut to 4/6 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/5 (1.80)
SP: 1.44
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +13.9 probability points
FlatListed
Killarney · 18:20 · 10 runners · Listed
Still 5/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright
15 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +8.3 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Hamilton · 18:15 · 13 runners · Handicap
Still 6/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betano
22 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Hamilton. 1/5 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+62% better than SP · +8.8 probability points
Hurdle
Kilbeggan · 17:32 · 9 runners · Other
Still 3/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Boyle Sports · William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook
4 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Why it rates
• Kilbeggan. 0/2 at this course.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 3/1 (4.10)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+37% better than SP · +8.9 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
York · 13:50 · 19 runners · Handicap
Still 11/1 at 3 firms when alerted
talkSPORT BET · Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 13
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+183% better than SP · +10.8 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Hamilton · 19:15 · 11 runners · Handicap
Still 7/1 at 5 firms when alerted
William Hill · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power · Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Hamilton. 3/6 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-23% better than SP · -2.7 probability points
