Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 25 August 2026 · HorseWhale

8770 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

Flat
Lingfield (AW) · 15:00 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
22 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/2 (5.45)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+21% better than SP · +3.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 25 Aug 2026
GAMBLE FORMINGFlatMAIDEN
Bellewstown · 18:32 · 7 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook
9 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Result pending. Graded against SP and Betfair SP once the result lands.
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 25 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Windsor · 19:48 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
24 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 19:33, 24 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Windsor · 19:48 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
15 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-25% better than SP · -4.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 18:41, 24 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Ballinrobe · 18:30 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 9/1
Still 10/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetMGM · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright
16 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 14/1 (15.50)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+63% better than SP · +4.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 18:26, 24 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Windsor · 18:18 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
2/1 → 7/4
Still 2/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Betfred · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power
10 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/2 (3.45)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +4.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 18:17, 24 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Windsor · 18:18 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
33/1 → 20/1
24 firms had already cut to 20/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m3½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 20/1 (21.00)
SP: 21.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 18:17, 24 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Ballinrobe · 18:30 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright
21 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 11lb. Career-high OR 97.
• Unproven at 2m6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 20/1 (21.00)
SP: 23.00
Beat SP: No
-9% better than SP · -0.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 18:08, 24 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Windsor · 19:18 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · William Hill · LiveScore Bet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Virgin Bet
13 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 6.
Risks
• Up 14lb. Career-high OR 63.
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -1.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:11, 24 Aug 2026
Flat
Windsor · 17:13 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
8/1 → 6/1
Still 8/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetTom · 10 Bet · BetWright
21 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+57% better than SP · +5.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:11, 24 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Brighton · 16:30 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
22 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+67% better than SP · +6.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:23, 24 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Brighton · 16:30 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 9/1 (9.80)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +3.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:20, 24 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Musselburgh · 16:45 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 13 firms when alerted
Betfred · Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · 10 Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Smarkets · Virgin Bet
8 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Musselburgh. 1/6 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/2 (5.60)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+2% better than SP · +0.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:20, 24 Aug 2026
HurdleMAIDEN
Ballinrobe · 18:00 · 12 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
50/1 → 28/1
Still 50/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Unibet · 10 Bet
22 firms had already cut to 28/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 50/1 (51.00)
SP: 29.00
Beat SP: Yes
+76% better than SP · +1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:32, 24 Aug 2026
HurdleMAIDEN
Ballinrobe · 16:51 · 15 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
50/1 → 28/1
Still 50/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 28/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 80/1 (75.00)
SP: 41.00
Beat SP: Yes
+83% better than SP · +1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:29, 24 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Musselburgh · 16:45 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
15 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 18/1 (20.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: Yes
+5% better than SP · +0.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:17, 24 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Musselburgh · 15:15 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 17/2
Still 11/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Unibet
24 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+71% better than SP · +6.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:14, 24 Aug 2026
HurdleMAIDEN
Ballinrobe · 18:00 · 12 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/1 → 8/1
Still 11/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
18 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 14/1 (14.50)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+12% better than SP · +0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:11, 24 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Brighton · 15:00 · 5 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · William Hill · LiveScore Bet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Virgin Bet
14 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:08, 24 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Windsor · 18:48 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 6.
Risks
• Up 10lb. 16lb below career-high OR 79.
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 13/2 (7.40)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +3.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:02, 24 Aug 2026
HurdleMAIDEN
Ballinrobe · 18:00 · 12 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
17 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +16.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:56, 24 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Musselburgh · 16:45 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Unibet · Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Dragon Bet · Midnite
13 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +8.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:53, 24 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Musselburgh · 16:45 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Quinn Bet
17 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 9/2 (5.60)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+24% better than SP · +4.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:50, 24 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Musselburgh · 16:15 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 8/1
Still 9/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/1 (11.50)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +1.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:38, 24 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Brighton · 14:30 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Betfred · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets
15 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 5.
• Brighton. 1/7 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-12% better than SP · -1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:20, 24 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Musselburgh · 14:45 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
23 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:17, 24 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Musselburgh · 15:45 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 14 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · Betfred · BetMGM · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · LiveScore Bet · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Paddy Power
9 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.30)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+32% better than SP · +6.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:08, 24 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Brighton · 16:00 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 8 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
12 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/1 (4.80)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
-4% better than SP · -0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:56, 24 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Ballinrobe · 18:30 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
22/1 → 16/1
Still 22/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 33/1 (32.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: Yes
+68% better than SP · +2.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:53, 24 Aug 2026
HurdleMAIDEN
Ballinrobe · 16:51 · 15 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom
21 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +7.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:47, 24 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Musselburgh · 16:45 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 6lb. 17lb below career-high OR 72.
RESULT
LOST · finished 12
Alert price: 22/1 (23.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: Yes
+35% better than SP · +1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:47, 24 Aug 2026
Flat
Windsor · 17:48 · 10 runners · Other
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 14/1 (15.50)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+41% better than SP · +2.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:44, 24 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Musselburgh · 16:45 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
24 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 13/2 (7.60)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+52% better than SP · +6.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:44, 24 Aug 2026
Chase
Ballinrobe · 19:30 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Virgin Bet
11 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m7½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 10/3 (4.30)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +5.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:23, 24 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Brighton · 17:00 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetWright · Dragon Bet
19 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 5/1 (5.80)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
-11% better than SP · -1.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:23, 24 Aug 2026
HurdleMAIDEN
Ballinrobe · 18:00 · 12 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets
19 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (4.10)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: Yes
+64% better than SP · +15.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:13, 24 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Musselburgh · 15:45 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · Smarkets · Matchbook
21 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/1 (12.50)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:04, 24 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Musselburgh · 15:45 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 12/1 (13.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+80% better than SP · +5.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:01, 24 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Ballinrobe · 18:30 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 14
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+46% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:55, 24 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Brighton · 17:00 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+85% better than SP · +7.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:19, 24 Aug 2026

How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

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