Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 25 August 2026 · HorseWhale

8770 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

FlatHANDICAP
Musselburgh · 14:45 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · William Hill · 10 Bet · BetTom · Quinn Bet
11 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Risks
• Up 9lb. Career-high OR 64.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+71% better than SP · +11.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 25 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Stratford · 18:45 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
23 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +3.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:30, 25 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Bellewstown · 16:55 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · Betano · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Midnite · Paddy Power
11 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +4.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:27, 25 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Musselburgh · 14:15 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
1/1 → 5/6
Still 1/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · Smarkets · Matchbook · BetTom
12 firms had already cut to 5/6 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/10 (2.10)
SP: 1.57
Beat SP: Yes
+34% better than SP · +16.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:27, 25 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Lingfield (AW) · 14:30 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 6/1
Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+162% better than SP · +19.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 25 Aug 2026
NH Flat
Stratford · 19:45 · 8 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · BetTom
17 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +6.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 25 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Musselburgh · 14:15 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Midnite · Paddy Power · 10 Bet
5 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 13/2 (7.40)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: No
-13% better than SP · -1.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 25 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Musselburgh · 15:15 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/4 → 11/10
Still 5/4 at 2 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook
13 firms had already cut to 11/10 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/4 (2.25)
SP: 2.20
Beat SP: Yes
+2% better than SP · +1.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 25 Aug 2026
GAMBLE FORMINGFlatHANDICAP
Bellewstown · 20:02 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 5 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Paddy Power · Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · Midnite
15 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Risks
• Up 21lb. 5lb below career-high OR 80.
• Unproven at 2m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Result pending. Graded against SP and Betfair SP once the result lands.
Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 25 Aug 2026
GAMBLE FORMINGFlatHANDICAP
Bellewstown · 19:02 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · 10 Bet
4 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Result pending. Graded against SP and Betfair SP once the result lands.
Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 25 Aug 2026
NH Flat
Stratford · 19:45 · 8 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
18 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.40)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+66% better than SP · +12.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 25 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Lingfield (AW) · 17:02 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
10 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Lingfield (AW). 1/4 at this course.
Risks
• Up 10lb. 2lb below career-high OR 56.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 2/1 (3.00)
Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 25 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Stratford · 18:45 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 11/2
Still 6/1 at 2 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook
23 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 6/1 (7.20)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 25 Aug 2026
HurdleMAIDEN
Stratford · 17:10 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
17/2 → 7/1
Still 17/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +2.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 25 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Musselburgh · 15:45 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 8 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
7 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 10/3 (4.20)
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 25 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Stratford · 19:15 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
2/1 → 7/4
7 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Up 7lb. 5lb below career-high OR 99.
• Unproven at 2m5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/4 (2.75)
SP: 2.00
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +13.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 25 Aug 2026
GAMBLE FORMINGFlatHANDICAP
Bellewstown · 17:30 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Unibet
20 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Result pending. Graded against SP and Betfair SP once the result lands.
Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 25 Aug 2026
GAMBLE FORMINGFlatHANDICAP
Bellewstown · 20:02 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 10/1
22 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 22lb. 49lb below career-high OR 129.
Result pending. Graded against SP and Betfair SP once the result lands.
Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 25 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Stratford · 18:45 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/8 → 13/8
Still 15/8 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · BetTom · Matchbook · Smarkets
8 firms had already cut to 13/8 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 2/1 (3.00)
SP: 2.38
Beat SP: Yes
+26% better than SP · +8.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 25 Aug 2026
GAMBLE FORMINGFlatMAIDEN
Bellewstown · 18:32 · 7 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Smarkets
18 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Result pending. Graded against SP and Betfair SP once the result lands.
Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 25 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Musselburgh · 15:45 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
19 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
• Musselburgh. 1/9 at this course.
Risks
• Up 8lb. 4lb below career-high OR 77.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 16/1 (16.50)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+83% better than SP · +5.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 25 Aug 2026
GAMBLE FORMINGFlatHANDICAP
Bellewstown · 19:02 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 4/1
Still 5/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Bet Victor · BetTom · BetWright · Midnite · Matchbook · Betano
17 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 13lb. 3lb below career-high OR 86.
Result pending. Graded against SP and Betfair SP once the result lands.
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 25 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Lingfield (AW) · 16:30 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 9/1
Still 10/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets · Midnite
22 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 18/1 (19.50)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+95% better than SP · +4.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 25 Aug 2026
GAMBLE FORMINGFlatMAIDEN
Bellewstown · 18:32 · 7 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
19 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Result pending. Graded against SP and Betfair SP once the result lands.
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 25 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Bellewstown · 16:20 · 15 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
5/4 → 11/10
Still 5/4 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · BetTom · Smarkets
10 firms had already cut to 11/10 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 6/4 (2.50)
SP: 1.91
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +12.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 25 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Bellewstown · 16:20 · 15 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · BetTom
18 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished SU
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+16% better than SP · +2.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 25 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Lingfield (AW) · 17:02 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
23 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Risks
• Up 7lb. 3lb below career-high OR 58.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +4.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 25 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Bellewstown · 16:55 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 8/1
Still 11/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetTom · Midnite
22 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+85% better than SP · +7.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 25 Aug 2026
GAMBLE FORMINGFlatHANDICAP
Bellewstown · 17:30 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 4/1
Still 5/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · BetTom · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Quinn Bet
6 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Result pending. Graded against SP and Betfair SP once the result lands.
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 25 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Musselburgh · 16:45 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/4 → 6/4
Still 7/4 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
4 firms had already cut to 6/4 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 7/4 (2.70)
SP: 2.25
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +7.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 25 Aug 2026
GAMBLE FORMINGFlatMAIDEN
Bellewstown · 18:32 · 7 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook
9 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Result pending. Graded against SP and Betfair SP once the result lands.
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 25 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Lingfield (AW) · 16:00 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 7/2
19 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +4.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 25 Aug 2026
Flat
Lingfield (AW) · 15:00 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
4/5 → 4/9
Still 4/5 at 2 firms when alerted
LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
22 firms had already cut to 4/9 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/5 (1.80)
SP: 1.40
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +15.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 25 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Stratford · 17:40 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/4 → 11/10
Still 5/4 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetMGM · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Paddy Power
13 firms had already cut to 11/10 when alerted
Why it rates
• Stratford. 1/2 at this course.
Risks
• Up 7lb. Career-high OR 82.
RESULT
LOST · finished PU
Alert price: 5/4 (2.28)
SP: 1.67
Beat SP: Yes
+37% better than SP · +16.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 25 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Musselburgh · 14:45 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/4 → 6/4
Still 7/4 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook
16 firms had already cut to 6/4 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Risks
• Up 10lb. 2lb below career-high OR 66.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/4 (2.72)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: No
-22% better than SP · -8.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 25 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Musselburgh · 16:45 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
23 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +4.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 25 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Musselburgh · 16:45 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 10/3
Still 4/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
14 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 25 Aug 2026
Flat
Lingfield (AW) · 15:00 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
22 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/2 (5.45)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+21% better than SP · +3.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 25 Aug 2026
GAMBLE FORMINGFlatHANDICAP
Bellewstown · 17:30 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
18/1 → 10/1
23 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Bellewstown. 1/2 at this course.
Result pending. Graded against SP and Betfair SP once the result lands.
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 25 Aug 2026
GAMBLE FORMINGFlatHANDICAP
Bellewstown · 18:02 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
20 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Result pending. Graded against SP and Betfair SP once the result lands.
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 25 Aug 2026

How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

Browse all receipts