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Elizabeth Bay · Musselburgh 16:45

Published 24 August 2026 · Updated 24 August 2026 · HorseWhale

At 12:47 on 24 August 2026, 22 bookmakers cut Elizabeth Bay from 16/1 to 12/1 in the 16:45 at Musselburgh. At the time of the alert, 22/1 was still available at Smarkets and Matchbook. The race returned an SP of 17.00, making the alert price +35% better than SP, or +1.5 probability points. It finished 12 of 13, beaten 22.5 lengths.

Graded receipt

FlatHANDICAP
Musselburgh · 16:45 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/112/1
Still 16/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 6lb. 17lb below career-high OR 72.
RESULT
LOST · finished 12
Alert price: 22/1 (23.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: Yes
+35% better than SP · +1.5 probability points
Fired 12:47, 24 Aug 2026

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