Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 26 August 2026 · HorseWhale

8770 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

FlatHANDICAP
Newbury · 18:30 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
18/1 → 11/1
24 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:45, 26 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Newbury · 16:45 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 8/1 (9.20)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:42, 26 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Newbury · 17:20 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +7.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:39, 26 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Newbury · 17:20 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
28/1 → 16/1
Still 28/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Smarkets
26 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 28/1 (29.00)
SP: 34.00
Beat SP: No
-15% better than SP · -0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:39, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Newbury · 19:30 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 8/1 (8.80)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:36, 26 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Bellewstown · 17:00 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Unibet · Betfred · Star Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Midnite
13 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Risks
• Up 8lb. 1lb below career-high OR 95.
• Unproven at 2m4½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 9/2 (5.70)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+52% better than SP · +9.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:36, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Catterick · 15:15 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 11/4
Still 10/3 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · Boyle Sports · BetTom · BetWright
14 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +6.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:33, 26 Aug 2026
Flat
Catterick · 16:52 · 13 runners · Other
THE MOVE
10/3 → 11/4
Still 10/3 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · BetMGM · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
4 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 4/1 (5.10)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+46% better than SP · +9.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:30, 26 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Newbury · 16:45 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Unibet · Smarkets · Matchbook · 10 Bet · Betano · BetTom · Dragon Bet
18 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 10/3 (4.20)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
-16% better than SP · -3.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:27, 26 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Newbury · 17:20 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
13/2 → 6/1
Still 13/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Bet Victor · Bet365 · Matchbook · Betano · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +0.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:24, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Wolverhampton (AW) · 14:00 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
Still 12/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Unibet
23 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +3.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:24, 26 Aug 2026
Hurdle
Bellewstown · 15:51 · 13 runners · Other
THE MOVE
18/1 → 12/1
23 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 6lb. 10lb below career-high OR 112.
• Unproven at 2m4½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +2.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:24, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Wolverhampton (AW) · 15:30 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
18/1 → 14/1
Still 18/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetWright
21 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 22/1 (24.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+85% better than SP · +3.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:21, 26 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Catterick · 14:15 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
33/1 → 14/1
24 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +1.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:21, 26 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Newbury · 17:20 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
10/3 → 11/4
Still 10/3 at 6 firms when alerted
William Hill · Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Betano · Matchbook · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 3.12
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +9.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:21, 26 Aug 2026
GAMBLE FORMINGFlat
Bellewstown · 19:38 · 14 runners · Other
THE MOVE
20/1 → 10/1
Still 20/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · BetWright · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
Result pending. Graded against SP and Betfair SP once the result lands.
Permanent record · Fired 10:18, 26 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Newbury · 16:45 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet
15 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
Risks
• Unproven at 6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (5.80)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+55% better than SP · +9.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:09, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Catterick · 16:15 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 11/2
Still 7/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Unibet · Star Sports · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · BetWright
17 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
Risks
• Up 10lb. 1lb below career-high OR 80.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 17/2 (9.40)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+34% better than SP · +3.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:03, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Catterick · 16:15 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 4/1
Still 11/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Smarkets · BetTom · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
19 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
Risks
• Up 11lb. 5lb below career-high OR 89.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 13/2 (7.60)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+1% better than SP · +0.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:03, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Catterick · 16:15 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 7/2
Still 9/2 at 9 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · Smarkets · Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
18 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Catterick. 2/5 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+52% better than SP · +7.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:03, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Catterick · 16:15 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 9/2
Still 6/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · LiveScore Bet · Matchbook · Virgin Bet
18 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 15/2 (8.60)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +1.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:03, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Catterick · 16:15 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Unibet · Star Sports · Smarkets · BetTom · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · 10 Bet · BetWright
16 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 18/1 (18.50)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+106% better than SP · +5.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:03, 26 Aug 2026
Flat
Wolverhampton (AW) · 16:00 · 11 runners · Other
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Ladbrokes · BetTom · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
20 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 6lb. 50lb below career-high OR 99.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:03, 26 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Bellewstown · 18:38 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 15/2
21 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 15/2 (8.40)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:51, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Kempton (AW) · 20:51 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
Still 12/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 12/1 (14.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +1.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:51, 26 Aug 2026
Hurdle
Bellewstown · 15:51 · 13 runners · Other
THE MOVE
12/1 → 10/1
Still 12/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook
23 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Bellewstown. 1/2 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 12/1 (13.50)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+93% better than SP · +6.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:51, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Kempton (AW) · 20:51 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 9/2
Still 6/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · BetWright
24 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+62% better than SP · +8.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:36, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Newbury · 16:10 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 4/1
Still 5/1 at 2 firms when alerted
10 Bet · BetTom
23 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+86% better than SP · +13.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:33, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Wolverhampton (AW) · 15:30 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
24 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 13/2 (7.60)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+52% better than SP · +6.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:33, 26 Aug 2026
GAMBLE FORMINGHurdleHANDICAP
Bellewstown · 19:08 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
20/1 → 11/1
24 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Result pending. Graded against SP and Betfair SP once the result lands.
Permanent record · Fired 09:33, 26 Aug 2026
GAMBLE FORMINGHurdleHANDICAP
Bellewstown · 19:08 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Paddy Power · Smarkets
19 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Result pending. Graded against SP and Betfair SP once the result lands.
Permanent record · Fired 09:27, 26 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Bellewstown · 17:35 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 14/1 (15.50)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+72% better than SP · +4.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:27, 26 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Catterick · 14:45 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power
13 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (4.10)
SP: 2.20
Beat SP: Yes
+86% better than SP · +21.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:27, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Newbury · 16:10 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 13/2
Still 7/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Bet Victor · Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betano · BresBet · Dragon Bet
16 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 5.
Risks
• Up 12lb. Career-high OR 73.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 8/1 (8.80)
Permanent record · Fired 09:24, 26 Aug 2026
Flat
Wolverhampton (AW) · 16:00 · 11 runners · Other
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Boyle Sports · William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
7 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 4/1 (4.80)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +2.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:24, 26 Aug 2026
Hurdle
Bellewstown · 18:05 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
25/1 → 16/1
24 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished PU
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+79% better than SP · +4.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:24, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Kempton (AW) · 20:21 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 17/2
Still 10/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · 10 Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright
20 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:24, 26 Aug 2026
Flat
Wolverhampton (AW) · 14:30 · 11 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom
16 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:24, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Wolverhampton (AW) · 15:00 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
15 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Up 11lb. 5lb below career-high OR 74.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 6/1 (6.80)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-9% better than SP · -1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:24, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Newbury · 18:30 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · BresBet · Dragon Bet
23 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 16/1 (17.50)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+46% better than SP · +2.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:21, 26 Aug 2026

How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

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