Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 28 August 2026 · HorseWhale

8617 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

FlatMAIDEN
Goodwood · 16:35 · 5 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/4 → 9/4
Still 11/4 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetMGM · Boyle Sports · Quinn Bet · Matchbook
13 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +1.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:21, 28 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Thirsk · 16:00 · 18 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
25 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Thirsk. 1/3 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+71% better than SP · +6.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:15, 28 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Sandown · 17:20 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · Betano · BetTom · Smarkets
18 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 12lb. Career-high OR 79.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +5.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:15, 28 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Sandown · 15:35 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
Still 7/2 at 5 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Unibet · Matchbook · 7Bet · BetTom
16 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 4/1 (4.80)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+67% better than SP · +13.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:15, 28 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Wexford · 19:07 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 16/1 (18.00)
SP: 21.00
Beat SP: No
-14% better than SP · -0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:15, 28 Aug 2026
Chase
Wexford · 18:32 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
Still 7/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 6lb. Career-high OR 121.
• Unproven at 2m3½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/1 (4.80)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+75% better than SP · +15.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:15, 28 Aug 2026
HurdleMAIDEN
Wexford · 17:57 · 12 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
9 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 3m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 2.62
Beat SP: Yes
+43% better than SP · +11.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:09, 28 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Wexford · 19:07 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
23 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Wexford. 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +7.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:09, 28 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Goodwood · 17:10 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
24 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+85% better than SP · +7.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:09, 28 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Sedgefield · 18:05 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Betfred · BetMGM · Unibet
17 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +6.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:06, 28 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Sedgefield · 17:00 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Unibet
24 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Risks
• Up 17lb. 5lb below career-high OR 97.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+36% better than SP · +4.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:03, 28 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Fontwell · 19:00 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · William Hill · 10 Bet
16 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +8.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:00, 28 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Sedgefield · 18:40 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
Still 8/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · BetTom
23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Sedgefield. 1/2 at this course.
Risks
• Unproven at 3m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:00, 28 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Wexford · 19:38 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
25 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+67% better than SP · +6.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:57, 28 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Sandown · 15:35 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets
11 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 4/1 (5.10)
SP: 2.62
Beat SP: Yes
+95% better than SP · +18.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:51, 28 Aug 2026
HurdleMAIDEN
Wexford · 17:57 · 12 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 3m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 15/2 (8.40)
Permanent record · Fired 09:48, 28 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Sedgefield · 19:15 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 7/2
Still 9/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · Midnite
18 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Up 17lb. 12lb below career-high OR 108.
• Unproven at 2m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 13/2 (7.40)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: No
-22% better than SP · -3.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:45, 28 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Goodwood · 17:45 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 2 firms when alerted
10 Bet · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+71% better than SP · +6.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:42, 28 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Wexford · 19:38 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
40/1 → 20/1
24 firms had already cut to 20/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 3m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 20/1 (21.00)
Permanent record · Fired 09:39, 28 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Sandown · 15:00 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
2/1 → 7/4
Still 2/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet
10 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/4 (3.20)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+16% better than SP · +5.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:39, 28 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Sedgefield · 19:15 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 4/1
Still 5/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · William Hill · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power · Smarkets · Matchbook
8 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 27lb. 4lb below career-high OR 83.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:39, 28 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Sandown · 16:10 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
18/1 → 12/1
25 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:39, 28 Aug 2026
HurdleMAIDEN
Fontwell · 16:40 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
22/1 → 16/1
Still 22/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
25 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 34lb. Career-high OR unavailable.
• Unproven at 2m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 25/1 (26.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+500% better than SP · +19.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:36, 28 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Goodwood · 18:55 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
24 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+154% better than SP · +14.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:33, 28 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Wexford · 19:38 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
33/1 → 18/1
23 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 3m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 34.00
Beat SP: No
-44% better than SP · -2.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:33, 28 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Thirsk · 14:13 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Unibet
24 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 20lb. 22lb below career-high OR 79.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +5.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:33, 28 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Sedgefield · 18:05 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 3 firms when alerted
BetTom · Matchbook · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:27, 28 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Goodwood · 18:55 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
22 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+67% better than SP · +6.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:27, 28 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Sandown · 14:25 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
20/1 → 14/1
25 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+36% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:24, 28 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Goodwood · 17:10 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
28/1 → 18/1
25 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 12
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 26.00
Beat SP: No
-27% better than SP · -1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:24, 28 Aug 2026
HurdleMAIDEN
Wexford · 15:40 · 12 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
1/2 → 2/5
Still 1/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Unibet · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet · BetTom · Matchbook · Smarkets
6 firms had already cut to 2/5 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 8/15 (1.53)
SP: 1.36
Beat SP: Yes
+12% better than SP · +8.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:24, 28 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Ffos Las · 14:35 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 11/2
21 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Unproven at 7½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:24, 28 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Wexford · 19:38 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Risks
• Up 12lb. Career-high OR 88.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
-17% better than SP · -2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:24, 28 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Sandown · 14:25 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
25 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+73% better than SP · +9.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:21, 28 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Wexford · 16:50 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 12/1
Still 14/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Bet365 · Betfred · Hollywood Bets · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet
15 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m4½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 23.00
Beat SP: No
-26% better than SP · -1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:21, 28 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Goodwood · 19:28 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom
24 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 23lb. 3lb below career-high OR 73.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +5.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:21, 28 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Fontwell · 18:25 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 13/8
Still 11/4 at 3 firms when alerted
Star Sports · BetTom · BetWright
23 firms had already cut to 13/8 when alerted
Risks
• Up 8lb. Career-high OR 96.
• Unproven at 3m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished PU
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +1.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:18, 28 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Fontwell · 18:25 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
25/1 → 18/1
Still 25/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Star Sports · BetTom · BetWright
22 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 3m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 25/1 (26.00)
Permanent record · Fired 09:18, 28 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Fontwell · 18:25 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 5/1
Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Star Sports · BetTom
23 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 3m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +1.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:18, 28 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Fontwell · 18:25 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 7/2
Still 11/2 at 11 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · LiveScore Bet · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
13 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Risks
• Up 9lb. Career-high OR 89.
• Unproven at 3m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+191% better than SP · +23.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:15, 28 Aug 2026

How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

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