← All receipts
October Surprise · Fontwell 16:40
Published 28 August 2026 · Updated 28 August 2026 · HorseWhale
At 09:36 on 28 August 2026, 25 bookmakers cut October Surprise from 22/1 to 16/1 in the 16:40 at Fontwell. At the time of the alert, 25/1 was still available at Matchbook and Smarkets. The race returned an SP of 4.33, making the alert price +500% better than SP, or +19.2 probability points. It finished 4 of 8, beaten 38 lengths.
Graded receipt
Hurdle MAIDEN
Fontwell · 16:40 · 8 runners · Maiden
Still 22/1 at 2 firms when alerted
25 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 34lb. Career-high OR unavailable.
• Unproven at 2m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 25/1 (26.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+500% better than SP · +19.2 probability points
Fired 09:36, 28 Aug 2026
What this record shows
This is a permanent HorseWhale record of a qualifying market-movement alert. It records the observed event and what happened next; it is not a recommendation or a prediction of the race result.
Alert recorded
09:36 on 28 August 2026
Qualifying bookmaker movement
25 bookmakers had cut when alerted
Earlier price still recorded
25/1 at Matchbook · Smarkets
Context at the time
Risks
• Up 34lb. Career-high OR unavailable.
• Unproven at 2m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Outcome and grade
LOST · SP: 4.33 · Beat SP: Yes
A recorded price cut does not identify individual bettors, bet size, bookmaker liabilities or the reason for the move. A horse can have a recorded move and still lose.
See this horse in today’s Dashboard with HorseWhale Pro.
Get alerts before the price is gone
