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October Surprise

HorseWhale has recorded 2 money events for October Surprise since 8 August 2026: most recently on 28 August 2026, when 25 bookmakers cut it from 22/1 to 16/1 at Fontwell. It finished 4 of 8.

2 money events since 8 August 2026 · 0-0-1 after money (graded alerts only)

Published 8 August 2026 · Updated 28 August 2026 · HorseWhale

HurdleMAIDEN
October Surprise
Fontwell · 16:40 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
22/1 → 16/1
Still 22/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
25 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 34lb. Career-high OR unavailable.
• Unproven at 2m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 25/1 (26.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+500% better than SP · +19.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:36, 28 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
October Surprise
Lingfield (AW) · 17:40 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 14/1
Still 16/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Coral · Boyle Sports · Ladbrokes · BetTom · Virgin Bet · LiveScore Bet · BetAhoy · Octobet · Star Sports · Quinn Bet
25 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 10.00
BSP: 11.50
Beat SP: Yes
+70% better than SP · +4.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:01, 8 Aug 2026

Runs

DateCourseRacePosMarginSP
28 Aug 2026FontwellHurdle4Beaten 38L4.33
8 Aug 2026Lingfield (AW)Flat6—10.00
6 Jul 2026Lingfield (AW)Flat5—34.00
27 Nov 2025Chelmsford City (AW)Flat8—10.00
3 Nov 2025Kempton (AW)Flat9—201.00
16 Oct 2025BrightonFlat6—34.00
2 Oct 2025SalisburyFlat8—17.00
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